IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/somere/v50y2021i3p1284-1320.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Using Predictions and Marginal Effects to Compare Groups in Regression Models for Binary Outcomes

Author

Listed:
  • J. Scott Long
  • Sarah A. Mustillo

Abstract

Methods for group comparisons using predicted probabilities and marginal effects on probabilities are developed for regression models for binary outcomes. Unlike approaches based on the comparison of regression coefficients across groups, the methods we propose are unaffected by the scalar identification of the coefficients and are expressed in the natural metric of the outcome probability. While we develop our approach using binary logit with two groups, we consider how our interpretive framework can be used with a broad class of regression models and can be extended to any number of groups.

Suggested Citation

  • J. Scott Long & Sarah A. Mustillo, 2021. "Using Predictions and Marginal Effects to Compare Groups in Regression Models for Binary Outcomes," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 50(3), pages 1284-1320, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:somere:v:50:y:2021:i:3:p:1284-1320
    DOI: 10.1177/0049124118799374
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0049124118799374
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/0049124118799374?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. J. Scott Long & Jeremy Freese, 2006. "Regression Models for Categorical Dependent Variables using Stata, 2nd Edition," Stata Press books, StataCorp LP, edition 2, number long2, March.
    2. Richard Breen & Anders Holm & Kristian Bernt Karlson, 2014. "Correlations and Nonlinear Probability Models," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 43(4), pages 571-605, November.
    3. Edward C. Norton & Morgen M. Miller & Lawrence C. Kleinman, 2013. "Computing adjusted risk ratios and risk differences in Stata," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 13(3), pages 492-509, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Blayac, Thierry & Dubois, Dimitri & Duchêne, Sébastien & Nguyen-Van, Phu & Ventelou, Bruno & Willinger, Marc, 2022. "What drives the acceptability of restrictive health policies: An experimental assessment of individual preferences for anti-COVID 19 strategies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    2. Carbone, Jason T. & Testa, Alexander & Vaughn, Michael G. & Jackson, Dylan B., 2022. "Fledgling psychopathy meets social determinants of health: Evidence of childhood homicidal ideation among pediatric emergency department patients," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. Thaís García-Pereiro & Ana Paterno, 2024. "Comparison of short-term fertility intentions of albanian women in Italy with non-migrants in Albania and italian women," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 33(3), pages 999-1024, July.
    4. Laspita, Stavroula & Sitaridis, Ioannis & Kitsios, Fotis & Sarri, Katerina, 2023. "Founder or employee? The effect of social factors and the role of entrepreneurship education," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 155(PA).
    5. Sanders, Rebecca L. & Schneider, Robert J. & Proulx, Frank R., 2022. "Pedestrian fatalities in darkness: What do we know, and what can be done?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 23-39.
    6. Wolff, Kevin T. & Baglivio, Michael T. & Intravia, Jonathan, 2022. "Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs), psychotropic medication prescription, and continued offending among youth with serious offending histories in juvenile justice residential placement," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    7. Zan, Haocheng & Jiang, Kailin & Ma, Jing, 2024. "Social trust, green finance, and enterprise innovation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    8. Cristian Usala & Mariano Porcu & Isabella Sulis, 2023. "The high school effect on students’ mobility choices," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 32(4), pages 1259-1293, October.
    9. Rossi, David & Kuusela, Olli-Pekka & Dunn, Christopher, 2022. "A microeconometric analysis of wildfire suppression decisions in the Western United States," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    10. Thomas, Christopher & Wolff, Kevin T. & Baglivio, Michael T., 2022. "Understanding juvenile pre-adjudicatory detention and front-end juvenile case processing: The moderating role of race," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    11. Yulong Chen & Kevin D. Duncan & Liyuan Ma & Peter F. Orazem, 2023. "How relative marginal tax rates affect establishment entry at state borders," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1081-1103, March.
    12. Garrett T. Senney & Jonathan R. Lhost, 2023. "Big Bids and Bidder Behavior in Uniform Price Auctions: Evidence from Peer-to-Peer Loan Markets," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 63(3), pages 349-372, November.
    13. Kathleen Powell, 2021. "Who Pays? Measuring Differences in the Process of Repayment of Legal Financial Obligations," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-16, November.
