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Comparison of Two Different Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems in Modelling Daily Reference Evapotranspiration

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  • Ozgur Kisi
  • Mohammad Zounemat-Kermani

Abstract

This study compares two different adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) with grid partition (GP) method and ANFIS with subtractive clustering (SC) method, in modeling daily reference evapotranspiration (ET 0 ). Daily climatic data including air temperature, solar radiation, relative humidity and wind speed from Adana Station, Turkey were used as inputs to the fuzzy models to estimate daily ET 0 values obtained using FAO 56 Penman Monteith (PM) method. In the first part of the study, the effect of each climatic variable on FAO 56 PM ET 0 was investigated by using fuzzy models. Wind speed was found to be the most effective variable in modeling ET 0 . In the second part of the study, the effect of missing data on training, validation and test accuracy of the neuro-fuzzy models was examined. It was found that the ANFIS-GP model was not affected by missing data while the test accuracy of the ANFIS-SC model slightly decreases by increasing missing data’s percent. In the third part of the study, the effect of training data length on training, validation and test accuracy of the ANFIS models was investigated. It was found that training data length did not significantly affect the accuracy of ANFIS models in modeling daily ET 0 . ANFIS-SC model was found to be more sensitive to the training data length than the ANFIS-GP model. In the fourth part of the study, both ANFIS models were compared with the following empirical models and their calibrated versions; Valiantzas’ equations, Turc, Hargreaves and Ritchie. Comparison results indicated that the three-and four-input ANFIS models performed better than the corresponding empirical equations in modeling ET 0 while the calibrated two-parameter Ritchie and Valiantzas’ equations were found to be better than the two-input ANFIS models. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Ozgur Kisi & Mohammad Zounemat-Kermani, 2014. "Comparison of Two Different Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems in Modelling Daily Reference Evapotranspiration," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(9), pages 2655-2675, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:28:y:2014:i:9:p:2655-2675
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-014-0632-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ahmed El-Shafie & Ali Najah & Humod Alsulami & Heerbod Jahanbani, 2014. "Optimized Neural Network Prediction Model for Potential Evapotranspiration Utilizing Ensemble Procedure," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(4), pages 947-967, March.
    2. Sungwon Kim & Vijay Singh & Youngmin Seo & Hung Kim, 2014. "Modeling Nonlinear Monthly Evapotranspiration Using Soft Computing and Data Reconstruction Techniques," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(1), pages 185-206, January.
    3. Seema Chauhan & R. Shrivastava, 2009. "Performance Evaluation of Reference Evapotranspiration Estimation Using Climate Based Methods and Artificial Neural Networks," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(5), pages 825-837, March.
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    1. Yufeng Luo & Seydou Traore & Xinwei Lyu & Weiguang Wang & Ying Wang & Yongyu Xie & Xiyun Jiao & Guy Fipps, 2015. "Medium Range Daily Reference Evapotranspiration Forecasting by Using ANN and Public Weather Forecasts," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(10), pages 3863-3876, August.
    2. Isa Ebtehaj & Hossein Bonakdari, 2014. "Performance Evaluation of Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System for Sediment Transport in Sewers," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(13), pages 4765-4779, October.
    3. Dilip Kumar Roy & Kowshik Kumar Saha & Mohammad Kamruzzaman & Sujit Kumar Biswas & Mohammad Anower Hossain, 2021. "Hierarchical Fuzzy Systems Integrated with Particle Swarm Optimization for Daily Reference Evapotranspiration Prediction: a Novel Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(15), pages 5383-5407, December.
    4. Erdem Küçüktopcu & Emirhan Cemek & Bilal Cemek & Halis Simsek, 2023. "Hybrid Statistical and Machine Learning Methods for Daily Evapotranspiration Modeling," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-15, March.
    5. Yang, Yang & Cui, Yuanlai & Luo, Yufeng & Lyu, Xinwei & Traore, Seydou & Khan, Shahbaz & Wang, Weiguang, 2016. "Short-term forecasting of daily reference evapotranspiration using the Penman-Monteith model and public weather forecasts," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 329-339.
    6. Behrooz Keshtegar & Ozgur Kisi & Hamed Ghohani Arab & Mohammad Zounemat-Kermani, 2018. "Subset Modeling Basis ANFIS for Prediction of the Reference Evapotranspiration," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(3), pages 1101-1116, February.
    7. Mustafa Erkan Turan, 2016. "Fuzzy Systems Tuned By Swarm Based Optimization Algorithms for Predicting Stream flow," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(12), pages 4345-4362, September.
    8. Zaher Mundher Yaseen & Majeed Mattar Ramal & Lamine Diop & Othman Jaafar & Vahdettin Demir & Ozgur Kisi, 2018. "Hybrid Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Models for Water Quality Index Estimation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(7), pages 2227-2245, May.

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