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Social Cohesion, Economic Security, and Forced displacement in the Long-run: Evidence From Rural Colombia

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  • Juan F. Tellez
  • Laia Balcells

Abstract

Millions of people around the world are internally displaced. And yet – compared to other forms of wartime victimization – scholars know relatively little about the long-run consequences of displacement for victims. This gap in the literature is problematic since displacement is distinct from other forms of victimization, and because IDPs face unique challenges in post-conflict transitions. This study contributes to the literature on the effects of displacement in three ways. First, the study brings to bear a unique sample of households in Colombia that is largely homogeneous along key confounders – mostly poor, rural, and conflict-afflicted – yet varies in their exposure to displacement. Next, the study draws on a rich set of covariates and outcomes to provide plausible estimates on the long-run effects of internal displacement. The study finds that a decade or more after displacement, victims experience substantial negative welfare deficits yet exhibit higher levels of social cohesion than their counterparts. Finally, combining a prediction framework with key stakeholder interviews, the study explores variation in outcomes among victims, particularly why some can return home and seek reparations while others are not. The results reveal a wide assortment of consequences resulting from displacement and should help inform policy-making bearing on support for internally displaced people.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan F. Tellez & Laia Balcells, 2025. "Social Cohesion, Economic Security, and Forced displacement in the Long-run: Evidence From Rural Colombia," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 69(1), pages 46-73, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:69:y:2025:i:1:p:46-73
    DOI: 10.1177/00220027241253532
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    References listed on IDEAS

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