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The dynamics of the Singapore commercial property market

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  • Kim Hiang Liow

Abstract

This paper assesses the cointegration characteristics of commercial property prices, property stock prices, gross domestic product (financial and business services/ commerce), interest rates and supply of commercial space in the Singapore economy over the period 1980–1997. The primary motivation is to provide useful insights into the long-term and short-run dynamics of commercial property market in the presence of stock market conditions and macroeconomic influences. Our evidence suggests that commercial property market is linked to the property stock market and macroeconomic conditions in the long run, and that about 0.10 of the deviations between the actual and the equilibrium value of commercial property price is corrected in each quarter.

Suggested Citation

  • Kim Hiang Liow, 2000. "The dynamics of the Singapore commercial property market," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 279-291.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jpropr:v:17:y:2000:i:4:p:279-291
    DOI: 10.1080/09599910010001402
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    Cited by:

    1. Tracey West & Andrew C. Worthington, 2003. "Macroeconomic risk factors in Australian commercial real estate, listed property trust and property sector stock returns: A comparative analysis using GARCH-M," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 160, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology.
    2. Eddie Chi Man Hui & Ka Hung Yu, 2006. "Simulating Hong Kong’s Office Leasing Market via System Dynamics Modeling," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 9(1), pages 23-43.
    3. Kwabena Mintah & Woon-Weng Wong & Peng Yew Wong, 2020. "Cross Border Real Estate Investments and Commercial Office Property Market Performance: Evidence from Australia," International Real Estate Review, Asian Real Estate Society, vol. 23(2), pages 837-860.
    4. Graeme Newell & Chau Kwong Wing & Wong Siu Kei & Liow Kim Hiang, 2009. "The significance and performance of property securities markets in the Asian IFCs," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 125-148, October.
    5. Kim Liow & Haishan Yang, 2005. "Long-Term Co-Memories and Short-Run Adjustment: Securitized Real Estate and Stock Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 283-300, November.
    6. Kim Hiang Liow, 2006. "Dynamic relationship between stock and property markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(5), pages 371-376.
    7. Thi Kim Nguyen & Muhammad Najib Razali, 2020. "The dynamics of listed property companies in Indonesia," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 38(2), pages 91-106, January.
    8. Kwabena Mintah & Woon-Weng Wong & Peng Yew Wong, 2020. "Cross Border Real Estate Investments and Commercial Office Property Market Performance: Evidence from Australia," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 23(2), pages 211-234.
    9. G. K. Randolph Tan, 2006. "Robust Inference for Measures of Persistence in Singapore Sectoral Property Price Indexes," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(4), pages 305-321, October.

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