IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/pal/palcom/v11y2024i1d10.1057_s41599-024-03069-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Exploring the impact of customer concentration on stock price crash risk

Author

Listed:
  • Mahla Afghahi

    (Ferdowsi University of Mashhad)

  • Farzaneh Nassirzadeh

    (Ferdowsi University of Mashhad)

  • Davood Askarany

    (The University of Auckland)

Abstract

This paper, rooted in agency theory, explores the intricate relationship between stock price crash risk and customer concentration within the context of Iran, a developing nation. Utilising innovative indicators to measure corporate and government customers, we address inconsistent findings in existing research and offer fresh insights into stock price crash risk dynamics. Focusing on 82 companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange from 2013 to 2020, our study employs a robust methodological framework, including panel data, multiple regression and three distinct metrics to measure customer concentration. Specifically, we introduce the proportion of significant customer sales, the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index, and a Ranking Index based on substantial customer sales. Our investigation reveals a noteworthy inverse relationship between the highest concentration level of corporate customer concentration, as measured by the Ranking Index, and stock price crash risk. Similarly, we establish an inverse association between the Ranking Index for government customer concentration and stock price crash risk. Moreover, institutional investors positively influence the correlation between corporate customer concentration and stock price crash risk but do not exert a discernible impact on the relationship between government customer concentration and stock price crash risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Mahla Afghahi & Farzaneh Nassirzadeh & Davood Askarany, 2024. "Exploring the impact of customer concentration on stock price crash risk," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:palcom:v:11:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1057_s41599-024-03069-3
    DOI: 10.1057/s41599-024-03069-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1057/s41599-024-03069-3
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1057/s41599-024-03069-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Huang, Henry He & Lobo, Gerald J. & Wang, Chong & Xie, Hong, 2016. "Customer concentration and corporate tax avoidance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 184-200.
    2. D. Sornette, 2003. "Critical Market Crashes," Papers cond-mat/0301543, arXiv.org.
    3. Jin, Li & Myers, Stewart C., 2006. "R2 around the world: New theory and new tests," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 257-292, February.
    4. Chen, Joseph & Hong, Harrison & Stein, Jeremy C., 2001. "Forecasting crashes: trading volume, past returns, and conditional skewness in stock prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(3), pages 345-381, September.
    5. Yener Coskun & Unal Seven & H. Murat Ertugrul & Talat Ulussever, 2017. "Capital market and economic growth nexus: Evidence from Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 17(1), pages 1-19–29.
    6. Farzaneh Nassirzadeh & Davood Askarany & Solmaz Arefi-Asl, 2023. "The Relationship between Changes in Corporate Governance Characteristics and Intellectual Capital," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-19, February.
    7. Ni, Xiaoran & Zhu, Weikang, 2016. "Short-sales and stock price crash risk: Evidence from an emerging market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 22-24.
    8. Jeong†Bon Kim & Liandong Zhang, 2016. "Accounting Conservatism and Stock Price Crash Risk: Firm†level Evidence," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(1), pages 412-441, March.
    9. Xu, Nianhang & Li, Xiaorong & Yuan, Qingbo & Chan, Kam C., 2014. "Excess perks and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 419-434.
    10. Shan, Shan & Ahmad, Munir & Tan, Zhixiong & Adebayo, Tomiwa Sunday & Man Li, Rita Yi & Kirikkaleli, Dervis, 2021. "The role of energy prices and non-linear fiscal decentralization in limiting carbon emissions: Tracking environmental sustainability," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    11. Bhattacharya, Prasad S. & Graham, Michael, 2007. "Institutional ownership and firm performance: evidence from Finland," Working Papers aef_2007_01, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
    12. Min Zhang & Lu Xie & Haoran Xu, 2016. "Corporate Philanthropy and Stock Price Crash Risk: Evidence from China," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 139(3), pages 595-617, December.
    13. Itzkowitz, Jennifer, 2013. "Customers and cash: How relationships affect suppliers' cash holdings," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 159-180.
    14. Campello, Murillo & Gao, Janet, 2017. "Customer concentration and loan contract terms," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(1), pages 108-136.
