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Estimation of Long‐Term Risk from Canadian Uranium Mill Tailings

Author

Listed:
  • M. L. Murray
  • D. B. Chambers
  • R. A. Knapp
  • S. Kaplan

Abstract

A methodology is presented for assessing the risk from Canadian uranium mill tailings piles. The methodology is based on the “set of triplets” concept and uses an event tree to identify various scenarios representing the performance of a pile over its 1,000‐year design life. Compartment‐type mathematical models are used to quantify the movement of hazardous substances through the environment. Numerical examples are given of both “level 1” (straight probabilistic) and “level 2” (probability of frequency) type analyses.

Suggested Citation

  • M. L. Murray & D. B. Chambers & R. A. Knapp & S. Kaplan, 1987. "Estimation of Long‐Term Risk from Canadian Uranium Mill Tailings," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 7(3), pages 287-298, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:7:y:1987:i:3:p:287-298
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1987.tb00464.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stanley Kaplan, 1981. "On The Method of Discrete Probability Distributions in Risk and Reliability Calculations–Application to Seismic Risk Assessment," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 1(3), pages 189-196, September.
    2. Stan Kaplan & James C. Lin, 1987. "An Improved Condensation Procedure in Discrete Probability Distribution Calculations," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 7(1), pages 15-19, March.
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