Modeling Extreme Events: Time-Varying Extreme Tail Shape
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2023.2260439
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.
Other versions of this item:
- Bernd Schwaab & Xin Zhang & Andre Lucas, 2020. "Modeling extreme events: time-varying extreme tail shape," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 20-076/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Schwaab, Bernd & Zhang, Xin & Lucas, André & D’Innocenzo, Enzo, 2020. "Modeling extreme events:time-varying extreme tail shape," Working Paper Series 399, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), revised 01 Jun 2023.
- Schwaab, Bernd & Zhang, Xin & Lucas, André, 2021. "Modeling extreme events: time-varying extreme tail shape," Working Paper Series 2524, European Central Bank.
References listed on IDEAS
- F. Blasques & S. J. Koopman & A. Lucas, 2015. "Information-theoretic optimality of observation-driven time series models for continuous responses," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 102(2), pages 325-343.
- Boswijk, H. Peter & Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Georgiev, Iliyan & Rahbek, Anders, 2021.
"Bootstrapping non-stationary stochastic volatility,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 161-180.
- Peter Boswijk & Giuseppe Cavaliere & Iliyan Georgiev & Anders Rahbek, 2019. "Bootstrapping Non-Stationary Stochastic Volatility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 19-083/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- H. Peter Boswijk & Giuseppe Cavaliere & Anders Rahbek & Iliyan Georgiev, 2021. "Bootstrapping Non-Stationary Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2101.03562, arXiv.org.
- Jensen, Søren Tolver & Rahbek, Anders, 2004. "Asymptotic Inference For Nonstationary Garch," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(6), pages 1203-1226, December.
- Huisman, Ronald, et al, 2001. "Tail-Index Estimates in Small Samples," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 19(2), pages 208-216, April.
- Blasques, Francisco & Koopman, Siem Jan & Łasak, Katarzyna & Lucas, André, 2016.
"In-sample confidence bands and out-of-sample forecast bands for time-varying parameters in observation-driven models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 875-887.
- Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Katarzyna Lasak & André Lucas, 2015. "In-Sample Confidence Bands and Out-of-Sample Forecast Bands for Time-Varying Parameters in Observation Driven Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-083/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2013. "Generalized Autoregressive Score Models With Applications," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(5), pages 777-795, August.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Eric A. Beutner & Yicong Lin & Andre Lucas, 2023. "Consistency, distributional convergence, and optimality of score-driven filters," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-051/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Eric Beutner & Julia Schaumburg & Barend Spanjers, 2024. "Bootstrapping GARCH Models Under Dependent Innovations," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 24-008/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Julien Hambuckers & Li Sun & Luca Trapin, 2023. "Measuring tail risk at high-frequency: An $L_1$-regularized extreme value regression approach with unit-root predictors," Papers 2301.01362, arXiv.org.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Zheng, Tingguo & Ye, Shiqi & Hong, Yongmiao, 2023. "Fast estimation of a large TVP-VAR model with score-driven volatilities," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
- Giacomo Bormetti & Fulvio Corsi, 2021. "A Lucas Critique Compliant SVAR model with Observation-driven Time-varying Parameters," Papers 2107.05263, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
- Anna Gloria Billé & Leopoldo Catania, 2018. "Dynamic Spatial Autoregressive Models with Time-varying Spatial Weighting Matrices," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS55, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
- P. Gorgi & Siem Jan (S.J.) Koopman & R. Lit, 2018. "The analysis and forecasting of ATP tennis matches using a high-dimensional dynamic model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-009/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Mariana Arozo B. de Melo & Cristiano A. C. Fernandes & Eduardo F. L. de Melo, 2018. "Forecasting aggregate claims using score‐driven time series models," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 72(3), pages 354-374, August.
- Buccheri, Giuseppe & Corsi, Fulvio & Flandoli, Franco & Livieri, Giulia, 2021. "The continuous-time limit of score-driven volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(2), pages 655-675.
- Anna Dubinova & Andre Lucas & Sean Telg, 2021. "COVID-19, Credit Risk and Macro Fundamentals," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-059/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Lucas, André & Zhang, Xin, 2016.
"Score-driven exponentially weighted moving averages and Value-at-Risk forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 293-302.
