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Information Ratio Test for Model Misspecification in Quasi-Likelihood Inference

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  • Qian M. Zhou
  • Peter X.-K. Song
  • Mary E. Thompson

Abstract

In this article, we focus on the circumstances in quasi-likelihood inference that the estimation accuracy of mean structure parameters is guaranteed by correct specification of the first moment, but the estimation efficiency could be diminished due to misspecification of the second moment. We propose an information ratio (IR) statistic to test for model misspecification of the variance/covariance structure through a comparison between two forms of information matrix: the negative sensitivity matrix and the variability matrix. We establish asymptotic distributions of the proposed IR test statistics. We also suggest an approximation to the asymptotic distribution of the IR statistic via a perturbation resampling method. Moreover, we propose a selection criterion based on the IR test to select the best fitting variance/covariance structure from a class of candidates. Through simulation studies, it is shown that the IR statistic provides a powerful statistical tool to detect different scenarios of misspecification of the variance/covariance structures. In addition, the IR test as well as the proposed model selection procedure shows substantial improvement over some of the existing statistical methods. The IR-based model selection procedure is illustrated by analyzing the Madras Longitudinal Schizophrenia data. Appendices are included in the supplemental materials, which are available online.

Suggested Citation

  • Qian M. Zhou & Peter X.-K. Song & Mary E. Thompson, 2012. "Information Ratio Test for Model Misspecification in Quasi-Likelihood Inference," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(497), pages 205-213, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:jnlasa:v:107:y:2012:i:497:p:205-213
    DOI: 10.1080/01621459.2011.645785
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    Cited by:

    1. Tao Sun & Yu Cheng & Ying Ding, 2023. "An information ratio‐based goodness‐of‐fit test for copula models on censored data," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 79(3), pages 1713-1725, September.
    2. Qian M. Zhou, 2024. "Information matrix equivalence in the presence of censoring: a goodness-of-fit test for semiparametric copula models with multivariate survival data," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 65(7), pages 4677-4713, September.
    3. Zhang, Shulin & Okhrin, Ostap & Zhou, Qian M. & Song, Peter X.-K., 2016. "Goodness-of-fit test for specification of semiparametric copula dependence models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 215-233.
    4. Li, Yong & Yu, Jun & Zeng, Tao, 2018. "Specification tests based on MCMC output," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 207(1), pages 237-260.
    5. Xu, Jianwen & Wang, You-Gan, 2014. "Intra-cluster correlation structure in longitudinal data analysis: Selection criteria and misspecification tests," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 70-77.
    6. Liu, Xiaobin & Li, Yong & Yu, Jun & Zeng, Tao, 2022. "Posterior-based Wald-type statistics for hypothesis testing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(1), pages 83-113.
    7. Zhang, Shulin & Song, Peter X.-K. & Shi, Daimin & Zhou, Qian M., 2012. "Information ratio test for model misspecification on parametric structures in stochastic diffusion models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(12), pages 3975-3987.
    8. Shulin Zhang & Qian M. Zhou & Huazhen Lin, 2021. "Goodness-of-fit test of copula functions for semi-parametric univariate time series models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1697-1721, August.
    9. Kjersti Aas, 2016. "Pair-Copula Constructions for Financial Applications: A Review," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-15, October.
    10. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2013-041 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Richard M. Golden & Steven S. Henley & Halbert White & T. Michael Kashner, 2016. "Generalized Information Matrix Tests for Detecting Model Misspecification," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-24, November.
    12. Schepsmeier, Ulf, 2015. "Efficient information based goodness-of-fit tests for vine copula models with fixed margins: A comprehensive review," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 34-52.
    13. Kwon, Yongchan & Choi, Young-Geun & Park, Taesung & Ziegler, Andreas & Paik, Myunghee Cho, 2017. "Generalized estimating equations with stabilized working correlation structure," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-11.

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