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An Inexact Two-Stage Water Resources Allocation Model for Sustainable Development and Management Under Uncertainty

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  • L. Zhang
  • C. Li

Abstract

In this study, an inexact two-stage water resources allocation (ITWR) model is put forward for supporting sustainable development and management of water resources in Sanjiang Plain, China, which is in such a situation, with multi-water source, multi-water supply subarea, multi-water user and multi-planning goal. The costs of net system, water supply and recourse are analyzed. The developed ITWR model, which shows a strong ability in tacking with various uncertain factors in probability distributions and discrete interval numbers, mixes the techniques of interval-parameter programming (IPP) and two-stage stochastic programming (TSP) within a general optimization framework. And it also has formed an effective link in such a conflict between the policy scenarios and the associated various levels of economic penalties, when the pre-allocation targets of water resources are violated. Based on this model, a series of scenarios under different levels of pre-allocation water is done and different degrees of water surplus and shortage are obtained correspondingly. The results indicate that the reasonable distribution plans with maximum system benefit and minimum system-failure risk have been generated. And these results are valuable for saving water resources to realize its sustainable development and mitigating the penalty to gain economic benefits maximum, and thus some desired results are provided for decision makers in tackling with a complex and uncertain water-resource system. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • L. Zhang & C. Li, 2014. "An Inexact Two-Stage Water Resources Allocation Model for Sustainable Development and Management Under Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(10), pages 3161-3178, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:28:y:2014:i:10:p:3161-3178
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-014-0661-8
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    2. Qiang Fu & Tianxiao Li & Song Cui & Dong Liu & Xueping Lu, 2018. "Agricultural Multi-Water Source Allocation Model Based on Interval Two-Stage Stochastic Robust Programming under Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(4), pages 1261-1274, March.
    3. Jiang, Yao & Xu, Xu & Huang, Quanzhong & Huo, Zailin & Huang, Guanhua, 2016. "Optimizing regional irrigation water use by integrating a two-level optimization model and an agro-hydrological model," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 76-88.
    4. Qiang Fu & Ke Zhao & Dong Liu & Qiuxiang Jiang & Tianxiao Li & Changhong Zhu, 2016. "Two-Stage Interval-Parameter Stochastic Programming Model Based on Adaptive Water Resource Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(6), pages 2097-2109, April.
    5. C. Dai & Y. Cai & Y. Liu & W. Wang & H. Guo, 2015. "A Generalized Interval Fuzzy Chance-Constrained Programming Method for Domestic Wastewater Management Under Uncertainty – A Case Study of Kunming, China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(9), pages 3015-3036, July.
    6. Dong Liu & Wenting Liu & Qiang Fu & Yongjia Zhang & Tianxiao Li & Khan M. Imran & Faiz M. Abrar, 2017. "Two-Stage Multi-Water Sources Allocation Model in Regional Water Resources Management under Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(11), pages 3607-3625, September.
    7. Chunlong Li & Jianzhong Zhou & Shuo Ouyang & Chao Wang & Yi Liu, 2015. "Water Resources Optimal Allocation Based on Large-scale Reservoirs in the Upper Reaches of Yangtze River," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(7), pages 2171-2187, May.
    8. Zhao, Siwei & Liu, Weidong & Zhu, Mengyuan & Ma, Yanfang & Li, Zongmin, 2021. "A priority-based multi-objective framework for water resources diversion and allocation in the middle route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    9. Min Zhang & Kaiyan Xi, 2020. "A New Interval Two-stage Stochastic Programming with CVaR for Water Resources Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(12), pages 3795-3807, September.
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    11. Yaowen Xu & Qiang Fu & Yan Zhou & Mo Li & Yi Ji & Tianxiao Li, 2019. "Inventory Theory-Based Stochastic Optimization for Reservoir Water Allocation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(11), pages 3873-3898, September.

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