- André Lucas & Xin Zhang, 2014. "Score Driven exponentially Weighted Moving Average and Value-at-Risk Forecasting," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-092/IV/DSF77, Tinbergen Institute, revised 09 Sep 2015.
- Lucas, André & Zhang, Xin, 2015. "Score Driven Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages and Value-at-Risk Forecasting," Working Paper Series 309, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Michele Caivano & Andrew Harvey, 2014.
"Time-series models with an EGB2 conditional distribution,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(6), pages 558-571, November.
- M. Caivano & A. Harvey, 2013. "Time series models with an EGB2 conditional distribution," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1325, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Michele Caivano & Andrew Harvey, 2014. "Time series models with an EGB2 conditional distribution," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 947, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Opschoor, Anne & Lucas, André, 2023. "Time-varying variance and skewness in realized volatility measures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 827-840.
- Blasques, Francisco & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, Andre & Schaumburg, Julia, 2016.
"Spillover dynamics for systemic risk measurement using spatial financial time series models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 195(2), pages 211-223.
- Blasques, Francisco & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, Andre & Schaumburg, Julia, 2014. "Spillover dynamics for systemic risk measurement using spatial financial time series models," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100632, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Andre Lucas & Julia Schaumburg, 2014. "Spillover Dynamics for Systemic Risk Measurement using Spatial Financial Time Series Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-107/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Francisco Blasques & Paolo Gorgi & Siem Jan Koopman & Olivier Wintenberger, 2016. "Feasible Invertibility Conditions and Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Observation-Driven Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-082/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Caballero, Diego & Lucas, André & Schwaab, Bernd & Zhang, Xin, 2020.
"Risk endogeneity at the lender/investor-of-last-resort,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 283-297.
- Caballero, Diego & Lucas, André & Schwaab, Bernd & Zhang, Xin, 2019. "Risk endogeneity at the lender/investor-of-last-resort," Working Paper Series 2225, European Central Bank.
- Caballero, Diego & Lucas, Andr e & Schwaab, Bernd & Zhang, Xin, 2019. "Risk endogeneity at the lender/investor-of-last-resort," Working Paper Series 382, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Diego Caballero & André Lucas & Bernd Schwaab & Xin Zhang, 2019. "Risk endogeneity at the lender/investor-of-last-resort," BIS Working Papers 766, Bank for International Settlements.
- Rutger-Jan Lange & Andre Lucas & Arjen H. Siegmann, 2016. "Score-Driven Systemic Risk Signaling for European Sovereign Bond Yields and CDS Spreads," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-064/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
- repec:cte:wsrepe:24552 is not listed on IDEAS
- Nguyen, Hoang & Javed, Farrukh, 2023.
"Dynamic relationship between Stock and Bond returns: A GAS MIDAS copula approach,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 272-292.
- Nguyen, Hoang & Javed, Farrukh, 2021. "Dynamic relationship between Stock and Bond returns: A GAS MIDAS copula approach," Working Papers 2021:15, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Andres, P. & Harvey, A., 2012. "The Dyanamic Location/Scale Model: with applications to intra-day financial data," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1240, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Leopoldo Catania & Anna Gloria Billé, 2017.
"Dynamic spatial autoregressive models with autoregressive and heteroskedastic disturbances,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), pages 1178-1196, September.
- Leopoldo Catania & Anna Gloria Bill'e, 2016. "Dynamic Spatial Autoregressive Models with Autoregressive and Heteroskedastic Disturbances," Papers 1602.02542, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
- Leopoldo Catania & Anna Gloria Billé, 2016. "Dynamic Spatial Autoregressive Models with Autoregressive and Heteroskedastic Disturbances," CEIS Research Paper 375, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 31 Mar 2016.
- Blasques, F. & Gorgi, P. & Koopman, S.J., 2019. "Accelerating score-driven time series models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(2), pages 359-376.
- Eric A. Beutner & Yicong Lin & Andre Lucas, 2023. "Consistency, distributional convergence, and optimality of score-driven filters," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-051/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit & André Lucas & Anne Opschoor, 2018. "Dynamic discrete copula models for high‐frequency stock price changes," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(7), pages 966-985, November.
More about this item
JEL classification:
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:jnlbes:v:42:y:2024:i:3:p:903-917. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/UBES20 .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.