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Reservoir Flood Routing Considering the Non-Stationarity of Flood Series in North China

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  • Hang Zeng
  • Ping Feng
  • Xin Li

Abstract

Owing to the increasing anthropogenic activities, flood frequency analysis and flood control scheduling of reservoir become more and more complicated because of the non-stationarity of flood series. This paper aims to assess the effects that non-stationary flood series, which is affected by land use change of Daqing River Basin (in North China), has induced on the reservoir flood routing. And the analysis has been carried out in Xidayang Reservoir, which is located in south branch of Daqing River Basin of North China. In this paper, the annual maximum peak discharge series and the annual maximum flood volume (1-day, 3-day and 6-day) series of Xidayang Reservoir were selected to detect their variation using three steps change point diagnosis. Mixed distribution was employed to fit the non-stationary flood series, estimating parameters by simulated annealing algorithm. The results indicate that (1) mixed distribution provided a more appropriate and superior fit than conventional distribution (P3 distribution) to non-stationary flood series, (2) design flood values estimated by mixed distribution reduced by 0.03 %–20.24 % with different return periods compared with the results computed by conventional P3 distribution, and (3) through reservoir flood routing, the maximum water level and maximum discharge with various return periods considering the series’ non-stationarity also showed a decrease by up to 0.56 m and 81.68 % respectively compared with the results regardless of the series’ non-stationarity. These results provide a significant theoretical basis for flood control and water resources management in Daqing River Basin. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Hang Zeng & Ping Feng & Xin Li, 2014. "Reservoir Flood Routing Considering the Non-Stationarity of Flood Series in North China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(12), pages 4273-4287, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:28:y:2014:i:12:p:4273-4287
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-014-0744-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Guihua Lu & Jingjing Liu & Zhiyong Wu & Hai He & Huating Xu & Qingxia Lin, 2015. "Development of a Large-Scale Routing Model with Scale Independent by Considering the Damping Effect of Sub-Basins," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(14), pages 5237-5253, November.
    2. Lei Yan & Lihua Xiong & Qinghua Luan & Cong Jiang & Kunxia Yu & Chong-Yu Xu, 2020. "On the Applicability of the Expected Waiting Time Method in Nonstationary Flood Design," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(8), pages 2585-2601, June.
    3. Jianzhu Li & Senming Tan & Zhaozhen Wei & Fulong Chen & Ping Feng, 2014. "A New Method of Change Point Detection Using Variable Fuzzy Sets Under Environmental Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(14), pages 5125-5138, November.
    4. Jianzhu Li & Qiushuang Ma & Yu Tian & Yuming Lei & Ting Zhang & Ping Feng, 2019. "Flood scaling under nonstationarity in Daqinghe River basin, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 98(2), pages 675-696, September.
    5. Jianzhu Li & Senming Tan, 2015. "Nonstationary Flood Frequency Analysis for Annual Flood Peak Series, Adopting Climate Indices and Check Dam Index as Covariates," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(15), pages 5533-5550, December.

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