IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/tcb/cebare/v17y2017i1p19-29.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Capital market and economic growth nexus: Evidence from Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Yener Coskun
  • Unal Seven
  • H. Murat Ertugrul
  • Talat Ulussever

Abstract

This study explores the relations between the development level of capital market sub-components, involving mutual/pension funds, corporate bond, stock and government bond markets, and economic growth over the period of 2006:M1 and 2016:M6 in Turkey. We find that there is a long-run cointegrating relationship between capital market development and economic growth and also a unidirectional causality running from capital market development to economic growth. Using ARDL, Markov Switching Regression and Kalman Filter models, we also find that capital market development has asymmetric effects on economic growth where government bond market development is negatively but the aggregated index of other sub-components is positively associated with economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Yener Coskun & Unal Seven & H. Murat Ertugrul & Talat Ulussever, 2017. "Capital market and economic growth nexus: Evidence from Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 17(1), pages 1-19–29.
    • Handle: RePEc:tcb:cebare:v:17:y:2017:i:1:p:19-29
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/13030701/17/1
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Devereux, Michael B & Smith, Gregor W, 1994. "International Risk Sharing and Economic Growth," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 35(3), pages 535-550, August.
    2. Beck, Thorsten & Levine, Ross, 2004. "Stock markets, banks, and growth: Panel evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 423-442, March.
    3. Thumrongvit, Patara & Kim, Yoonbai & Pyun, Chong Soo, 2013. "Linking the missing market: The effect of bond markets on economic growth," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 529-541.
    4. Obstfeld, Maurice, 1994. "Risk-Taking, Global Diversification, and Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(5), pages 1310-1329, December.
    5. Jaejoon Woo & Manmohan S. Kumar, 2015. "Public Debt and Growth," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 82(328), pages 705-739, October.
    6. Levine, Ross & Zervos, Sara, 1998. "Stock Markets, Banks, and Economic Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(3), pages 537-558, June.
    7. Michiel Bijlsma & Ferry Haaijen & Casper van Ewijk, 2014. "Economic growth and funded pension systems," CPB Discussion Paper 279.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    8. Arestis, Philip & Demetriades, Panicos O & Luintel, Kul B, 2001. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: The Role of Stock Markets," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 33(1), pages 16-41, February.
    9. Ross Levine, 1997. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: Views and Agenda," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(2), pages 688-726, June.
    10. Paul Mizen & Serafeim Tsoukas, 2014. "What promotes greater use of the corporate bond market? A study of the issuance behaviour of firms in Asia," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 66(1), pages 227-253, January.
    11. Seven, Ünal & Yetkiner, Hakan, 2016. "Financial intermediation and economic growth: Does income matter?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 39-58.
    12. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2010. "Growth in a Time of Debt," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 573-578, May.
    13. Mr. Amadou N Sy & Ms. Li L Ong, 2004. "The Role of Mature Market Mutual Funds in Emerging Markets: Myth or Mayhem?," IMF Working Papers 2004/133, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Alif Darrat, 1999. "Are Financial Deepening and Economic Growth Causally Related? Another Look at the Evidence," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 19-35.
    15. Cohen, Daniel, 1997. "Growth and External Debt: A New Perspective on the African and Latin American Tragedies," CEPR Discussion Papers 1753, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    16. Stephen Cecchetti & Enisse Kharroubi, 2012. "Reassessing the impact of finance on growth," BIS Working Papers 381, Bank for International Settlements.
    17. Beck, T.H.L., 2011. "Finance and Oil. Is there a Resource Curse in Financial Development?," Other publications TiSEM 123f034a-fde0-4c02-b147-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    18. Atje, Raymond & Jovanovic, Boyan, 1993. "Stock markets and development," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(2-3), pages 632-640, April.
    19. Hakan Kara, 2016. "A brief assessment of Turkey's macroprudential policy approach : 2011–2015," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 16(3), pages 85-92.
    20. Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1993. "A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 783-820, July.
    21. Hasan Murat Ertugrul & Huseyin Ozturk, 2013. "The Drivers of Credit Default Swap Prices: Evidence from Selected Emerging Market Countries," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(S5), pages 228-249, November.
