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Water Release Policy Effects on the Shortage Characteristics for the Shihmen Reservoir System during Droughts

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  • J. Shiau

Abstract

Drought-induced shortages are inevitable because of unexpected abnormal dry weather and the increasing need for water resources. Therefore, assessment of possible shortage conditions for a specific water supply system is an essential component in water resources planning and management. In this study, the shortage characteristics for the Shihmen Reservoir in Taiwan are investigated. A description of the reservoir yield in terms of the shortage frequency, magnitude, and duration is developed first. The derived reservoir yield description under a given operating policy and demand includes the reliability, total shortage rate, frequency, single period shortage, event shortage duration and magnitude, and interarrival time of shortage events. Hedging is a common measure adopted in reservoir operation that involves accepting a small current deficit to reduce future severe shortages. The reservoir supply index is then developed to trigger hedging in this study. The shortage characteristics for different lead-time hedging rules show that the derived reservoir supply index is a useful indicator for triggering hedging and the differences among reservoir performance for various release policies are easily compared using the derived reservoir yield description in terms of probabilistic shortage characteristics. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 2003

Suggested Citation

  • J. Shiau, 2003. "Water Release Policy Effects on the Shortage Characteristics for the Shihmen Reservoir System during Droughts," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 17(6), pages 463-480, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:17:y:2003:i:6:p:463-480
    DOI: 10.1023/B:WARM.0000004958.93250.8a
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    1. T. Neelakantan & N. Pundarikanthan, 1999. "Hedging Rule Optimisation for Water Supply Reservoirs System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 13(6), pages 409-426, December.
    2. Shih, Jhih-Shyang & ReVelle, Charles, 1995. "Water supply operations during drought: A discrete hedging rule," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 82(1), pages 163-175, April.
    3. Xu Zongxue & K. Jinno & A. Kawamura & S. Takesaki & K. Ito, 1998. "Performance Risk Analysis for Fukuoka Water Supply System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 12(1), pages 13-30, February.
    4. K. Srinivasan & M. Philipose, 1998. "Effect of Hedging on Over-Year Reservoir Performance," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 12(2), pages 95-120, April.
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    1. Oliver Olsson & Malika Ikramova & Melanie Bauer & Jochen Froebrich, 2010. "Applicability of Adapted Reservoir Operation for Water Stress Mitigation Under Dry Year Conditions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(2), pages 277-297, January.
    2. Erica Camnasio & Gianfranco Becciu, 2011. "Evaluation of the Feasibility of Irrigation Storage in a Flood Detention Pond in an Agricultural Catchment in Northern Italy," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(5), pages 1489-1508, March.
    3. A. J. Adeloye & B.-S. Soundharajan & C. S. P. Ojha & R. Remesan, 2016. "Effect of Hedging-Integrated Rule Curves on the Performance of the Pong Reservoir (India) During Scenario-Neutral Climate Change Perturbations," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 445-470, January.
    4. A. Adeloye & B.-S. Soundharajan & C. Ojha & R. Remesan, 2016. "Effect of Hedging-Integrated Rule Curves on the Performance of the Pong Reservoir (India) During Scenario-Neutral Climate Change Perturbations," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 445-470, January.
    5. J. Shiau & H. Lee, 2005. "Derivation of Optimal Hedging Rules for a Water-supply Reservoir through Compromise Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 19(2), pages 111-132, April.
    6. Xiang Zeng & Tiesong Hu & Xuning Guo & Xinjie Li, 2014. "Water Transfer Triggering Mechanism for Multi-Reservoir Operation in Inter-Basin Water Transfer-Supply Project," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(5), pages 1293-1308, March.
    7. Fang Wan & Wenlin Yuan & Jin Zhou, 2017. "Derivation of Tri-level Programming Model for Multi-Reservoir Optimal Operation in Inter-Basin Transfer-Diversion-Supply Project," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(1), pages 479-494, January.
    8. Jenq-Tzong Shiau & Yen-Ning Hung & Huei-Er Sie, 2018. "Effects of Hedging Factors and Fuzziness on Shortage Characteristics During Droughts," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(5), pages 1913-1929, March.
    9. Seung Beom Seo & Young-Oh Kim & Shin-Uk Kang, 2019. "Time-Varying Discrete Hedging Rules for Drought Contingency Plan Considering Long-Range Dependency in Streamflow," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(8), pages 2791-2807, June.
    10. Inkyung Min & Nakyung Lee & Sanha Kim & Yelim Bang & Juyeon Jang & Kichul Jung & Daeryong Park, 2024. "An Improved Aggregation–Decomposition Optimization Approach for Ecological Flow Supply in Parallel Reservoir Systems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-22, August.
    11. Wenquan Gu & Dongguo Shao & Yufang Jiang, 2012. "Risk Evaluation of Water Shortage in Source Area of Middle Route Project for South-to-North Water Transfer in China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(12), pages 3479-3493, September.

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