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Comparison of short-term fertility intentions of albanian women in Italy with non-migrants in Albania and italian women

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  • Thaís García-Pereiro

    (University of Bari “Aldo Moro”)

  • Ana Paterno

    (University of Bari “Aldo Moro”)

Abstract

The central aim of this paper is to get a deeper understanding of short-term fertility intentions of native, migrant and non-migrant partnered women by testing for adaptation, socialization and selection theories while applying an origin-destination perspective. To find support for these hypotheses, data was drawn from several sources (FSS and SCIF for Italy, DHS for Albania), harmonized and merged into a unique dataset combining information on partnered women according to their migrant/non-migrant status. Binary regression models on positive fertility intentions, Average Marginal Effects, Adjusted Predictions for Prototypical Cases and multivariate non-linear decompositions are estimated to account for differences and/or similarities across groups of women. Results found that positive fertility intentions of Albanian migrant women resemble those of Italian women and are significantly lower than those of non-migrants, supporting adaptation theory. Findings also reported selection into migration, given that the gap in likelihood of being intended to have a child would be reduced if migrants were like non-migrants in terms of their educational attainment.

Suggested Citation

  • Thaís García-Pereiro & Ana Paterno, 2024. "Comparison of short-term fertility intentions of albanian women in Italy with non-migrants in Albania and italian women," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 33(3), pages 999-1024, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:stmapp:v:33:y:2024:i:3:d:10.1007_s10260-023-00715-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s10260-023-00715-z
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