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The effect of FOMC statements on asset prices

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  • Mira Farka
  • Adrian R. Fleissig

Abstract

Given their increased importance during recent years, FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) statements can have a significant impact on asset prices. To capture the effect of FOMC statements on asset prices, an indicator variable is created that takes into account the information content of policy statements. Results show that both ‘interest rate surprises’ and ‘FOMC statements’ affect the mean and the volatility of asset prices. The volatility impact is tent-shaped, jumping within the policy announcement interval and declining before and after the release. FOMC statements have a much more pronounced impact on stock returns, intermediate and long-term yields, while short-term rates are largely driven by target rate decisions. We also find that the evolution of the language of the FOMC statements does matter to market participants and, in particular, the ‘forward-looking’ language adopted in mid-2003 has reduced market volatility associated with ‘interest rate surprises’ on announcement days.

Suggested Citation

  • Mira Farka & Adrian R. Fleissig, 2012. "The effect of FOMC statements on asset prices," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(3), pages 387-416, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:irapec:v:26:y:2012:i:3:p:387-416
    DOI: 10.1080/02692171.2011.587111
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Trung Hoang Bao & Cesario Mateus, 2017. "Impact of FOMC announcement on stock price index in Southeast Asian countries," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 7(3), pages 370-386, August.
    2. Imlak Shaikh, 2019. "On the Relationship between Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Implied Volatility Index," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-11, March.
    3. Louis de Koker & John Howell & Nicholas Morris, 2023. "Economic Consequences of Greylisting by the Financial Action Task Force," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-32, April.

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