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Der Verbraucherpreisindex als Konjunkturindikator?

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  • Wolfgang Pollan

    (WIFO)

Abstract

Der Verbraucherpreisindex misst die Entwicklung des Lebensstandards der privaten Haushalte, wird aber mitunter auch gemeinsam mit anderen Kennzahlen für die Beurteilung der Konjunkturlage verwendet. Seine Aussagekraft ist hier mit Vorsicht zu interpretieren: Die kurzfristige Preisentwicklung wird nämlich häufig von Faktoren bestimmt, die mit dem Konjunkturverlauf wenig oder gar nicht zusammenhängen. Diese Einschränkung betrifft sowohl den zeitlichen als auch den internationalen Vergleich von Inflationsraten.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Pollan, 2004. "Der Verbraucherpreisindex als Konjunkturindikator?," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 77(12), pages 883-895, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2004:i:12:p:883-895
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Joseph Stiglitz, 1997. "Reflections on the Natural Rate Hypothesis," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 11(1), pages 3-10, Winter.
    2. Wolfgang Pollan, 2003. "Der Verbraucherpreisindex als Deflationsindikator," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 76(7), pages 501-513, July.
    3. Wolfgang Pollan, 2002. "Zur Messung der Verbraucherpreise. Lebenshaltungskostenindex oder Preisindex?," WIFO Working Papers 186, WIFO.
    4. Wolfgang Pollan, 2002. "Zur Messung der Verbraucherpreise in Österreich. Lebenshaltungskostenindex oder Preisindex?," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 75(12), pages 775-787, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Markus Marterbauer & Ewald Walterskirchen, 2005. "Einfluss der Haus- und Wohnungspreise auf Wirtschaftswachstum und Inflation," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 25691, March.
    2. Markus Marterbauer & Ewald Walterskirchen, 2005. "Einfluss der Haus- und Wohnungspreise auf das Wirtschaftswachstum," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 78(11), pages 761-774, November.

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