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Development of a Hybrid Data Driven Model for Hydrological Estimation

Author

Listed:
  • Shahab Araghinejad

    (University of Tehran)

  • Nima Fayaz

    (Syracuse University)

  • Seyed-Mohammad Hosseini-Moghari

    (University of Tehran)

Abstract

High and low stremflow values forecasting is of great importance in field of water resources in order to mitigate the impacts of flood and drought. Most of water resources models deal with the problem of not being flexible for modeling maximum and minimum flows. To overcome that shortcoming, a combination of artificial neural network (ANN) models is developed in this study for monthly streamflow forecasting. A probabilistic neural network (PNN) is used to classify each of the input-output patterns and afterward, the classified data are forecasted using a modified multi-layer perceptron (MMLP). In addition, the performance of the MLP and generalized regression neural network (GRNN) in streamflow forecasting are investigated and compared to the proposed method. The findings indicate that the R2 associated with the suggested model is 46 and 80% higher compared to MLP and GRNN models, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Shahab Araghinejad & Nima Fayaz & Seyed-Mohammad Hosseini-Moghari, 2018. "Development of a Hybrid Data Driven Model for Hydrological Estimation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(11), pages 3737-3750, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:32:y:2018:i:11:d:10.1007_s11269-018-2016-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-018-2016-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Meral Buyukyildiz & Serife Yurdagul Kumcu, 2017. "An Estimation of the Suspended Sediment Load Using Adaptive Network Based Fuzzy Inference System, Support Vector Machine and Artificial Neural Network Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(4), pages 1343-1359, March.
    2. Yicheng Gong & Yongxiang Zhang & Shuangshuang Lan & Huan Wang, 2016. "A Comparative Study of Artificial Neural Networks, Support Vector Machines and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System for Forecasting Groundwater Levels near Lake Okeechobee, Florida," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(1), pages 375-391, January.
    3. Yicheng Gong & Yongxiang Zhang & Shuangshuang Lan & Huan Wang, 2016. "A Comparative Study of Artificial Neural Networks, Support Vector Machines and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System for Forecasting Groundwater Levels near Lake Okeechobee, Florida," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(1), pages 375-391, January.
    4. Samad Emamgholizadeh & Khadije Moslemi & Gholamhosein Karami, 2014. "Prediction the Groundwater Level of Bastam Plain (Iran) by Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(15), pages 5433-5446, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Anas Mahmood Al-Juboori, 2021. "A Hybrid Model to Predict Monthly Streamflow Using Neighboring Rivers Annual Flows," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(2), pages 729-743, January.
    2. Wenhao Jia & Mufeng Chen & Hongyi Yao & Yixu Wang & Sen Wang & Xiaokuan Ni, 2024. "Improving Sub-daily Runoff Forecast Based on the Multi-objective Optimized Extreme Learning Machine for Reservoir Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 38(15), pages 6173-6189, December.
    3. Bisrat Ayalew Yifru & Kyoung Jae Lim & Seoro Lee, 2024. "Enhancing Streamflow Prediction Physically Consistently Using Process-Based Modeling and Domain Knowledge: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-27, February.

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