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Application of Several Data-Driven Techniques for Predicting Groundwater Level

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  • Bagher Shirmohammadi
  • Mehdi Vafakhah
  • Vahid Moosavi
  • Alireza Moghaddamnia

Abstract

In this study, several data-driven techniques including system identification, time series, and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) models were applied to predict groundwater level for different forecasting period. The results showed that ANFIS models out-perform both time series and system identification models. ANFIS model in which preprocessed data using fuzzy interface system is used as input for artificial neural network (ANN) can cope with non-linear nature of time series so it can perform better than others. It was also demonstrated that all above mentioned approaches could model groundwater level for 1 and 2 months ahead appropriately but for 3 months ahead the performance of the models was not satisfactory. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Bagher Shirmohammadi & Mehdi Vafakhah & Vahid Moosavi & Alireza Moghaddamnia, 2013. "Application of Several Data-Driven Techniques for Predicting Groundwater Level," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(2), pages 419-432, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:27:y:2013:i:2:p:419-432
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-012-0194-y
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    1. Hsi-Ting Fang & Bing-Chen Jhong & Yih-Chi Tan & Kai-Yuan Ke & Mo-Hsiung Chuang, 2019. "A Two-Stage Approach Integrating SOM- and MOGA-SVM-Based Algorithms to Forecast Spatial-temporal Groundwater Level with Meteorological Factors," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(2), pages 797-818, January.
    2. Meral Buyukyildiz & Gulay Tezel & Volkan Yilmaz, 2014. "Estimation of the Change in Lake Water Level by Artificial Intelligence Methods," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(13), pages 4747-4763, October.
    3. Jiyang Tian & Chuanzhe Li & Jia Liu & Fuliang Yu & Shuanghu Cheng & Nana Zhao & Wan Zurina Wan Jaafar, 2016. "Groundwater Depth Prediction Using Data-Driven Models with the Assistance of Gamma Test," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-17, October.
    4. Samad Emamgholizadeh & Khadije Moslemi & Gholamhosein Karami, 2014. "Prediction the Groundwater Level of Bastam Plain (Iran) by Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(15), pages 5433-5446, December.
    5. Nariman Valizadeh & Majid Mirzaei & Mohammed Falah Allawi & Haitham Abdulmohsin Afan & Nuruol Syuhadaa Mohd & Aini Hussain & Ahmed El-Shafie, 2017. "Artificial intelligence and geo-statistical models for stream-flow forecasting in ungauged stations: state of the art," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 86(3), pages 1377-1392, April.
    6. Yicheng Gong & Yongxiang Zhang & Shuangshuang Lan & Huan Wang, 2016. "A Comparative Study of Artificial Neural Networks, Support Vector Machines and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System for Forecasting Groundwater Levels near Lake Okeechobee, Florida," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(1), pages 375-391, January.
    7. Wen-Ping Tsai & Yen-Ming Chiang & Jun-Lin Huang & Fi-John Chang, 2016. "Exploring the Mechanism of Surface and Ground Water through Data-Driven Techniques with Sensitivity Analysis for Water Resources Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(13), pages 4789-4806, October.
    8. Zhang, Zixiong & Gong, Yicheng & Wang, Zhongjing, 2018. "Accessible remote sensing data based reference evapotranspiration estimation modelling," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 59-69.
    9. Xianming Dou & Yongguo Yang & Jinhui Luo, 2018. "Estimating Forest Carbon Fluxes Using Machine Learning Techniques Based on Eddy Covariance Measurements," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-26, January.
    10. González Perea, R. & Camacho Poyato, E. & Montesinos, P. & Rodríguez Díaz, J.A., 2018. "Prediction of applied irrigation depths at farm level using artificial intelligence techniques," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 229-240.
    11. Akram Rahbar & Ali Mirarabi & Mohammad Nakhaei & Mahdi Talkhabi & Maryam Jamali, 2022. "A Comparative Analysis of Data-Driven Models (SVR, ANFIS, and ANNs) for Daily Karst Spring Discharge Prediction," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(2), pages 589-609, January.
    12. Dilip Kumar Roy & Sujit Kumar Biswas & Kowshik Kumar Saha & Khandakar Faisal Ibn Murad, 2021. "Groundwater Level Forecast Via a Discrete Space-State Modelling Approach as a Surrogate to Complex Groundwater Simulation Modelling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(6), pages 1653-1672, April.
    13. Yue-Gang Song & Yu-Long Zhou & Ren-Jie Han, 2018. "Neural networks for stock price prediction," Papers 1805.11317, arXiv.org.
    14. Gokmen Tayfur & Ata Nadiri & Asghar Moghaddam, 2014. "Supervised Intelligent Committee Machine Method for Hydraulic Conductivity Estimation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(4), pages 1173-1184, March.
    15. Mostafa Dastorani & Mohammad Mirzavand & Mohammad Taghi Dastorani & Seyyed Javad Sadatinejad, 2016. "Comparative study among different time series models applied to monthly rainfall forecasting in semi-arid climate condition," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(3), pages 1811-1827, April.
    16. R. Sarma & S. K. Singh, 2022. "A Comparative Study of Data-driven Models for Groundwater Level Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(8), pages 2741-2756, June.
    17. Chih-Chiang Wei & Nien-Sheng Hsu & Chien-Lin Huang, 2014. "Two-Stage Pumping Control Model for Flood Mitigation in Inundated Urban Drainage Basins," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(2), pages 425-444, January.
    18. Yicheng Gong & Yongxiang Zhang & Shuangshuang Lan & Huan Wang, 2016. "A Comparative Study of Artificial Neural Networks, Support Vector Machines and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System for Forecasting Groundwater Levels near Lake Okeechobee, Florida," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(1), pages 375-391, January.

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