    15. Shilu Sun & Tiantian Li & Hong Ma & Rita Yi Man Li & Kostas Gouliamos & Jianming Zheng & Yan Han & Otilia Manta & Ubaldo Comite & Teresa Barros & Nelson Duarte & Xiao-Guang Yue, 2020. "Does Employee Quality Affect Corporate Social Responsibility? Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-19, March.
    16. Cornett, Marcia Millon & Marcus, Alan J. & Saunders, Anthony & Tehranian, Hassan, 2007. "The impact of institutional ownership on corporate operating performance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 1771-1794, June.
    17. Kim, Jeong-Bon & Li, Yinghua & Zhang, Liandong, 2011. "Corporate tax avoidance and stock price crash risk: Firm-level analysis," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(3), pages 639-662, June.
    18. Hui, Kai Wai & Klasa, Sandy & Yeung, P. Eric, 2012. "Corporate suppliers and customers and accounting conservatism," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 115-135.
    19. Luboš Pástor & Pietro Veronesi, 2009. "Technological Revolutions and Stock Prices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(4), pages 1451-1483, September.
    20. Yun Feng & Xin Li, 2022. "The Cross-Shareholding Network and Risk Contagion from Stochastic Shocks: An Investigation Based on China’s Market," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(1), pages 357-381, January.
    21. Hertzel, Michael G. & Li, Zhi & Officer, Micah S. & Rodgers, Kimberly J., 2008. "Inter-firm linkages and the wealth effects of financial distress along the supply chain," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 374-387, February.
    22. Lee, Sang Mook & Jiraporn, Pornsit & Song, Hakjoon, 2020. "Customer concentration and stock price crash risk," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 327-346.
    23. Mostafa Monzur Hasan & Grantley Taylor & Grant Richardson, 2022. "Brand Capital and Stock Price Crash Risk," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(10), pages 7221-7247, October.
    24. Graham, John R. & Harvey, Campbell R. & Rajgopal, Shiva, 2005. "The economic implications of corporate financial reporting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(1-3), pages 3-73, December.
    25. Min‐Ping Kang & Joseph T. Mahoney & Danchi Tan, 2009. "Why firms make unilateral investments specific to other firms: the case of OEM suppliers," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(2), pages 117-135, February.
    26. Dan Dhaliwal & Paul N. Michas & Vic Naiker & Divesh Sharma, 2020. "Greater Reliance on Major Customers and Auditor Going‐Concern Opinions," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(1), pages 160-188, March.
    27. Kolay, Madhuparna & Lemmon, Michael & Tashjian, Elizabeth, 2016. "Spreading the Misery? Sources of Bankruptcy Spillover in the Supply Chain," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 51(6), pages 1955-1990, December.
    28. Weihong Huang & Yu Zhang, 2017. "Endogenous Fundamental and Stock Cycles," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 50(4), pages 629-653, December.
    29. Michael J. Mauboussin, 2002. "Revisiting Market Efficiency: The Stock Market As A Complex Adaptive System," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 14(4), pages 47-55, January.
    30. Haomin Zhang & Zhijun Lin & Ming Liu & Kai Wang, 2020. "Customer concentration and over-investment," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(46), pages 5035-5045, October.
    31. Mohammed Arkan Sahib Tileal & Farzaneh Nassirzadeh & Mohammad Javad Saei & Davood Askarany, 2023. "The Impact of Ownership Type on Labour Cost Stickiness," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-17, May.
    32. Mohsen Tavakoli Shandiz & Farzaneh Nassir Zadeh & Davood Askarany, 2022. "The Interactive Effect of Ownership Structure on the Relationship between Annual Board Report Readability and Stock Price Crash Risk," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-17, June.
    33. Pound, John, 1988. "Proxy contests and the efficiency of shareholder oversight," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1-2), pages 237-265, January.
    34. Abbas Ali Daryaei & Yasin Fattahi & Davood Askarany & Saeed Askary & Mahdad Mollazamani, 2022. "Accounting Comparability, Conservatism, Executive Compensation-Performance, and Information Quality," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-28, October.
    35. Christopher M. Snyder, 1996. "A Dynamic Theory of Countervailing Power," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 27(4), pages 747-769, Winter.
    36. Omid Mehri Namakavarani & Abbas Ali Daryaei & Davood Askarany & Saeed Askary, 2021. "Audit Committee Characteristics and Quality of Financial Information: The Role of the Internal Information Environment and Political Connections," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-18, June.
    37. Brahmadev Panda & N. M. Leepsa, 2017. "Agency theory: Review of Theory and Evidence on Problems and Perspectives," Indian Journal of Corporate Governance, , vol. 10(1), pages 74-95, June.
    38. Schumacher, Ute, 1991. "Buyer Structure and Seller Performance in U.S. Manufacturing Industries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 73(2), pages 277-284, May.
