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When Do Displaced Persons Return? Postwar Migration among Christians in Mount Lebanon

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  • Kara Ross Camarena
  • Nils Hägerdal

Abstract

Under what conditions will forcibly displaced persons return to their original homes after wars end? We draw on theories of labor migration to show that even displaced persons who have positive feelings toward their original location may nevertheless choose to return as regular visitors rather than permanent residents unless the location offers attractive economic opportunities. Furthermore, we argue that violence can create negative emotions not only toward geographic locations of bloodshed but also against its perpetrators. After ethnic wars, the displaced may be unwilling to return to intermixed locations, exacerbating ethnic separation. We study postwar migration among Lebanese Christians displaced during the 1980s and identify economic conditions using exogenous price shocks for olive oil, a major local export. Among policy implications for economic reconstruction and transitional justice, our most important insight is that sometimes we should help the displaced in their new location rather than induce permanent return to their old homes.

Suggested Citation

  • Kara Ross Camarena & Nils Hägerdal, 2020. "When Do Displaced Persons Return? Postwar Migration among Christians in Mount Lebanon," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 64(2), pages 223-239, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:amposc:v:64:y:2020:i:2:p:223-239
    DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12500
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Arias María Alejandra & Ibáñez Ana María & Querubin Pablo, 2014. "The Desire to Return during Civil War: Evidence for Internally Displaced Populations in Colombia," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 20(1), pages 209-233, January.
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    3. George J. Borjas & Bernt Bratsberg, 2021. "Who Leaves? The Outmigration Of The Foreign-Born," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Foundational Essays in Immigration Economics, chapter 5, pages 93-104, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Christina Davenport & Will Moore & Steven Poe, 2003. "Sometimes You Just Have to Leave: Domestic Threats and Forced Migration, 1964-1989," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 27-55, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Joop Age Harm Adema & Cevat Giray Aksoy & Yvonne Giesing & Panu Poutvaara, 2023. "The Effect of Conflict on Ukrainian Refugees’ Return and Integration," CESifo Working Paper Series 10877, CESifo.
    2. Beaman, Lori & Onder, Harun & Onder, Stefanie, 2022. "When do refugees return home? Evidence from Syrian displacement in Mashreq," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    3. Tellez,Juan Fernando & Balcells,Laia, 2022. "Social Cohesion, Economic Security, and Forced Displacement in the Long-Run : Evidence from Rural Colombia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10019, The World Bank.
    4. Adema, Joop & Aksoy, Cevat Giray & Giesing, Yvonne & Poutvaara, Panu, 2024. "The Effect of Conflict on Refugees' Return and Integration: Evidence from Ukraine," IZA Discussion Papers 16962, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    5. Fontana, Nicola & Nannicini, Tommaso & Tabellini, Guido, 2023. "Historical roots of political extremism: The effects of Nazi occupation of Italy," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 723-743.
    6. Walk, Erin & Garimella, Kiran & Christia, Fotini, 2023. "Displacement and return in the internet Era: Social media for monitoring migration decisions in Northern Syria," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    7. Camarena, Kara Ross, 2022. "Repatriation during conflict: A signaling analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    8. Walk,Erin Elizabeth & Garimella,Kiran & Christia,Fotini, 2022. "Displacement and Return in the Internet Era : How Social Media Captures Migration Decisionsin Northern Syria," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10024, The World Bank.
    9. Hager, Anselm & Valasek, Justin, 2022. "The Impact of Exposure to Refugees on Prosocial Behavior," Discussion Paper Series in Economics 4/2022, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics.
    10. Onah Peter Thompson & Jonathan Hall & James Igoe Walsh, 2021. "Information, Anxiety, and Persuasion: Analyzing Return Intentions of Displaced Persons," HiCN Working Papers 362, Households in Conflict Network.

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