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Public Debt and Economic Growth in Emerging Market Economies

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  • Bettina Fincke
  • Alfred Greiner

Abstract

This paper empirically studies the relationship between public debt and economic growth for selected emerging market economies by performing panel data estimations. The results reveal a statistically significant positive correlation between public debt and the subsequent growth rate of per capita gross domestic product (GDP). Population and investment are also positively correlated with per capita growth, whereas the initial level of real GDP per capita exerts a negative influence on growth, implying conditional convergence. Other variables such as the inflation rate, the trade balance or the exchange rate do not yield a statistically significant effect with respect to economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Bettina Fincke & Alfred Greiner, 2015. "Public Debt and Economic Growth in Emerging Market Economies," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 83(3), pages 357-370, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:sajeco:v:83:y:2015:i:3:p:357-370
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/saje.12079
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    3. Alfred Greiner, 2020. "Public Debt in a Descriptive Endogenous Growth Model," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 21(1), pages 173-187, May.
    4. Yener Coskun & Unal Seven & H. Murat Ertugrul & Talat Ulussever, 2017. "Capital market and economic growth nexus: Evidence from Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 17(1), pages 1-19–29.
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    7. Maurizio Intartaglia & Andreas Antoniades & Sambit Bhattacharyya, 2018. "Unbundled debt and economic growth in developed and developing economies: An empirical analysis," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(12), pages 3345-3358, December.
    8. ouhibi, saoussen & hammami, sami, 2018. "Does Public Debt Matter For Economic Growth? Evidence from southern Mediterranean countries," MPRA Paper 86378, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 May 2018.
    9. Mohammed Daher Alshammary & Zulkefly Abdul Karim & Norlin Khalid & Riayati Ahmad, 2020. "Debt-Growth Nexus in the MENA Region: Evidence from a Panel Threshold Analysis," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-12, November.
    10. K. R. Shanmugam & K. Shanmugam, 2022. "Sustainability and Threshold Value of Public Debt in Tamil Nadu," Working Papers 2022-226, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
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