    14. Rousselière, Damien & Bouchard, Marie J. & Rousselière, Samira, 2024. "How does the social economy contribute to social and environmental innovation? Evidence of direct and indirect effects from a European survey," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(5).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jinsuk Yang & Qing Hao & Mahmut Yaşar, 2023. "Institutional investors and cross‐border mergers and acquisitions: The 2000–2018 period," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(3), pages 553-583, September.
    2. Kerri Brick & Martine Visser & Justine Burns, 2012. "Risk Aversion: Experimental Evidence from South African Fishing Communities," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 94(1), pages 133-152.
    3. Clara Berridge & Yuanjin Zhou & Julie M. Robillard & Jeffrey Kaye, 2023. "AI Companion Robot Data Sharing: Preferences of an Online Cohort and Policy Implications," Journal of Elder Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(3), pages 19-54, June.
    4. Dixon, Huw D. & Grimme, Christian, 2022. "State-dependent or time-dependent pricing? New evidence from a monthly firm-level survey: 1980–2017," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    5. Melanie Lefevre, 2011. "Willingness-to-pay for Local Milk-based Dairy Product in Senegal," CREPP Working Papers 1108, Centre de Recherche en Economie Publique et de la Population (CREPP) (Research Center on Public and Population Economics) HEC-Management School, University of Liège.
    6. Erik Stam & Roy Thurik & Peter van der Zwan, 2010. "Entrepreneurial exit in real and imagined markets," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 19(4), pages 1109-1139, August.
    7. Miriam Marcén & Marina Morales, 2019. "Live together: does culture matter?," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 671-713, June.
    8. Bruno Amable, 2009. "The Differentiation of Social Demands in Europe. The Social Basis of the European Models of Capitalism," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 91(3), pages 391-426, May.
    9. Altorjai, Szilvia, 2013. "Over-qualification of immigrants in the UK," ISER Working Paper Series 2013-11, Institute for Social and Economic Research.
    10. Michelsen, Carl Christian & Madlener, Reinhard, 2016. "Switching from fossil fuel to renewables in residential heating systems: An empirical study of homeowners' decisions in Germany," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 95-105.
    11. Rolando Rubilar-Torrealba & Karime Chahuán-Jiménez & Hanns de la Fuente-Mella & Mercedes Marzo-Navarro, 2022. "Econometric Modeling to Measure the Social and Economic Factors in the Success of Entrepreneurship," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-15, June.
    12. Susanne Meyer & Javier Revilla Diez, 2015. "One country, two systems: How regional institutions shape governance modes in the greater Pearl River Delta, China," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 94(4), pages 891-900, November.
    13. Bornmann, Lutz & Leydesdorff, Loet & Wang, Jian, 2014. "How to improve the prediction based on citation impact percentiles for years shortly after the publication date?," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 175-180.
    14. Battke, Benedikt & Schmidt, Tobias S. & Stollenwerk, Stephan & Hoffmann, Volker H., 2016. "Internal or external spillovers—Which kind of knowledge is more likely to flow within or across technologies," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 27-41.
    15. Kelly Sharp & Hisham Zerriffi & Philippe Billon, 2020. "Land scarcity, resettlement and food security: Assessing the effect of voluntary resettlement on diet quality in Malawi," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 12(1), pages 191-205, February.
    16. Charlie Tchinda & Marcus Dejardin, 2021. "Are Business Policy Measures in Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic to Be Equally Valued? An Exploration According to SMEs Owners’ Business Expectations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-42, October.
    17. Ryan J. Owens, 2010. "The Separation of Powers and Supreme Court Agenda Setting," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(2), pages 412-427, April.
    18. Carlos García-Serrano & Virginia Hernanz & Luis Toharia, 2010. "Mind the Gap, Please! The Effect of Temporary Help Agencies on the Consequences of Work Accidents," Journal of Labor Research, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 162-182, June.
    19. Lee, Richard J. & Sener, Ipek N. & Mokhtarian, Patricia L. & Handy, Susan L., 2017. "Relationships between the online and in-store shopping frequency of Davis, California residents," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 40-52.
    20. Caudill, Jonathan W. & Getty, Ryan & Smith, Rick & Patten, Ryan & Trulson, Chad R., 2013. "Discouraging window breakers: The lagged effects of police activity on crime," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 18-23.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:somere:v:50:y:2021:i:3:p:1284-1320. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.