    22. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    23. Toan Quoc Nguyen & Mr. Benedict J. Clements & Ms. Rina Bhattacharya, 2003. "External Debt, Public Investment, and Growth in Low-Income Countries," IMF Working Papers 2003/249, International Monetary Fund.
    24. Dreger, Christian & Reimers, Hans-Eggert, 2013. "Does euro area membership affect the relation between GDP growth and public debt?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 481-486.
    25. Ugo Panizza & Andrea F. Presbitero, 2013. "Public Debt and Economic Growth in Advanced Economies: A Survey," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 149(II), pages 175-204, June.
    26. Harris, Richard D. F., 1997. "Stock markets and development: A re-assessment," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 139-146, January.
    27. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250.
    28. Catherine Pattillo & Hélène Poirson & Luca Antonio Ricci, 2011. "External Debt and Growth," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 2(3).
    29. Stiglitz, Joseph E, 1985. "Credit Markets and the Control of Capital," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 17(2), pages 133-152, May.
    30. Rudra P. Pradhan & Mak B. Arvin & Sara E. Bennett & Mahendhiran Nair & John H. Hall, 2016. "Bond Market Development, Economic Growth and Other Macroeconomic Determinants: Panel VAR Evidence," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 23(2), pages 175-201, June.
    31. Bill Francis & Eric Ofori, 2015. "Political regimes and stock market development," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 5(1), pages 111-137, June.
    32. Naceur, Samy Ben & Ghazouani, Samir, 2007. "Stock markets, banks, and economic growth: Empirical evidence from the MENA region," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 297-315, June.
    33. C. C. Bautista, 2003. "Stock market volatility in the Philippines," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(5), pages 315-318, April.
    34. David J. Smyth & Yu Hsing, 1995. "In Search Of An Optimal Debt Ratio For Economic Growth," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 13(4), pages 51-59, October.
    35. Ake Boubakari & Dehuan Jin, 2010. "The Role of Stock Market Development in Economic Growth: Evidence from Some Euronext Countries," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 1(1), pages 14-20, December.
    36. Levine, Ross, 1991. "Stock Markets, Growth, and Tax Policy," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(4), pages 1445-1465, September.
    37. Coşkun, Yener & Ümit, A. Öznur, 2016. "Cointegration Analysis Between Stock Exchange and TL/FX Saving Deposits, Gold, Housing Markets in Turkey," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 7(1), pages 47-69, January.
    38. Ioan Alin Nistor & Maria Ciupac-Ulici & Ioana Radu, 2013. "Testing the Granger Causality between the Dynamics of the Romanian Mutual Fund Market and the Economy," Finante - provocarile viitorului (Finance - Challenges of the Future), University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 1(15), pages 48-59, December.
    39. Schclarek, Alfredo, 2004. "Debt and Economic Growth in Developing and Industrial Countries," Working Papers 2005:34, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    40. Bettina Fincke & Alfred Greiner, 2015. "Public Debt and Economic Growth in Emerging Market Economies," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 83(3), pages 357-370, September.
    41. Zandberg, Eelco & Spierdijk, Laura, 2013. "Funding of pensions and economic growth: are they really related?," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(2), pages 151-167, April.
    42. Jung-Suk Yu & M. Kabir Hassan & Benito Sanchez, 2012. "A re-examination of financial development, stock markets development and economic growth," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(27), pages 3479-3489, September.
    43. Hakan KARA & Fethi ÖĞÜNÇ, 2012. "Döviz kuru ve ithalat fiyatlarının yurt içi fiyatlara etkisi," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 27(317), pages 09-28.
    44. Mr. S. M. Ali Abbas & Mr. Jakob E Christensen, 2007. "The Role of Domestic Debt Markets in Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation for Low-Income Countries and Emerging Markets," IMF Working Papers 2007/127, International Monetary Fund.
    45. Stock J.H. & Watson M.W., 2002. "Forecasting Using Principal Components From a Large Number of Predictors," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 97, pages 1167-1179, December.
    46. Fernandez, Roque B, 1981. "A Methodological Note on the Estimation of Time Series," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 63(3), pages 471-476, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ergin Akalpler & Simbarashe Hove, 2022. "Monetary policy and capital flow implications on economic growth in BRICS countries," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 253-274, February.
