IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/stabio/v14y2022i2d10.1007_s12561-021-09330-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Power Prior Approach for Leveraging External Longitudinal and Competing Risks Survival Data Within the Joint Modeling Framework

Author

Listed:
  • Md. Tuhin Sheikh

    (University of Connecticut at Storrs)

  • Ming-Hui Chen

    (University of Connecticut at Storrs)

  • Jonathan A. Gelfond

    (University of Texas Health at San Antonio)

  • Joseph G. Ibrahim

    (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill)

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a new partial borrowing-by-parts power prior for carrying out the analysis of co-longitudinal and survival data within the joint modeling framework. The borrowing-by-parts power prior facilitates borrowing the information from a subset of the data, from a subset of the model parameters, or from the different parts of the joint model. The deviance information criterion is used to quantify the gain in the fit of the current longitudinal and survival data when leveraging external co-data. A Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling algorithm is developed for carrying out Bayesian computations. The proposed methodology is motivated by two large concurrent clinical trials: Selenium and Vitamin E Cancer Prevention Trial (SELECT) and Prostate, Lung, Colon, Ovarian (PLCO) prevention trial. In both trials, the longitudinal biomarkers and competing risks survival data were collected. A detailed analysis of the PLCO and SELECT data is conducted to demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed methodology.

