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Brazil--US commodity trade and the J-Curve

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  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
  • Hanafiah Harvey
  • Scott W. Hegerty

Abstract

Currency devaluation or depreciation is said to temporarily worsen a country's trade balance and improve it later, an effect that is called the J-Curve. Previous research that tested the J-Curve for Brazil used the country's aggregate trade flows with the rest of the world and did not find support for the phenomenon. In this article, we consider the trade flows between Brazil and a major trading partner, the United States, disaggregating their trade flows by commodity. We then test the empirical validity of the J-Curve for each of the 92 industries that trade between the two countries. We find support for the phenomenon in 31 industries. Therefore, disaggregation by industry seems to yield some support for the phenomenon.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey & Scott W. Hegerty, 2014. "Brazil--US commodity trade and the J-Curve," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(1), pages 1-13, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:1:p:1-13
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.824548
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    Cited by:

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    2. Nektarios A. Michail, 2018. "Estimating a Bilateral J‐curve between the UK and the Euro Area," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(6), pages 757-769, December.
    3. Junaid Masih & Dongsheng Liu & Javed Pervaiz, 2018. "The Relationship between RMB Exchange Rate and Chinese Trade Balance: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling Window Approach," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(2), pages 35-47, February.
    4. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Rodrigo Costamagna & Gustavo Rossini, 2016. "Competitive Devaluations in Commodity-Based Economies: Colombia and the Pacific Alliance Group," CESifo Working Paper Series 5907, CESifo.
    5. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Dan Xi, 2015. "A note on the S-curve dynamics of commodity trade between Brazil and the United States," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 52(1), pages 79-94, May.
    6. Assogba, Noel Perceval & Zhang, Daowei, 2023. "Exchange rate and U.S. softwood plywood import from Brazil," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    7. Cheng, Ka Ming, 2020. "Currency devaluation and trade balance: Evidence from the US services trade," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 20-37.
    8. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Esmaeil Ebadi, 2016. "Have Technological Advances Reduced Response Time of Trade Flows to Changes in the Exchange Rate and Relative Prices?," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(2), pages 115-131, March.
    9. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Nazif Durmaz, 2017. "Evidence on Orcutt's hypothesis using Turkish–US commodity trade," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(1), pages 25-44, January.
    10. Silveira, Jáilison W. & Resende, Marcelo, 2020. "Competition in the international niobium market: A residual demand approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    11. Mohammad Naim Azimi & Mohammad Musa Shafiq, 2022. "The J-curve phenomenon in Afghanistan and its major trading partners: evidence from a non-linear ARDL approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(7), pages 1-28, July.
    12. Jana Šimáková & Daniel Stavárek, 2015. "The Effect of the Exchange Rate on Industry-Level Trade Flows in Czechia," Working Papers 0001, Silesian University, School of Business Administration.

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