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Causal Relationship between Telecommunications and Economic Growth in China and its Regions

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  • Alice Shiu
  • Pun-Lee Lam

Abstract

Shiu A. and Lam P.-L. Causal relationship between telecommunications and economic growth in China and its regions, Regional Studies. This paper studies the causal relationship between telecommunications development and economic growth of China. Its result indicates that there is a unidirectional relationship running from real gross domestic product (GDP) to telecommunications development at the national level. Causality running from telecommunications development to real GDP is found only in the provinces in the affluent eastern region, but not in the low-income central and western provinces. The results imply that an improvement in telecommunications infrastructure alone is not sufficient for stimulating growth in the central and western provinces. It is equally important for the Chinese government to develop and enhance other complementary factors like business environments, transportation networks, education and manpower training in order to make the best use of the telecommunications systems in the central and western provinces. [image omitted] Shiu A. et Lam P.-L. Le rapport causal entre le developpement des telecommunications et la croissance economique en Chine et dans ses regions, Regional Studies. Cet article cherche a etudier le rapport causal entre le developpement des telecommunications et la croissance economique en Chine. Les resultats indiquent qu'il existe un rapport unidirectionnel entre le PIB reel et le developpement des telecommunications sur le plan national. Une causalite qui va du developpement des telecommications au PIB reel n'est evidente que dans les provinces situees dans l'est du pays qui est riche, mais non pas dans les provinces centrales et occidentales a faible revenu. Les resultats laissent supposer qu'une amelioration de l'equipement de telecommunications ne suffit pas pour alimenter la croissance dans les provinces centrales et occidentales. Il s'avere aussi important que le gouvernement chinois developpe et fait valoir d'autres facteurs complementaires, tels le milieu commercial, les reseaux de transport, l'education et la formation, pour valoriser les systemes de telecommunications dans les provinces centrales et occidentales. Developpement des telecommunications Croissance economique Rapport causal Modele dynamique des donnees permanentes Chine Shiu A. und Lam P.-L. Kausale Beziehung zwischen Telekommunikation und Wirtschaftswachstum in China und seinen Regionen, Regional Studies. In diesem Beitrag wird die kausale Beziehung zwischen der Entwicklung der Telekommunikation und dem Wirtschaftswachstum in China untersucht. Unsere Ergebnisse weisen darauf hin, dass es eine in eine Richtung verlaufende Beziehung gibt, die vom realen Bruttoinlandsprodukt zur Entwicklung der Telekommunikation auf nationaler Ebene fuhrt. Eine Kausalitat, die von der Entwicklung der Telekommunikation hin zum realen Bruttoinlandsprodukt verlauft, lasst sich hingegen nur in den Provinzen der wohlhabenden Ostregion finden, nicht jedoch in den einkommensschwachen Provinzen der Mitte und des Westens. Unsere Ergebnisse lassen darauf schliessen, dass eine Verbesserung der Telekommunikationsinfrastruktur alleine nicht ausreicht, um das Wachstum in den Provinzen der Mitte und des Westens zu fordern. Ebenso wichtig ist es, dass die chinesische Regierung weitere, erganzende Faktoren (wie zum Beispiel Geschaftsumgebungen, Verkehrsnetze, Bildung und Ausbildung) entwickelt und verbessert, um die Telekommunikationssysteme in den Provinzen der Mitte und des Westens optimal zu nutzen. Entwicklung der Telekommunikation Wirtschaftswachstum Kausale Beziehung Dynamisches Paneldaten-Modell China Shiu A. y Lam P.-L. Relacion causal entre las telecomunicaciones y el crecimiento economico en China y sus regiones, Regional Studies. En este articulo estudiamos la relacion causal entre el desarrollo de telecomunicaciones y el crecimiento economico en China. Nuestros resultados indican que existe una relacion unidireccional que se extiende desde el PIB real hasta el desarrollo de las telecomunicaciones a nivel nacional. Esta direccion de la causalidad desde el desarrollo de telecomunicaciones al PIB real solo se observa en las provincias en la opulenta region del este pero no en las provincias central y occidental con bajos ingresos. Nuestros resultados implican que mejorar unicamente la infraestructura de telecomunicaciones no es suficiente para estimular el crecimiento en las provincias de la zona central y oeste del pais. Para el gobierno chino es igualmente importante desarrollar y aumentar otros factores complementarios como los entornos comerciales, las redes de transporte, la educacion y capacitacion de la fuerza de trabajo para poder aprovechar mejor los sistemas de telecomunicaciones en las provincias de la zona central y oeste del pais. Desarrollo de telecomunicaciones Crecimiento economico Relacion causal Modelo de datos de panel dinamico China

Suggested Citation

  • Alice Shiu & Pun-Lee Lam, 2008. "Causal Relationship between Telecommunications and Economic Growth in China and its Regions," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(5), pages 705-718.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:42:y:2008:i:5:p:705-718
    DOI: 10.1080/00343400701543314
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