    2. Duc Hong Vo & Son Van Huynh & Anh The Vo & Dao Thi-Thieu Ha, 2019. "The Importance of the Financial Derivatives Markets to Economic Development in the World’s Four Major Economies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-18, February.
    3. Amar Anwar & Ichiro Iwasaki, 2023. "The finance–growth nexus in the Middle East and Africa: A comparative meta‐analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4655-4683, October.
    4. Sadeghi, Abdorasoul & Tayebi, Seyed Komail & Roudari, Soheil, 2023. "Financial markets, inflation and growth: The impact of monetary policy under different political structures," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 45(5), pages 935-956.
    5. Babatounde Ifred Paterne Zonon, 2021. "Regional Stock Exchange Development and Economic Growth in the Countries of the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU)," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-19, November.
    6. Jeevan Kumar Bhattarai & Ramji Gautam & Keshab Khatri Chettri, 2024. "Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Nepal," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 25(6), pages 1510-1524, December.
    7. Hong Vo, Duc & Van Nguyen, Phuc & Minh Nguyen, Ha & The Vo, Anh & Cong Nguyen, Thang, 2020. "Derivatives market and economic growth nexus: Policy implications for emerging markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    8. Kuziva Mamvura & Mabutho Sibanda & Rajendra Rajaram, 2020. "Causal Dynamics among Foreign Portfolio Investment Volatility, Financial Deepening and Capital Markets in Low Income Countries," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 70(1-2), pages 20-38, January-J.
    9. Ardhiani Fadila & Dewi Cahyani Pangestuti, 2022. "Examining the Effect of Economic Collison: Case On Credit Performance in Islamic Banking," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 11(1), pages 132-145, January.
    10. Hana Bawazir & Mukesh Kumar & Saban Celik & Khadija Abdulredha Abdulla & Bora Aktan, 2020. "The interdependence between stock market development and economic growth: a multi-country examination," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 38(2), pages 619-652.
    11. Abdullahil Mamun & Mohammad Hasmat Ali & Nazamul Hoque & Md Masrurul Mowla & Shahanara Basher, 2018. "The Causality between Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: Econometric Evidence from Bangladesh," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(5), pages 212-220, May.
    12. Yeþim Helhel, 2019. "Kýrýlgan Beþli Ülkelerde Hisse Senedi Piyasasý Geliþimi ve Ekonomik Büyüme Ýliþkisi," Isletme ve Iktisat Calismalari Dergisi, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 19-29.
    13. Jose Alberto Fuinhas & Antonio Cardoso Marques & Catia Lopes, 2019. "The Impact of Financial Development and Globalisation on Economic Growth: Evidence from a Macro Panel of Ten Countries," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(3), pages 366-388, March.
    14. Novita Sari & Syamsurijal AK & Marlina Widiyanti, 2018. "The Impact Of Islamic Capital Market Development On Economic Growth: The Case Of Indonesia," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 3(2), pages 21-30, December.
    15. Mahla Afghahi & Farzaneh Nassirzadeh & Davood Askarany, 2024. "Exploring the impact of customer concentration on stock price crash risk," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, December.
    16. Otilia-Roxana Oprea & Ovidiu Stoica, 2018. "Capital Markets Integration and Economic Growth," Montenegrin Journal of Economics, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research (ELIT), vol. 14(3), pages 23-35.
    17. Naliniprava Tripathy & Shekhar Mishra, 2023. "The Dynamics of Cointegration Between Economic Growth and Financial Development in Emerging Asian Economy: Evidence from India," Vision, , vol. 27(4), pages 485-497, August.
    18. Maku Affor Owen, 2020. "Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence From an Institutional Impaired Economy," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(5), pages 496-509, October.
    19. Sergei A. Aivazian & Mikhail Yu. Afanasiev & Alexander V. Kudrov, 2018. "Indicators of Regional Development Using Differentiation Characteristics," Montenegrin Journal of Economics, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research (ELIT), vol. 14(3), pages 7-22.
