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Remittances and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh, India and Sri Lanka

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  • Abu Siddique
  • E. A. Selvanathan
  • Saroja Selvanathan

Abstract

In many developing countries, remittance payments from migrant workers are increasingly becoming a significant source of export income. This article investigates the causal link between remittances and economic growth in three countries, Bangladesh, India and Sri Lanka, by employing the Granger causality test under a Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework (Granger, C.W.J. (1988) Some recent developments in the concept of causality. Journal of Econometrics , 39, pp. 199--211). Using time series data over a 25-year period, we found that growth in remittances does lead to economic growth in Bangladesh. In India, there seems to be no causal relationship between growth in remittances and economic growth; but in Sri Lanka, a two-way directional causality is found; namely economic growth influences growth in remittances and vice-versa. The article also discusses a number of policy issues arising from the causality results.

Suggested Citation

  • Abu Siddique & E. A. Selvanathan & Saroja Selvanathan, 2011. "Remittances and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh, India and Sri Lanka," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(8), pages 1045-1062, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jdevst:v:48:y:2012:i:8:p:1045-1062
    DOI: 10.1080/00220388.2012.663904
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    1. World Bank, 2004. "Sri Lanka : Development Policy Review," World Bank Publications - Reports 14577, The World Bank Group.
    2. World Bank, 2007. "Sri Lanka - Poverty Assessment : Engendering Growth with Equity, Opportunities and Challenges," World Bank Publications - Reports 8050, The World Bank Group.
    3. Gyan Pradhan & Mukti Upadhyay & Kamal Upadhyaya, 2008. "Remittances and economic growth in developing countries," The European Journal of Development Research, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 497-506.
    4. Matiur Rahman & Muhammad Mustafa & Anisul Islam & Kishor Kumar Guru-Gharana, 2006. "Growth and employment empirics of Bangladesh," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 40(1), pages 99-114, September.
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    1. D. O. Olayungbo & Ahmod Quadri, 2019. "Remittances, financial development and economic growth in sub-Saharan African countries: evidence from a PMG-ARDL approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-25, December.
    2. Farid Makhlouf & Adil Naamane, 2013. "The Impact of Remittances on Economic Growth: The Evidence from Morocco," Working Papers hal-01885148, HAL.
    3. Craig A. Depken & Maja Nikšić Radić & Hana Paleka, 2021. "Causality between Foreign Remittance and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Croatia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-13, November.
    4. Shakil Ahmad & Muhammad Waqas Khan, 2021. "Investigating The Effect Of Foreign Direct Investment (Fdi) And Foreign Remittances On Economic Growth In Pakistan (1990-2018): A Time Series Analysis Using Ardl Model Approach," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 10(3), pages 1-7, September.
    5. Sebil O Oshota & Abdulazeez A Badejo, 2015. "Impact of Remittances on Economic Growth in Nigeria: Further Evidence," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(1), pages 247-258.
    6. Gazi Mainul Hassan & Mohammed S. Bhuyan, 2013. "Growth Effects of Remittances:Is there a U-Shaped Relationship?," Working Papers in Economics 13/16, University of Waikato.
    7. Gazi M. Hassan & Mark J. Holmes, 2016. "Do Remittances Facilitate a Sustainable Current Account?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(11), pages 1834-1853, November.
    8. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Abbasi, Faiza & Zakaria, Muhammad, 2014. "Relationship between Remittance, Export, Foreign Direct Investment and Growth: A Panel Cointegration and Causal Analysis in South Asia," MPRA Paper 60290, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Nahed Zghidi & Imen Mohamed Sghaier & Zouheir Abida, 2018. "Remittances, Institutions, and Economic Growth in North African Countries," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 9(3), pages 804-821, September.
    10. Syed Tehseen Jawaid & Syed Ali Raza, 2012. "Workers' remittances and economic growth in China and Korea: an empirical analysis," Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(3), pages 185-193, September.
    11. Nahed Zghidi & Zouheir Abid, 2015. "Remittances, Economic Freedom, and Economic Growth in North African Countries," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 18(58), pages 139-162, December.
    12. Iseghohi Judith Omon & Rolle Remi Ahuru, 2020. "Migrant’s Remittances and Economic Growth in the West Africa Monetary Zones (WAMZ)," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 23(78), pages 47-66, December,.
    13. Mohammad Salahuddin & Jeff Gow, 2015. "The relationship between economic growth and remittances in the presence of cross-sectional dependence," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 49(1), pages 207-221, January-M.
    14. Jouini, Jamel, 2015. "Economic growth and remittances in Tunisia: Bi-directional causal links," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 355-373.
    15. Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting remittances in Bangladesh using the Box-Jenkins ARIMA methodology," MPRA Paper 92463, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Kashif Iqbal & Hui Peng & Muhammad Hafeez & Khurshaid, 2020. "Analyzing the Effect of ICT on Migration and Economic Growth in Belt and Road (BRI) Countries," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 307-318, March.
    17. Jawaid, Syed Tehseen & Raza, Syed Ali, 2012. "Workers’ Remittances and Economic Growth in South Asia," MPRA Paper 39001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Zakia Batool & Muhammad Haroon & Sajjad Ali & Rashid Ahmad, 2022. "Remittances and Economic Growth: Exploring the Role of Financial Development," iRASD Journal of Management, International Research Alliance for Sustainable Development (iRASD), vol. 4(1), pages 127-134, March.
    19. Ustarz, Yazidu & Haruna, Issahaku, 2017. "International Migrant Remittance and Productivity Growth in Ghana," MPRA Paper 101579, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 18 Jun 2017.
    20. Shakil Ahmad & Muhammad Waqas Khan, 2021. "Investigating The Effect Of Foreign Direct Investment (Fdi) And Foreign Remittances On Economic Growth In Pakistan (1990-2018): A Time Series Analysis Using Ardl Model Approach," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 10(1), pages 1-7, March.
    21. Najibullah, Syed & Masih, Mansur, 2015. "Remittances and economic growth nexus: Do financial development and investment act as transmission channels? An ARDL bounds approach," MPRA Paper 65837, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Kanchan Datta & Bimal Sarkar, 2014. "Relationship between Remittances and Economic Growth in Bangladesh: An Econometric Study," Bangladesh Development Research Working Paper Series (BDRWPS) BDRWPS No. 19, Bangladesh Development Research Center (BDRC).

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