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Mögliche Brexit-Folgen für den deutschen Arbeitsmarkt
[Brexit and Its Potential Effects on the German Labour Market]

Author

Listed:
  • Mario Bossler

    (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung)

  • Johann Fuchs

    (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung)

  • Alexander Kubis

    (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung)

  • Lutz Schneider

    (Hochschule für angewandte Wissenschaften Coburg)

Abstract

Zusammenfassung Der Brexit wird auch den deutschen Arbeitsmarkt beeinfl ussen. Viele Betriebe in Deutschland produzieren für den Export nach Großbritannien. Künftige Handelshemmnisse könnten negative Auswirkungen auf den Personalbedarf in diesen Unternehmen haben. Auf der Angebotsseite wird der Brexit die innereuropäischen Migrationsströme beeinfl ussen. Eine restriktivere britische Immigrationspolitik könnte migrationswillige EU-Bürger dazu bringen, verstärkt nach Deutschland zu ziehen und damit das Arbeitsangebot zu erhöhen. Die Autoren schätzen die Größenordnung dieser Effekte ein. Es zeigt sich, dass die Folgen des EUAustritts auf beiden Seiten des deutschen Arbeitsmarktes moderat sein sollten.

Suggested Citation

  • Mario Bossler & Johann Fuchs & Alexander Kubis & Lutz Schneider, 2019. "Mögliche Brexit-Folgen für den deutschen Arbeitsmarkt [Brexit and Its Potential Effects on the German Labour Market]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 99(10), pages 687-692, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:99:y:2019:i:10:d:10.1007_s10273-019-2514-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-019-2514-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Klinger, Sabine & Weber, Enzo, 2019. "GDP-Employment decoupling and the slow-down of productivity growth in Germany," IAB-Discussion Paper 201912, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    2. Carlos Vargas-Silva, 2016. "EU Migration to and from the UK After Brexit," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 51(5), pages 251-255, September.
    3. Mario Bossler, 2017. "Employment expectations and uncertainties ahead of the new German minimum wage," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 64(4), pages 327-348, September.
    4. Jonathan Portes & Giuseppe Forte, 2017. "The economic impact of Brexit-induced reductions in migration," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 33(suppl_1), pages 31-44.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure

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