IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v37y2023i11d10.1007_s11269-023-03570-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Short-term Prediction Method of Reservoir Downstream Water Level Under Complicated Hydraulic Influence

Author

Listed:
  • Jingwei Huang

    (Huazhong University of Science and Technology
    Hubei Key Laboratory of Digital Valley Science and Technology)

  • Hui Qin

    (Huazhong University of Science and Technology
    Hubei Key Laboratory of Digital Valley Science and Technology)

  • Yongchuan Zhang

    (Huazhong University of Science and Technology
    Hubei Key Laboratory of Digital Valley Science and Technology)

  • Dongkai Hou

    (Huazhong University of Science and Technology
    Hubei Key Laboratory of Digital Valley Science and Technology)

  • Sipeng Zhu

    (Huazhong University of Science and Technology
    Hubei Key Laboratory of Digital Valley Science and Technology)

  • Pingan Ren

    (Huazhong University of Science and Technology
    Hubei Key Laboratory of Digital Valley Science and Technology)

Abstract

The downstream water level of a reservoir is influenced by its own discharge, changes in external hydraulic conditions, and the value of the previous period’s downstream water level, and is very sensitive to hourly changes. However, the influence mechanisms of this change and an accurate prediction method have yet to be investigated. In this study, the downstream water level of Xiangjiaba reservoir in China’s Jinsha river was used as a case study to analyze the impact of backwater effects caused by river rising during the flood season and the effect of sharp fluctuations caused by the peak regulation flow during the non-flood season. Moreover, an accurate prediction method at short-term two hourly scale is proposed. This study quantified the backwater effect caused by the rising tributaries of Hengjiang and Minjiang rivers. The random forest algorithm (RF) was used to downscale and rank multidimensional feature data, build different model factor sets, and build a downstream water level prediction model using five different methods. The results showed that the data mining model had the best fit and good prediction ability for the downstream water level of the Xiangjiaba reservoir under the influence of complicated hydraulic factors during the flood season, and can effectively control the fluctuation error during the peak regulation period. The research findings can be applied to other similar basins to improve the reservoir’s short-term refined operational levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Jingwei Huang & Hui Qin & Yongchuan Zhang & Dongkai Hou & Sipeng Zhu & Pingan Ren, 2023. "Short-term Prediction Method of Reservoir Downstream Water Level Under Complicated Hydraulic Influence," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(11), pages 4475-4490, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:37:y:2023:i:11:d:10.1007_s11269-023-03570-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03570-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-023-03570-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-023-03570-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tarcila Neves Generoso & Demetrius David Silva & Ricardo Santos Silva Amorim & Lineu Neiva Rodrigues & Erli Pinto Santos, 2022. "Methodology for Estimating Streamflow by Water Balance and Rating Curve Methods Based on Logistic Regression," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(11), pages 4389-4402, September.
    2. Mehdi Jamei & Mumtaz Ali & Anurag Malik & Ramendra Prasad & Shahab Abdulla & Zaher Mundher Yaseen, 2022. "Forecasting Daily Flood Water Level Using Hybrid Advanced Machine Learning Based Time-Varying Filtered Empirical Mode Decomposition Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(12), pages 4637-4676, September.
    3. Mohamed Hamitouche & Jose-Luis Molina, 2022. "A Review of AI Methods for the Prediction of High-Flow Extremal Hydrology," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(10), pages 3859-3876, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xi Yang & Zhihe Chen & Min Qin, 2024. "Monthly Runoff Prediction Via Mode Decomposition-Recombination Technique," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 38(1), pages 269-286, January.
    2. Jamei, Mehdi & Sharma, Prabhakar & Ali, Mumtaz & Bora, Bhaskor J. & Malik, Anurag & Paramasivam, Prabhu & Farooque, Aitazaz A. & Abdulla, Shahab, 2024. "Application of an explainable glass-box machine learning approach for prognostic analysis of a biogas-powered small agriculture engine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    3. Mohammad Ehtearm & Hossein Ghayoumi Zadeh & Akram Seifi & Ali Fayazi & Majid Dehghani, 2023. "Predicting Hydropower Production Using Deep Learning CNN-ANN Hybridized with Gaussian Process Regression and Salp Algorithm," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(9), pages 3671-3697, July.
    4. Kouao Laurent Kouadio & Jianxin Liu & Serge Kouamelan Kouamelan & Rong Liu, 2023. "Ensemble Learning Paradigms for Flow Rate Prediction Boosting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(11), pages 4413-4431, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:37:y:2023:i:11:d:10.1007_s11269-023-03570-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.