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Additive and Multiplicative Relative Risk in the Two‐Stage Clonal Expansion Model of Carcinogenesis

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  • Ralph L. Kodell
  • Daniel Krewski
  • Jan M. Zielinski

Abstract

The effects of exposure to two carcinogens are explored within the context of the two‐stage clonal expansion model of carcinogenesis. This biologically based model provides a useful framework for the quantitative description of carcinogenesis, and for defining carcinogenic agents that act as initiators, promoters, and completers. This paper addresses the combined effects of simultaneous lifetime exposure to two carcinogens as well as nonoverlapping partial lifetime exposure to each agent. Whereas the age‐specific relative risk for exposure to two initiators or two completers is additive, a multiplicative relative risk model holds for exposure to an initiator and a completer, or to a promoter and a completer. Exposure to two promoters yields supra‐multiplicative relative risk. Exposure to an initiator and promoter leads to multiplicative and supra‐multiplicative relative risks for simultaneous lifetime and nonoverlapping partial lifetime exposures, respectively. Although departures from the additive relative risk model may thus occur at moderate to high doses, conditions are identified under which additivity will provide a good approximation to the joint risk at low doses. The methods of analysis used in this paper can also be used to determine the joint effects of exposure to two carcinogens which may affect more than one stage (initiation, promotion, completion) of the process of carcinogenesis. In general, the joint effects of exposure to such agents depends on the relative magnitude of the effects on individual stages.

Suggested Citation

  • Ralph L. Kodell & Daniel Krewski & Jan M. Zielinski, 1991. "Additive and Multiplicative Relative Risk in the Two‐Stage Clonal Expansion Model of Carcinogenesis," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(3), pages 483-490, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:11:y:1991:i:3:p:483-490
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1991.tb00633.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. James J. Chen & David W. Gaylor & Ralph L. Kodell, 1990. "Estimation of the Joint Risk from Multiple‐Compound Exposure Based on Single‐Compound Experiments," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 10(2), pages 285-290, June.
    2. Herman J. Gibb & Chao W. Chen, 1986. "Multistage Model Interpretation of Additive and Multiplicative Carcinogenic Effects," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(2), pages 167-170, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chao W. Chen, 1993. "Armitage‐Doll Two‐Stage Model: Implications and Extension," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 13(3), pages 273-279, June.
    2. Daniel Krewski & Richard D. Thomas, 1992. "Carcinogenic Mixtures," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 12(1), pages 105-113, March.
    3. David W. Gaylor & James J. Chen, 1996. "A Simple Upper Limit for the Sum of the Risks of the Components in a Mixture," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 16(3), pages 395-398, June.

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