    20. Md. Qamruzzaman & Jianguo Wei, 2018. "Financial Innovation, Stock Market Development, and Economic Growth: An Application of ARDL Model," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-30, August.
    21. Tuan-Hock Ng & Chun-Teck Lye & Kar-Hoong Chan & Ying-Zhee Lim & Ying-San Lim, 2020. "Sustainability in Asia: The Roles of Financial Development in Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) Performance," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 150(1), pages 17-44, July.
    22. Samet Gunay & Gokberk Can, 2022. "The source of financial contagion and spillovers: An evaluation of the covid-19 pandemic and the global financial crisis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(1), pages 1-20, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Faris Alshubiri, 2021. "The stock market capitalisation and financial growth nexus: an empirical study of western European countries," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-20, December.
    2. Manuel Ennes Ferreira & João Dias & Jelson Serafim, 2022. "Stock Market and Economic Growth: Evidence from Africa," Working Papers REM 2022/0228, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    3. Guangdong Xu, 2022. "From financial structure to economic growth: Theory, evidence and challenges," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 51(1), February.
    4. Seven, Ünal & Yetkiner, Hakan, 2016. "Financial intermediation and economic growth: Does income matter?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 39-58.
    5. Abdullahil Mamun & Mohammad Hasmat Ali & Nazamul Hoque & Md Masrurul Mowla & Shahanara Basher, 2018. "The Causality between Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: Econometric Evidence from Bangladesh," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(5), pages 212-220, May.
    6. Enisan, Akinlo A. & Olufisayo, Akinlo O., 2009. "Stock market development and economic growth: Evidence from seven sub-Sahara African countries," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 61(2), pages 162-171.
    7. Pan, Lei & Mishra, Vinod, 2018. "Stock market development and economic growth: Empirical evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 661-673.
    8. Seven, Unal & Coskun, Yener, 2016. "Does financial development reduce income inequality and poverty? Evidence from emerging countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 34-63.
    9. Wahidin, Deni & Akimov, Alexandr & Roca, Eduardo, 2021. "The impact of bond market development on economic growth before and after the global financial crisis: Evidence from developed and developing countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    10. Hondroyiannis, George & Lolos, Sarantis & Papapetrou, Evangelia, 2005. "Financial markets and economic growth in Greece, 1986-1999," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 173-188, April.
    11. Gunther Capelle-Blancard, 2018. "What is the Point of (the Hundreds of Thousands of Billions of) Stock Transactions?," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 60(1), pages 15-33, March.
    12. Talknice Saungweme & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2019. "Does Public Debt Impact Economic Growth in Zambia? An Ardl-Bounds Testing Approach," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 69(4), pages 53-73, October-D.
    13. Ho, Sin-Yu, 2017. "The Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Development: Evidence from Malaysia," MPRA Paper 77232, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Sin-Yu Ho, 2018. "Determinants of economic growth in Hong Kong: The role of stock market development," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1510718-151, January.
    15. Castaneda, Gonzalo, 2006. "Economic growth and concentrated ownership in stock markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 59(2), pages 249-286, February.
    16. Ndubuisi N. Udemezue & Catherine A. Nneli & Stephen F. Aleke & Frankine C. Okeke, 2024. "Evaluating Sustainable Relationship between Stock Market Development and Nigeria’s Economic Growth," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(1), pages 2449-2470, January.
    17. Naceur, Samy Ben & Ghazouani, Samir, 2007. "Stock markets, banks, and economic growth: Empirical evidence from the MENA region," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 297-315, June.
    18. Christie Dike, 2016. "Stock Market Efficiency Promotes Economic Development: Empirical Evidence from Africa," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(3), pages 1287-1298.
    19. Sin-Yu Ho, 2019. "The macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in Malaysia: an empirical analysis," Global Business and Economics Review, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 21(2), pages 174-193.
    20. Yeþim Helhel, 2019. "Kýrýlgan Beþli Ülkelerde Hisse Senedi Piyasasý Geliþimi ve Ekonomik Büyüme Ýliþkisi," Isletme ve Iktisat Calismalari Dergisi, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 19-29.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:tcb:cebare:v:17:y:2017:i:1:p:19-29. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge or the person in charge or the person in charge or the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/tcmgvtr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.