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Chapter 13: CISNET Lung Models: Comparison of Model Assumptions and Model Structures

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  • Pamela M. McMahon
  • William D. Hazelton
  • Marek Kimmel
  • Lauren D. Clarke

Abstract

Sophisticated modeling techniques can be powerful tools to help us understand the effects of cancer control interventions on population trends in cancer incidence and mortality. Readers of journal articles are, however, rarely supplied with modeling details. Six modeling groups collaborated as part of the National Cancer Institute's Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) to investigate the contribution of U.S. tobacco‐control efforts toward reducing lung cancer deaths over the period 1975–2000. The six models included in this monograph were developed independently and use distinct, complementary approaches toward modeling the natural history of lung cancer. The models used the same data for inputs, and agreed on the design of the analysis and the outcome measures. This article highlights aspects of the models that are most relevant to similarities of or differences between the results. Structured comparisons can increase the transparency of these complex models.

Suggested Citation

  • Pamela M. McMahon & William D. Hazelton & Marek Kimmel & Lauren D. Clarke, 2012. "Chapter 13: CISNET Lung Models: Comparison of Model Assumptions and Model Structures," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 166-178, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:32:y:2012:i:s1:p:s166-s178
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01714.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Eric J. Feuer & David T. Levy & William J. McCarthy, 2012. "Chapter 1: The Impact of the Reduction in Tobacco Smoking on U.S. Lung Cancer Mortality, 1975–2000: An Introduction to the Problem," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 6-13, August.
    2. Marjorie A. Rosenberg & Eric J. Feuer & Binbing Yu & Jiafeng Sun & S. Jane Henley & Thomas G Shanks & Christy M. Anderson & Pamela M. McMahon & Michael J. Thun & David M. Burns, 2012. "Chapter 3: Cohort Life Tables by Smoking Status, Removing Lung Cancer as a Cause of Death," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 25-38, August.
    3. Suresh H. Moolgavkar & E. Georg Luebeck & Jay Turim & Linda Hanna, 1999. "Quantitative Assessment of the Risk of Lung Cancer Associated with Occupational Exposure to Refractory Ceramic Fibers," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(4), pages 599-611, August.
    4. Suresh H. Moolgavkar & E. Georg Luebeck & Elizabeth L. Anderson, 1998. "Estimation of Unit Risk for Coke Oven Emissions," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(6), pages 813-825, December.
    5. F. W. Schultz & R. Boer & H. J. de Koning, 2012. "Chapter 7: Description of MISCAN‐Lung, the Erasmus MC Lung Cancer Microsimulation Model for Evaluating Cancer Control Interventions," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 85-98, August.
    6. Theodore R. Holford & Keita Ebisu & Lisa McKay & Cheongeun Oh & Tongzhang Zheng, 2012. "Chapter 12: Yale Lung Cancer Model," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 151-165, August.
    7. Pamela M. McMahon & Chung Yin Kong & Bruce E. Johnson & Milton C. Weinstein & Jane C. Weeks & Angela C. Tramontano & Lauren E. Cipriano & Colleen Bouzan & G. Scott Gazelle, 2012. "Chapter 9: The MGH‐HMS Lung Cancer Policy Model: Tobacco Control Versus Screening," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 117-124, August.
    8. Suresh H. Moolgavkar & Anup Dewanji & David J. Venzon, 1988. "A Stochastic Two‐Stage Model for Cancer Risk Assessment. I. The Hazard Function and the Probability of Tumor," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 8(3), pages 383-392, September.
    9. William D. Hazelton & Jihyoun Jeon & Rafael Meza & Suresh H. Moolgavkar, 2012. "Chapter 8: The FHCRC Lung Cancer Model," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 99-116, August.
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    1. Pamela M. McMahon & Chung Yin Kong & Bruce E. Johnson & Milton C. Weinstein & Jane C. Weeks & Angela C. Tramontano & Lauren E. Cipriano & Colleen Bouzan & G. Scott Gazelle, 2012. "Chapter 9: The MGH‐HMS Lung Cancer Policy Model: Tobacco Control Versus Screening," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 117-124, August.
    2. Eric J. Feuer & David T. Levy & William J. McCarthy, 2012. "Chapter 1: The Impact of the Reduction in Tobacco Smoking on U.S. Lung Cancer Mortality, 1975–2000: An Introduction to the Problem," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 6-13, August.
    3. William J. McCarthy & Rafael Meza & Jihyoun Jeon & Suresh H. Moolgavkar, 2012. "Chapter 6: Lung Cancer in Never Smokers: Epidemiology and Risk Prediction Models," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 69-84, August.
    4. William D. Hazelton & Jihyoun Jeon & Rafael Meza & Suresh H. Moolgavkar, 2012. "Chapter 8: The FHCRC Lung Cancer Model," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 99-116, August.

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