    39. Dhaliwal, Dan & Judd, J. Scott & Serfling, Matthew & Shaikh, Sarah, 2016. "Customer concentration risk and the cost of equity capital," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 23-48.
    40. Ramalingegowda, Santhosh & Yu, Yong, 2012. "Institutional ownership and conservatism," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 98-114.
    41. Aki-Hiro Sato & Paolo Tasca & Takashi Isogai, 2019. "Dynamic Interaction Between Asset Prices and Bank Behavior: A Systemic Risk Perspective," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(4), pages 1505-1537, December.
    42. Jeong†Bon Kim & Zheng Wang & Liandong Zhang, 2016. "CEO Overconfidence and Stock Price Crash Risk," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(4), pages 1720-1749, December.
    43. Sang Hoon Kang & Seong-Min Yoon & Stelios Bekiros & Gazi S. Uddin, 2020. "Bitcoin as Hedge or Safe Haven: Evidence from Stock, Currency, Bond and Derivatives Markets," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(2), pages 529-545, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lee, Sang Mook & Jiraporn, Pornsit & Song, Hakjoon, 2020. "Customer concentration and stock price crash risk," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 327-346.
    2. Cao, Feng & Zhang, Xueyan & Yuan, Rongli, 2022. "Do geographically nearby major customers mitigate suppliers’ stock price crash risk?," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(6).
    3. Xu, Lin & Rao, Yulei & Cheng, Yingmei & Wang, Jianxin, 2020. "Internal coalition and stock price crash risk," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    4. Ma, Xiaofang & Wang, Wenming & Wu, Jiangang & Zhang, Wenlan, 2020. "Corporate customer concentration and stock price crash risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    5. Ma, Rui & Guo, Fei & Li, Dongdong, 2024. "Can public data availability affect stock price crash risk? Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    6. Mu-Shu Yun & Lee-Young Cheng & Yan Zhao, 2023. "Customer concentration and target price accuracy," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 995-1028, October.
    7. Ge-zhi Wu & Da-ming You, 2021. ""Stabilizer" or "catalyst"? How green technology innovation affects the risk of stock price crashes: an analysis based on the quantity and quality of patents," Papers 2106.16177, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    8. Obaid Ur Rehman & Xiaoxing Liu & Kai Wu & Junfeng Li, 2023. "Customer concentration, leverage adjustments, and firm value," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(2), pages 2035-2079, June.
    9. Kim, Jeong-Bon & Liao, Shushu & Liu, Yangke, 2021. "Married CEOs and Stock Price Crash Risk," QBS Working Paper Series 2021/09, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School.
    10. Manh Cuong Nguyen & Viet Anh Dang & Tri Tri Nguyen, 2023. "The transfer of risk taking along the supply chain," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1341-1378, November.
    11. Jebran, Khalil & Chen, Shihua & Ye, Yan & Wang, Chengqi, 2019. "Confucianism and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    12. Thomas R. Kubick & G. Brandon Lockhart, 2021. "Industry tournament incentives and stock price crash risk," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 50(2), pages 345-369, June.
    13. Wen, Fenghua & Xu, Longhao & Ouyang, Guangda & Kou, Gang, 2019. "Retail investor attention and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    14. Wen, Wen & Ke, Yun & Liu, Xuejiao, 2021. "Customer concentration and corporate social responsibility performance: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    15. Shi, Jinyan & Liu, Xu & Li, Yanxi & Yu, Conghui & Han, Yushan, 2022. "Does supply chain network centrality affect stock price crash risk? Evidence from Chinese listed manufacturing companies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    16. Khalil Jebran & Shihua Chen & Ruibin Zhang, 2022. "Board social capital and stock price crash risk," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 499-540, February.
    17. Xu, Weidong & Gao, Xin & Li, Donghui & Zhuang, Mingming & Yang, Shijie, 2022. "Serial acquirers and stock price crash risk: International evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    18. Lu, Xian-wei & Fung, Hung-Gay & Su, Zhong-qin, 2018. "Information leakage, site visits, and crash risk: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 487-507.
    19. Mabel D. Costa & Ahsan Habib, 2021. "Trade credit and cost stickiness," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(1), pages 1139-1179, March.
    20. Qiankun Gu & Jeong‐Bon Kim & Ke Liao & Yi Si, 2023. "Decentralising for local information? Evidence from state‐owned listed firms in China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(5), pages 5245-5276, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pal:palcom:v:11:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1057_s41599-024-03069-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.nature.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.