IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v26y2012i9p2569-2581.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimation of Peak Flood Discharges at Ungauged Sites Across Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Neslihan Seckin
  • Aytac Guven

Abstract

The reliable forecasting of the peak flood discharge at river basins is a common problem, and it becomes more complicated when there is inadequate recorded data. The statistical methods commonly used for the estimation of peak flood discharges are generally considered to be inadequate because of the complexity of this problem. Recently, genetic programming (GP) which is a branch of soft computing methods has attracted the attention of the hydrologists. In this study, gene-expression programming (GEP) and linear genetic programming (LGP), which are extensions to GP, in addition to logistic regression (LR) were employed in order to forecast peak flood discharges. The study covered 543 ungauged sites across Turkey. Drainage area, elevation, latitude, longitude, and return period were used as the inputs while the peak flood discharge was the output. Model comparison results revealed that GEP predicted the peak flood discharges with R 2 = 57.4 % correlation, LGP with 56 % and LR model with 42.3 %, respectively. The peak flood discharges in all river basins can now be determined using the single equation provided by the GEP model. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

Suggested Citation

  • Neslihan Seckin & Aytac Guven, 2012. "Estimation of Peak Flood Discharges at Ungauged Sites Across Turkey," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(9), pages 2569-2581, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:26:y:2012:i:9:p:2569-2581
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-012-0033-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11269-012-0033-1
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-012-0033-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ozgur Kisi & Jalal Shiri, 2011. "Precipitation Forecasting Using Wavelet-Genetic Programming and Wavelet-Neuro-Fuzzy Conjunction Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(13), pages 3135-3152, October.
    2. Hazi Azamathulla & Aminuddin Ghani, 2011. "Genetic Programming for Predicting Longitudinal Dispersion Coefficients in Streams," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(6), pages 1537-1544, April.
    3. Hazi Azamathulla & Aminuddin Ghani & Cheng Leow & Chun Chang & Nor Zakaria, 2011. "Gene-Expression Programming for the Development of a Stage-Discharge Curve of the Pahang River," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(11), pages 2901-2916, September.
    4. Aytac Guven & Özgür Kişi, 2011. "Estimation of Suspended Sediment Yield in Natural Rivers Using Machine-coded Linear Genetic Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(2), pages 691-704, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. E. Fallah-Mehdipour & O. Bozorg Haddad & M. Mariño, 2012. "Real-Time Operation of Reservoir System by Genetic Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(14), pages 4091-4103, November.
    2. E. Fallah-Mehdipour & O. Bozorg Haddad & H. Orouji & M. Mariño, 2013. "Application of Genetic Programming in Stage Hydrograph Routing of Open Channels," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(9), pages 3261-3272, July.
    3. Seydou Traore & Aytac Guven, 2012. "Regional-Specific Numerical Models of Evapotranspiration Using Gene-Expression Programming Interface in Sahel," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(15), pages 4367-4380, December.
    4. Gokmen Tayfur, 2017. "Modern Optimization Methods in Water Resources Planning, Engineering and Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(10), pages 3205-3233, August.
    5. H. Azamathulla & Robert Jarrett, 2013. "Use of Gene-Expression Programming to Estimate Manning’s Roughness Coefficient for High Gradient Streams," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(3), pages 715-729, February.
    6. Tabasum Rasool & A. Q. Dar & M. A. Wani, 2021. "Development of a Predictive Equation for Modelling the Infiltration Process Using Gene Expression Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(6), pages 1871-1888, April.
    7. Anas Mahmood Al-Juboori & Aytac Guven, 2016. "Hydropower Plant Site Assessment by Integrated Hydrological Modeling, Gene Expression Programming and Visual Basic Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(7), pages 2517-2530, May.
    8. Maryam Shafaei & Ozgur Kisi, 2016. "Lake Level Forecasting Using Wavelet-SVR, Wavelet-ANFIS and Wavelet-ARMA Conjunction Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(1), pages 79-97, January.
    9. Hazi Azamathulla & Aminuddin Ghani & Cheng Leow & Chun Chang & Nor Zakaria, 2011. "Gene-Expression Programming for the Development of a Stage-Discharge Curve of the Pahang River," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(11), pages 2901-2916, September.
    10. Omid Bozorg-Haddad & Mohammad Delpasand & Sarvin ZamanZad-Ghavidel & Xuefeng Chu, 2024. "Developing a novel social–water capital index by gene expression programming," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(11), pages 28187-28217, November.
    11. Liping Li & Pan Liu & David Rheinheimer & Chao Deng & Yanlai Zhou, 2014. "Identifying Explicit Formulation of Operating Rules for Multi-Reservoir Systems Using Genetic Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(6), pages 1545-1565, April.
    12. Bulent Tutmez & Mehmet Yuceer, 2013. "Regression Kriging Analysis for Longitudinal Dispersion Coefficient," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(9), pages 3307-3318, July.
    13. Saif Said & Shadab Ali Khan, 2021. "Remote sensing-based water quality index estimation using data-driven approaches: a case study of the Kali River in Uttar Pradesh, India," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(12), pages 18252-18277, December.
    14. Sajjad Abdollahi & Jalil Raeisi & Mohammadreza Khalilianpour & Farshad Ahmadi & Ozgur Kisi, 2017. "Daily Mean Streamflow Prediction in Perennial and Non-Perennial Rivers Using Four Data Driven Techniques," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(15), pages 4855-4874, December.
    15. Asli Ulke & Gokmen Tayfur & Sevinc Ozkul, 2017. "Investigating a Suitable Empirical Model and Performing Regional Analysis for the Suspended Sediment Load Prediction in Major Rivers of the Aegean Region, Turkey," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(3), pages 739-764, February.
    16. Vasileios Kitsikoudis & Epaminondas Sidiropoulos & Vlassios Hrissanthou, 2014. "Machine Learning Utilization for Bed Load Transport in Gravel-Bed Rivers," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(11), pages 3727-3743, September.
    17. Alpaslan Yarar, 2014. "A Hybrid Wavelet and Neuro-Fuzzy Model for Forecasting the Monthly Streamflow Data," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(2), pages 553-565, January.
    18. Pratik Pathak & Ajay Kalra & Sajjad Ahmad & Miguel Bernardez, 2016. "Wavelet-Aided Analysis to Estimate Seasonal Variability and Dominant Periodicities in Temperature, Precipitation, and Streamflow in the Midwestern United States," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(13), pages 4649-4665, October.
    19. Muhammad Shoaib & Asaad Y. Shamseldin & Sher Khan & Muhammad Sultan & Fiaz Ahmad & Tahir Sultan & Zakir Hussain Dahri & Irfan Ali, 2019. "Input Selection of Wavelet-Coupled Neural Network Models for Rainfall-Runoff Modelling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(3), pages 955-973, February.
    20. Arash Adib & Arash Zaerpour & Ozgur Kisi & Morteza Lotfirad, 2021. "A Rigorous Wavelet-Packet Transform to Retrieve Snow Depth from SSMIS Data and Evaluation of its Reliability by Uncertainty Parameters," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(9), pages 2723-2740, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:26:y:2012:i:9:p:2569-2581. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.