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Analysis of VIX Markets with a Time-Spread Portfolio

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  • A. Papanicolaou

Abstract

This paper explores the relationship between option markets for the S&P500 (SPX) and Chicago Board Options Exchange’s CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX). Results are obtained by using the so-called time-spread portfolio to replicate a future contract on the squared VIX. The time-spread portfolio is interesting because it provides a model-free link between derivative prices for SPX and VIX. Time spreads can be computed from SPX put options with different maturities, which results in a term structure for squared volatility. This term structure can be compared to the VIX-squared term structure that is backed-out from VIX call options. The time-spread portfolio is also used to measure volatility-of-volatility (vol-of-vol) and the volatility leverage effect. There may emerge small differences in these measurements, depending on whether time spreads are computed with options on SPX or options on VIX. A study of 2012 daily options data shows that vol-of-vol estimates utilizing SPX data will reflect the volatility leverage effect, whereas estimates that exclusively utilize VIX options will predominantly reflect the premia in the VIX-future term structure.

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  • A. Papanicolaou, 2016. "Analysis of VIX Markets with a Time-Spread Portfolio," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(5), pages 374-408, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apmtfi:v:23:y:2016:i:5:p:374-408
    DOI: 10.1080/1350486X.2017.1290534
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Andrew Papanicolaou, 2021. "Extreme-Strike Comparisons and Structural Bounds for SPX and VIX Options," Papers 2101.00299, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    2. Andrew Papanicolaou, 2018. "Consistent Time-Homogeneous Modeling of SPX and VIX Derivatives," Papers 1812.05859, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
    3. Andrew Papanicolaou, 2022. "Consistent time‐homogeneous modeling of SPX and VIX derivatives," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(3), pages 907-940, July.

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