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Potentialwachstum in Österreich. Schätzung und Diskussion der angebotsseitigen Wachstumschancen

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  • Sandra Bilek-Steindl

Abstract

Das Potentialwachstum zeigt als häufig verwendeter Konjunkturindikator die Wachstumsmöglichkeiten einer Volkswirtschaft bei "normaler" Auslastung des gegebenen Angebotes an Produktionsfaktoren. Eine Schätzung mit einem Produktionsfunktionsansatz liefert für das Jahr 2006 je nach Annahmen über die Einsatzfähigkeit der vorgemerkten Arbeitslosen sowie jener in der stillen Reserve Potentialwachstumsraten zwischen 2,5% und 2,9%.

Suggested Citation

  • Sandra Bilek-Steindl, 2006. "Potentialwachstum in Österreich. Schätzung und Diskussion der angebotsseitigen Wachstumschancen," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 79(12), pages 881-891, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2006:i:12:p:881-891
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gunther Tichy, 2006. "Demografie-Prognoseschwäche, Arbeitsmarkt und Pensionsfinanzierung," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 32(2), pages 149-165.
    2. Pete Richardson & Laurence Boone & Claude Giorno & Mara Meacci & David Rae & David Turner, 2000. "The Concept, Policy Use and Measurement of Structural Unemployment: Estimating a Time Varying NAIRU Across 21 OECD Countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 250, OECD Publishing.
    3. Romer, Paul M, 1990. "Endogenous Technological Change," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(5), pages 71-102, October.
    4. Edmund S. Phelps, 1968. "Money-Wage Dynamics and Labor-Market Equilibrium," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 76(4), pages 678-678.
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    1. Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski & Thomas Url, 2013. "Outputlücke und strukturelles Defizit für Österreich. Kritische Analyse der Methode der Europäischen Kommission," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 86(9), pages 737-751, September.
    2. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik & Margit Schratzenstaller-Altzinger & Thomas Url, 2011. "Exports Drive Growth – Domestic Demand Remains Subdued. Medium-term Projections for the Austrian Economy until 2015," Austrian Economic Quarterly, WIFO, vol. 16(1), pages 21-34, March.
    3. Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik & Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Thomas Url, 2008. "A Decomposition of Austria's General Government Budget into Structural and Cyclical Components," WIFO Working Papers 316, WIFO.

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