IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/riskan/v35y2015i2p226-240.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Wildfire Risk Transmission in the Colorado Front Range, USA

Author

Listed:
  • Jessica R. Haas
  • David E. Calkin
  • Matthew P. Thompson

Abstract

Wildfires are a global phenomenon that in some circumstances can result in human casualties, economic loss, and ecosystem service degradation. In this article we spatially identify wildfire risk transmission pathways and locate the areas of highest exposure of human populations to wildland fires under severe, but not uncommon, weather events. We quantify varying levels of exposure in terms of population potentially affected and tie the exposure back to the spatial source of the risk for the Front Range of Colorado, USA. We use probabilistic fire simulation modeling to address where fire ignitions are most likely to cause the highest impact to human communities, and to explore the role that various landowners play in that transmission of risk. Our results indicated that, given an ignition and the right fire weather conditions, large areas along the Front Range in Colorado could be exposed to wildfires with high potential to impact human populations, and that overall private ignitions have the potential to impact more people than federal ignitions. These results can be used to identify high‐priority areas for wildfire risk mitigation using various mitigation tools.

Suggested Citation

  • Jessica R. Haas & David E. Calkin & Matthew P. Thompson, 2015. "Wildfire Risk Transmission in the Colorado Front Range, USA," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(2), pages 226-240, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:35:y:2015:i:2:p:226-240
    DOI: 10.1111/risa.12270
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12270
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/risa.12270?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alan A. Ager & Michelle Buonopane & Allison Reger & Mark A. Finney, 2013. "Wildfire Exposure Analysis on the National Forests in the Pacific Northwest, USA," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(6), pages 1000-1020, June.
    2. Matthew Thompson & Joe Scott & Jeffrey Kaiden & Julie Gilbertson-Day, 2013. "A polygon-based modeling approach to assess exposure of resources and assets to wildfire," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 67(2), pages 627-644, June.
    3. Joe Scott & Don Helmbrecht & Matthew Thompson & David Calkin & Kate Marcille, 2012. "Probabilistic assessment of wildfire hazard and municipal watershed exposure," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(1), pages 707-728, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Olga M. Lozano & Michele Salis & Alan A. Ager & Bachisio Arca & Fermin J. Alcasena & Antonio T. Monteiro & Mark A. Finney & Liliana Del Giudice & Enrico Scoccimarro & Donatella Spano, 2017. "Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Wildfire Exposure in Mediterranean Areas," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(10), pages 1898-1916, October.
    2. Karin L. Riley & Matthew P. Thompson & Joe H. Scott & Julie W. Gilbertson-Day, 2018. "A Model-Based Framework to Evaluate Alternative Wildfire Suppression Strategies," Resources, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-26, January.
    3. Eghbal Rashidi & Hugh Medal & Aaron Hoskins, 2018. "An attacker‐defender model for analyzing the vulnerability of initial attack in wildfire suppression," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 65(2), pages 120-134, March.
    4. Naderpour, Mohsen & Rizeei, Hossein Mojaddadi & Khakzad, Nima & Pradhan, Biswajeet, 2019. "Forest fire induced Natech risk assessment: A survey of geospatial technologies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    5. Alan A. Ager & Palaiologos Palaiologou & Cody R. Evers & Michelle A. Day & Ana M. G. Barros, 2018. "Assessing Transboundary Wildfire Exposure in the Southwestern United States," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(10), pages 2105-2127, October.
    6. Roghayeh Jahdi & Michele Salis & Fermin J. Alcasena & Mahdi Arabi & Bachisio Arca & Pierpaolo Duce, 2020. "Evaluating landscape-scale wildfire exposure in northwestern Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 101(3), pages 911-932, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alcasena, Fermín J. & Salis, Michele & Nauslar, Nicholas J. & Aguinaga, A. Eduardo & Vega-García, Cristina, 2016. "Quantifying economic losses from wildfires in black pine afforestations of northern Spain," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 153-167.
    2. Vladimir Marković & Imre Nagy & Andras Sik & Kinga Perge & Peter Laszlo & Maria Papathoma-Köhle & Catrin Promper & Thomas Glade, 2016. "Assessing drought and drought-related wildfire risk in Kanjiza, Serbia: the SEERISK methodology," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(2), pages 709-726, January.
    3. Thompson, Matthew P. & Haas, Jessica R. & Finney, Mark A. & Calkin, David E. & Hand, Michael S. & Browne, Mark J. & Halek, Martin & Short, Karen C. & Grenfell, Isaac C., 2015. "Development and application of a probabilistic method for wildfire suppression cost modeling," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 249-258.
    4. Olga M. Lozano & Michele Salis & Alan A. Ager & Bachisio Arca & Fermin J. Alcasena & Antonio T. Monteiro & Mark A. Finney & Liliana Del Giudice & Enrico Scoccimarro & Donatella Spano, 2017. "Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Wildfire Exposure in Mediterranean Areas," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(10), pages 1898-1916, October.
    5. Alex W. Dye & John B. Kim & Andrew McEvoy & Fang Fang & Karin L. Riley, 2021. "Evaluating rural Pacific Northwest towns for wildfire evacuation vulnerability," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(1), pages 911-935, May.
    6. Hand, Michael S. & Thompson, Matthew P. & Calkin, David E., 2016. "Examining heterogeneity and wildfire management expenditures using spatially and temporally descriptive data," Journal of Forest Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 80-102.
    7. Valentina Ferretti & Gilberto Montibeller, 2019. "An Integrated Framework for Environmental Multi‐Impact Spatial Risk Analysis," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(1), pages 257-273, January.
    8. Khakzad, Nima, 2019. "Modeling wildfire spread in wildland-industrial interfaces using dynamic Bayesian network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 165-176.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:35:y:2015:i:2:p:226-240. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://doi.org/10.1111/(ISSN)1539-6924 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.