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Rational Expectations and the Predictive Efficiency of Economic Models

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  • Nelson, Charles R

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  • Nelson, Charles R, 1975. "Rational Expectations and the Predictive Efficiency of Economic Models," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 48(3), pages 331-343, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:48:y:1975:i:3:p:331-43
    DOI: 10.1086/295759
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    Cited by:

    1. Pagan, Adrian & Robinson, Tim, 2022. "Excess shocks can limit the economic interpretation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    2. Skold, Karl Durwood, 1989. "The integration of alternative information systems: an application to the Hogs and Pigs report," ISU General Staff Papers 1989010108000010239, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    3. Silva Lopes, Artur, 1994. "A "hipótese das expectativas racionais": teoria e realidade (uma visita guiada à literatura até 1992) [The "rational expectations hypothesis": theory and reality (a guided tour ," MPRA Paper 9699, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 23 Jul 2008.
    4. McNulty, Mark S., 1985. "Information usage in the formation of price expectations: theory and econometric tests," ISU General Staff Papers 1985010108000013085, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    5. Shonkwiler, J. Scott & Spreen, Thomas H., 1980. "The Rational Expectations Hypothesis: An Empirical Application To The Florida Escarole Market," 1980 Annual Meeting, July 27-30, Urbana-Champaign, Illinois 278478, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    6. Hayat, Muhammad Azmat & Farvaque, Etienne, 2012. "Public attitudes towards central bank independence: Lessons from the foundation of the ECB," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 512-523.
    7. John McDonald, 1979. "A time series approach to forecasting Australian total live-births," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 16(4), pages 575-601, November.
    8. JOHN McDONALD & PETER MORGAN, 1981. "Forecasting Australian Marriage Rates," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 57(1), pages 47-57, March.
    9. Bidarkota, Prasad V., 1998. "The comparative forecast performance of univariate and multivariate models: an application to real interest rate forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 457-468, December.
    10. L. V. Defris & R. A. Williams, 1979. "The Formation of Consumer Inflationary Expectations in Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 55(2), pages 136-148, June.
    11. Victor Zarnowitz, 1982. "Expectations and Forecasts from Business Outlook Surveys," NBER Working Papers 0845, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. John Mcdonald, 1977. "The Relationship Between Wage Inflation and Excess Demand — New Estimates Using Optimal Extrapolative Wage Expectations," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 53(4), pages 490-507, December.
    13. Jean C. H. Loo, 1988. "Common Stock Returns, Expected Inflation, And The Rational Expectations Hypothesis," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 11(2), pages 165-172, June.
    14. Tsai, Grace Yueh-Hsiang, 1989. "A dynamic model of the U.S. cotton market with rational expectations," ISU General Staff Papers 1989010108000012168, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    15. Tegene, Abebayehu, 1983. "A rational expectations approach to the modelling of agricultural supply: a case study of Iowa," ISU General Staff Papers 198301010800009963, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    16. Victor Zarnowitz, 1983. "Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts," NBER Working Papers 1070, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Garcia, Raúl, 1989. "Combined Tests of The Fisher and Expectation Hypothesis," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 9(1), April.
    18. Ramser, Hans Jürgen, 1976. "Rationale Erwartungen und Wirtschaftspolitik," Discussion Papers, Series I 84, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics.
    19. van Lelyveld, Iman, 1999. "Inflation or unemployment? Who cares?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 463-484, September.
    20. Moore, Kevin Clare, 1985. "Predictive econometric modeling of the United States farmland market: an empirical test of the rational expectations hypothesis," ISU General Staff Papers 198501010800008872, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.

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