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Do young people not in education, employment or training experience long-term occupational scarring? A longitudinal analysis over 20 years of follow-up

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  • Kevin Ralston
  • Zhiqiang Feng
  • Dawn Everington
  • Chris Dibben

Abstract

Not in education, employment or training (NEET) is a contested concept in the literature. However, it is consistently used by policy-makers and shown in research to be associated with negative outcomes. In this paper we examine whether NEET status is associated with subsequent occupational scarring using the Scottish Longitudinal Study which provides a 5.3% sample of Scotland, based on the censuses of 1991, 2001 and 2011. We model occupational position, using CAMSIS, controlling for the influence of sex, limiting long-term illness, educational attainment and geographical deprivation. We find the NEET categorisation to be a strong marker of subsequent negative outcomes at the aggregate level. This appears to be redolent of a Matthew effect, whereby disadvantage accumulates to the already disadvantaged. Our results also show that negative NEET effects are variable when stratifying by educational attainment and are different for men and women. These findings confirm that there are negative effects on occupational position associated with prior NEET status but that outcomes are heterogeneous depending on levels of education and gender.

Suggested Citation

  • Kevin Ralston & Zhiqiang Feng & Dawn Everington & Chris Dibben, 2016. "Do young people not in education, employment or training experience long-term occupational scarring? A longitudinal analysis over 20 years of follow-up," Contemporary Social Science, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2-3), pages 203-221, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rsocxx:v:11:y:2016:i:2-3:p:203-221
    DOI: 10.1080/21582041.2016.1194452
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stephen Machin, 2006. "Social Disadvantage and Education Experiences," OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers 32, OECD Publishing.
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrea Bonanomi & Alessandro Rosina, 2022. "Employment Status and Well-Being: A Longitudinal Study on Young Italian People," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 161(2), pages 581-598, June.
    2. Petit, Gillian & Tedds, Lindsay M., 2020. "Gender-Based Analysis Plus (GBA+) of the Current System of Income and Social Supports in British Columbia," MPRA Paper 105942, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Bryn Lampe & Catherine de Fontenay & Jessica Nugent & Patrick Jomini, 2022. "Climbing the Jobs Ladder Slower: Young People in a Weak Labour Market," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 55(1), pages 40-70, March.
    4. Julie MacLeavy & David Manley, 2018. "(Re)discovering the lost middle: intergenerational inheritances and economic inequality in urban and regional research," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(10), pages 1435-1446, October.
    5. Ondřej Dvouletý & Martin Lukeš & Mihaela Vancea, 2020. "Individual-level and family background determinants of young adults’ unemployment in Europe," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(2), pages 389-409, May.
    6. Yonatan Dinku, 2021. "A longitudinal analysis of economic inactivity among Indigenous youth," Australian Journal of Labour Economics (AJLE), Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School, vol. 24(1), pages 25-45.
    7. Kevin Ralston & Dawn Everington & Zhiqiang Feng & Chris Dibben, 2022. "Economic Inactivity, Not in Employment, Education or Training (NEET) and Scarring: The Importance of NEET as a Marker of Long-Term Disadvantage," Work, Employment & Society, British Sociological Association, vol. 36(1), pages 59-79, February.

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