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Die Entwicklung des öffentlichen Aufwandes für Pflegedienstleistungen. Projektion für die österreichischen Bundesländer

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  • Ulrike Famira-Mühlberger

    (WIFO)

  • Matthias Firgo

Abstract

Die Projektion der öffentlichen Nettoausgaben für Pflegedienstleistungen in den Bundesländern, die aus Mitteln der Sozialhilfe bzw. der Mindestsicherung (mit-)finanziert werden, berücksichtigt die prognostizierte demographische Entwicklung, die Verbesserung der Gesundheit der Älteren, den Rückgang der informellen Pflege sowie Kostensteigerungen, nicht jedoch künftige Politikänderungen. Zwischen 2012 und 2030 wird demnach der öffentliche Gesamtaufwand um 112% (Burgenland) bis 159% (Vorarlberg) zunehmen. Dabei ergibt sich ein etwas geringerer Anstieg für mobile Dienste als für stationäre Dienste. Ein "Politikszenario" unterstellt eine schrittweise Einschränkung der stationären Pflege und zeigt, dass eine treffsicherere Vergabe der Pflegeheimplätze die Kosten senken würde.

Suggested Citation

  • Ulrike Famira-Mühlberger & Matthias Firgo, 2014. "Die Entwicklung des öffentlichen Aufwandes für Pflegedienstleistungen. Projektion für die österreichischen Bundesländer," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 87(9), pages 643-652, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2014:i:9:p:643-652
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Peter Zweifel & Stefan Felder & Markus Meiers, 1999. "Ageing of population and health care expenditure: a red herring?," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(6), pages 485-496, September.
    2. Matthias Firgo & Ulrike Famira-Mühlberger, 2014. "Status quo und Zukunftspotentiale der Pflegedienstleistungen in Österreich," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 87(9), pages 631-642, September.
    3. Matthias Firgo & Ulrike Famira-Mühlberger, 2014. "Ausbau der stationären Pflege in den Bundesländern. Quantitative und qualitative Effekte des Einsatzes öffentlicher Mittel im Vergleich zur mobilen Pflege," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 47447.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ulrike Famira-Mühlberger, 2017. "Die Bedeutung der 24-Stunden-Betreuung für die Altenbetreuung in Österreich," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 60718.
    2. Volker Ziemann, 2015. "Towards more gender equality in Austria," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1273, OECD Publishing.
    3. Matthias Firgo & Ulrike Famira-Mühlberger, 2014. "Status quo und Zukunftspotentiale der Pflegedienstleistungen in Österreich," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 87(9), pages 631-642, September.
    4. Stefan Schiman-Vukan, 2016. "Langfristige Perspektiven der öffentlichen Finanzen in Österreich. Projektionen des Staatshaushalts bis 2060," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 58802.

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