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Rate of uniform consistency for a class of mode regression on functional stationary ergodic data

Author

Listed:
  • Mohamed Chaouch

    (United Arab Emirates University)

  • Naâmane Laïb

    (Université de Paris 6
    EISTI)

  • Djamal Louani

    (Université de Paris 6
    Universite de Reims-Champagne-Ardenne)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to study the asymptotic properties of a class of kernel conditional mode estimates whenever functional stationary ergodic data are considered. To be more precise on the matter, in the ergodic data setting, we consider a random elements (X, Z) taking values in some semi-metric abstract space $$E\times F$$ E × F . For a real function $$\varphi $$ φ defined on the space F and $$x\in E$$ x ∈ E , we consider the conditional mode of the real random variable $$\varphi (Z)$$ φ ( Z ) given the event “ $$X=x$$ X = x ”. While estimating the conditional mode function, say $$\theta _\varphi (x)$$ θ φ ( x ) , using the well-known kernel estimator, we establish the strong consistency with rate of this estimate uniformly over Vapnik–Chervonenkis classes of functions $$\varphi $$ φ . Notice that the ergodic setting offers a more general framework than the usual mixing structure. Two applications to energy data are provided to illustrate some examples of the proposed approach in time series forecasting framework. The first one consists in forecasting the daily peak of electricity demand in France (measured in Giga-Watt). Whereas the second one deals with the short-term forecasting of the electrical energy (measured in Giga-Watt per Hour) that may be consumed over some time intervals that cover the peak demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohamed Chaouch & Naâmane Laïb & Djamal Louani, 2017. "Rate of uniform consistency for a class of mode regression on functional stationary ergodic data," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 26(1), pages 19-47, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:stmapp:v:26:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s10260-016-0356-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s10260-016-0356-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Masry, Elias, 2005. "Nonparametric regression estimation for dependent functional data: asymptotic normality," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 155-177, January.
    2. Frédéric Ferraty & Ali Laksaci & Philippe Vieu, 2006. "Estimating Some Characteristics of the Conditional Distribution in Nonparametric Functional Models," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 47-76, May.
    3. Goia, Aldo & May, Caterina & Fusai, Gianluca, 2010. "Functional clustering and linear regression for peak load forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 700-711, October.
    4. M'hamed Ezzahrioui & Elias Ould Saïd, 2010. "Some asymptotic results of a non‐parametric conditional mode estimator for functional time‐series data," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 64(2), pages 171-201, May.
    5. Laib, Naâmane & Louani, Djamal, 2010. "Nonparametric kernel regression estimation for functional stationary ergodic data: Asymptotic properties," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(10), pages 2266-2281, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chaouch, Mohamed, 2019. "Volatility estimation in a nonlinear heteroscedastic functional regression model with martingale difference errors," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 129-148.
    2. Bouzebda, Salim & Chaouch, Mohamed, 2022. "Uniform limit theorems for a class of conditional Z-estimators when covariates are functions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    3. Ibrahim M. Almanjahie & Zoulikha Kaid & Ali Laksaci & Mustapha Rachdi, 2022. "Estimating the Conditional Density in Scalar-On-Function Regression Structure: k -N-N Local Linear Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-16, March.
    4. M. D. Ruiz-Medina & D. Miranda & R. M. Espejo, 2019. "Dynamical multiple regression in function spaces, under kernel regressors, with ARH(1) errors," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 28(3), pages 943-968, September.

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