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Beta stability and monthly seasonal effects: evidence from the Australian capital market

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  • Robert Brooks
  • Robert Faff
  • Thomas Josev

Abstract

A number of studies exist across a range of equity markets showing that a significant proportion of stocks in those markets have betas that vary over time. A research challenge posed by this body of evidence is to identify the factors that explain this time variation in individual stock betas. There is also an extensive literature reporting the existence of strong monthly seasonal patterns in equity returns from many markets and across extraordinarily lengthy time periods. Accordingly, using monthly Australian equity returns data, this paper investigates whether seasonal regularities such as the January effect can provide an explanation of beta variation. A key finding of this paper is that taking account of the January monthly seasonal and other monthly seasonals has no effect on the beta stability characteristics of individual stocks. Hence, based on our analysis, seasonal effects does not provide an explanation of beta instability. A subsiduary finding is that stocks with significant monthly seasonal effects tend to have a smaller average market capitalization.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Brooks & Robert Faff & Thomas Josev, 1997. "Beta stability and monthly seasonal effects: evidence from the Australian capital market," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(9), pages 563-566.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:563-566
    DOI: 10.1080/135048597355032
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Rozeff, Michael S. & Kinney, William Jr., 1976. "Capital market seasonality: The case of stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 379-402, October.
    2. Mustafa Gultekin & Bulent Gultekin, "undated". "Stock Market Seasonality: Internal Evidence," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 17-83, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
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    6. Brooks, Robert D. & Faff, Robert W. & Lee, John H. H., 1995. "Beta stability and portfolio formation," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 145-146, May.
    7. Josef Lakonishok, Seymour Smidt, 1988. "Are Seasonal Anomalies Real? A Ninety-Year Perspective," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 1(4), pages 403-425.
    8. Fabozzi, Frank J. & Francis, Jack Clark, 1978. "Beta as a Random Coefficient," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(1), pages 101-116, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Esteban González, María Victoria & Orbe Mandaluniz, Susan, 2006. "Nonparametric estimation betas in the Market Model," BILTOKI 1134-8984, Universidad del País Vasco - Departamento de Economía Aplicada III (Econometría y Estadística).
    2. Konstantinos Kassimatis, 2008. "Size, Book to Market and Momentum Effects in the Australian Stock Market," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 33(1), pages 145-168, June.
    3. Esteban González, María Victoria & Tusell Palmer, Fernando Jorge, 2009. "Predicting Betas: Two new methods," BILTOKI 1134-8984, Universidad del País Vasco - Departamento de Economía Aplicada III (Econometría y Estadística).
    4. N. Groenewold & P. Fraser, 1999. "Forecasting Beta: How well does the 'five year rule of thumb' do?," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 99-01, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.

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