IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/stpapr/v65y2024i6d10.1007_s00362-024-01539-z.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

On the existence of stationary threshold bilinear processes

Author

Listed:
  • Ahmed Ghezal

    (University Center of Mila)

  • Maddalena Cavicchioli

    (University of Modena and Reggio E.)

  • Imane Zemmouri

    (University of Annaba)

Abstract

This article investigates some statistical and probabilistic properties of general threshold bilinear processes. Sufficient conditions for the existence of a causal, strictly and weak stationary solution for the equation defining a self-exciting threshold superdiagonal bilinear $$\left( SETBL\right) $$ S E T B L process are derived. Then it is shown that under well-specified hypotheses the higher-order moments of the SETBL process are finite. As a result, the skewness and kurtosis indexes are explicitly computed. The exact autocorrelation function is derived with an arbitrarily fixed number of regimes. Also, the covariance functions of the process and its powers are evaluated and the second (respectively, higher)-order structure is shown to be similar to that of a linear process. This implies that the considered process admits an ARMA representation. Finally, necessary and sufficient conditions for the invertibility and geometric ergodicity of a SETBL model are established. Some examples illustrate the obtained theoretical results.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmed Ghezal & Maddalena Cavicchioli & Imane Zemmouri, 2024. "On the existence of stationary threshold bilinear processes," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 65(6), pages 3739-3767, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:stpapr:v:65:y:2024:i:6:d:10.1007_s00362-024-01539-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s00362-024-01539-z
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00362-024-01539-z
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00362-024-01539-z?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Francq, C. & Zakoian, J. -M., 2001. "Stationarity of multivariate Markov-switching ARMA models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 102(2), pages 339-364, June.
    2. Dennis Kristensen, 2009. "On stationarity and ergodicity of the bilinear model with applications to GARCH models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 125-144, January.
    3. Tweedie, Richard L., 1975. "Sufficient conditions for ergodicity and recurrence of Markov chains on a general state space," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 385-403, October.
    4. Maddalena Cavicchioli, 2016. "Weak VARMA representations of regime-switching state-space models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 705-720, September.
    5. Greta Goracci & Simone Giannerini & Kung-Sik Chan & Howell Tong, 2021. "Testing for threshold effects in the TARMA framework," Papers 2103.13977, arXiv.org.
    6. Predrag M. Popović & Hassan S. Bakouch, 2020. "A bivariate integer-valued bilinear autoregressive model with random coefficients," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 1819-1840, October.
    7. Peter J. Brockwell & Jian Liu & Richard L. Tweedie, 1992. "On The Existence Of Stationary Threshold Autoregressive Moving‐Average Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(2), pages 95-107, March.
    8. Maria Mohr & Leonie Selk, 2020. "Estimating change points in nonparametric time series regression models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1437-1463, August.
    9. Cathy W. S. Chen & Jack C. Lee, 1995. "Bayesian Inference Of Threshold Autoregressive Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(5), pages 483-492, September.
    10. Lijing Ma & Andrew J. Grant & Georgy Sofronov, 2020. "Multiple change point detection and validation in autoregressive time series data," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1507-1528, August.
    11. Maddalena Cavicchioli, 2014. "Determining The Number Of Regimes In Markov Switching Var And Vma Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 173-186, March.
    12. Pham, Dinh Tuan, 1985. "Bilinear markovian representation and bilinear models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 295-306, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Marie-Christine Duker & David S. Matteson & Ruey S. Tsay & Ines Wilms, 2024. "Vector AutoRegressive Moving Average Models: A Review," Papers 2406.19702, arXiv.org.
    2. Abdelhakim Aknouche & Nadia Rabehi, 2010. "On an independent and identically distributed mixture bilinear time‐series model," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(2), pages 113-131, March.
    3. Maddalena Cavicchioli, 2020. "Invertibility and VAR Representations of Time-Varying Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(1), pages 61-86, January.
    4. Cavicchioli, Maddalena, 2024. "A matrix unified framework for deriving various impulse responses in Markov switching VAR: Evidence from oil and gas markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    5. Maddalena Cavicchioli, 2016. "Statistical Analysis Of Mixture Vector Autoregressive Models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 43(4), pages 1192-1213, December.
    6. Maddalena Cavicchioli, 2016. "Weak VARMA representations of regime-switching state-space models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 705-720, September.
    7. Nan Li & Simon S. Kwok, 2021. "Jointly determining the state dimension and lag order for Markov‐switching vector autoregressive models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(4), pages 471-491, July.
    8. Fiorentini, Gabriele & Planas, Christophe & Rossi, Alessandro, 2016. "Skewness and kurtosis of multivariate Markov-switching processes," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 153-159.
    9. Joseph Ngatchou-Wandji & Echarif Elharfaoui & Michel Harel, 2022. "On change-points tests based on two-samples U-Statistics for weakly dependent observations," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 287-316, February.
    10. Iqbal Owadally, 2014. "Tail risk in pension funds: an analysis using ARCH models and bilinear processes," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 43(2), pages 301-331, August.
    11. Cavicchioli, Maddalena, 2023. "Impulse response function analysis for Markov switching var models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    12. Bibi, Abdelouahab & Ghezal, Ahmed, 2015. "Consistency of quasi-maximum likelihood estimator for Markov-switching bilinear time series models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 192-202.
    13. Abdoulkarim Ilmi Amir & Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara, 2020. "Multivariate portmanteau tests for weak multiplicative seasonal VARMA models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 2529-2560, December.
    14. Cavicchioli, Maddalena, 2023. "Statistical analysis of Markov switching vector autoregression models with endogenous explanatory variables," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    15. Bibi, Abdelouahab & Lescheb, Ines, 2012. "On general periodic time-varying bilinear processes," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 114(3), pages 353-357.
    16. Georgy Sofronov & Martin Wendler & Volkmar Liebscher, 2020. "Editorial for the special issue: Change point detection," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1347-1349, August.
    17. Xiaobing Zheng & Kun Liang & Qiang Xia & Dabin Zhang, 2022. "Best Subset Selection for Double-Threshold-Variable Autoregressive Moving-Average Models: The Bayesian Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(3), pages 1175-1201, March.
    18. Tomas Konecny & Oxana Babecka-Kucharcukova, 2016. "Credit Spreads and the Links between the Financial and Real Sectors in a Small Open Economy: The Case of the Czech Republic," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(4), pages 302-321, August.
    19. Candelon, Bertrand & Lieb, Lenard, 2013. "Fiscal policy in good and bad times," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 2679-2694.
    20. Bildirici, Melike E. & Sonustun, Bahri, 2021. "Chaotic behavior in gold, silver, copper and bitcoin prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:stpapr:v:65:y:2024:i:6:d:10.1007_s00362-024-01539-z. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.