Suggested Citation

  • Md. Tuhin Sheikh & Ming-Hui Chen & Jonathan A. Gelfond & Joseph G. Ibrahim, 2022. "A Power Prior Approach for Leveraging External Longitudinal and Competing Risks Survival Data Within the Joint Modeling Framework," Statistics in Biosciences, Springer;International Chinese Statistical Association, vol. 14(2), pages 318-336, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:stabio:v:14:y:2022:i:2:d:10.1007_s12561-021-09330-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s12561-021-09330-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s12561-021-09330-6
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s12561-021-09330-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ming-Hui Chen & Joseph G. Ibrahim & Donglin Zeng & Kuolung Hu & Catherine Jia, 2014. "Bayesian design of superiority clinical trials for recurrent events data with applications to bleeding and transfusion events in myelodyplastic syndrome," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 70(4), pages 1003-1013, December.
    2. Ibrahim J.G. & Chen M-H. & Sinha D., 2003. "On Optimality Properties of the Power Prior," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 98, pages 204-213, January.
    3. Ming-Hui Chen & Joseph G. Ibrahim & Peter Lam & Alan Yu & Yuanye Zhang, 2011. "Bayesian Design of Noninferiority Trials for Medical Devices Using Historical Data," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 67(3), pages 1163-1170, September.
    4. W. R. Gilks & P. Wild, 1992. "Adaptive Rejection Sampling for Gibbs Sampling," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 41(2), pages 337-348, June.
    5. Lewandowski, Daniel & Kurowicka, Dorota & Joe, Harry, 2009. "Generating random correlation matrices based on vines and extended onion method," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(9), pages 1989-2001, October.
    6. Brian P. Hobbs & Bradley P. Carlin & Sumithra J. Mandrekar & Daniel J. Sargent, 2011. "Hierarchical Commensurate and Power Prior Models for Adaptive Incorporation of Historical Information in Clinical Trials," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 67(3), pages 1047-1056, September.
    7. David J. Spiegelhalter & Nicola G. Best & Bradley P. Carlin & Angelika Van Der Linde, 2002. "Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(4), pages 583-639, October.
    8. Joseph G. Ibrahim & Ming-Hui Chen & H. Amy Xia & Thomas Liu, 2012. "Bayesian Meta-Experimental Design: Evaluating Cardiovascular Risk in New Antidiabetic Therapies to Treat Type 2 Diabetes," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 68(2), pages 578-586, June.
    9. Kan Shao & Bruce C. Allen & Matthew W. Wheeler, 2017. "Bayesian Hierarchical Structure for Quantifying Population Variability to Inform Probabilistic Health Risk Assessments," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(10), pages 1865-1878, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wenlin Yuan & Ming-Hui Chen & John Zhong, 2022. "Flexible Conditional Borrowing Approaches for Leveraging Historical Data in the Bayesian Design of Superiority Trials," Statistics in Biosciences, Springer;International Chinese Statistical Association, vol. 14(2), pages 197-215, July.
    2. L.M. LaVange & E.M. Alt & J.G. Ibrahim, 2023. "Discussion of “Optimal test procedures for multiple hypotheses controlling the familywise expected loss” by Willi Maurer, Frank Bretz, and Xiaolei Xun," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 79(4), pages 2802-2805, December.
    3. Matthew A. Psioda & Kuolung Hu & Yang Zhang & Jean Pan & Joseph G. Ibrahim, 2020. "Bayesian design of biosimilars clinical programs involving multiple therapeutic indications," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 76(2), pages 630-642, June.
    4. Chibuzor Christopher Nnanatu & Glory Atilola & Paul Komba & Lubanzadio Mavatikua & Zhuzhi Moore & Dennis Matanda & Otibho Obianwu & Ngianga-Bakwin Kandala, 2021. "Evaluating changes in the prevalence of female genital mutilation/cutting among 0-14 years old girls in Nigeria using data from multiple surveys: A novel Bayesian hierarchical spatio-temporal model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(2), pages 1-31, February.
    5. S. Upadhyay & M. Peshwani, 2008. "Posterior analysis of lognormal regression models using the Gibbs sampler," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 59-85, March.
    6. Stavros Nikolakopoulos & Ingeborg van der Tweel & Kit C. B. Roes, 2018. "Dynamic borrowing through empirical power priors that control type I error," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 74(3), pages 874-880, September.
    7. Yimei Li & Ying Yuan, 2020. "PA‐CRM: A continuous reassessment method for pediatric phase I oncology trials with concurrent adult trials," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 76(4), pages 1364-1373, December.
    8. David Kaplan & Jianshen Chen & Sinan Yavuz & Weicong Lyu, 2023. "Bayesian Dynamic Borrowing of Historical Information with Applications to the Analysis of Large-Scale Assessments," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 88(1), pages 1-30, March.
    9. Chenghao Chu & Bingming Yi, 2021. "Dynamic historical data borrowing using weighted average," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(5), pages 1259-1280, November.
    10. Andrade, A.R. & Teixeira, P.F., 2015. "Statistical modelling of railway track geometry degradation using Hierarchical Bayesian models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 169-183.
    11. Feng, Xiangnan & Lu, Bin & Song, Xinyuan & Ma, Shuang, 2019. "Financial literacy and household finances: A Bayesian two-part latent variable modeling approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 119-137.
    12. Chen, Nan & Carlin, Bradley P. & Hobbs, Brian P., 2018. "Web-based statistical tools for the analysis and design of clinical trials that incorporate historical controls," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 50-68.
    13. Zhongwei Zhang & Reinaldo B. Arellano‐Valle & Marc G. Genton & Raphaël Huser, 2023. "Tractable Bayes of skew‐elliptical link models for correlated binary data," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 79(3), pages 1788-1800, September.
    14. Radu Tunaru, 2015. "Model Risk in Financial Markets:From Financial Engineering to Risk Management," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 9524, August.
    15. Refik Soyer & M. Murat Tarimcilar, 2008. "Modeling and Analysis of Call Center Arrival Data: A Bayesian Approach," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(2), pages 266-278, February.
    16. Wenchen Liu & Yincai Tang & Ancha Xu, 2021. "Zero-and-one-inflated Poisson regression model," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 915-934, April.
    17. Ming-Hui Chen & Joseph G. Ibrahim & Donglin Zeng & Kuolung Hu & Catherine Jia, 2014. "Bayesian design of superiority clinical trials for recurrent events data with applications to bleeding and transfusion events in myelodyplastic syndrome," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 70(4), pages 1003-1013, December.
    18. Franta, Michal, 2017. "Rare shocks vs. non-linearities: What drives extreme events in the economy? Some empirical evidence," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 136-157.
    19. Simon Cheng & Yingmei Xi & Ming-Hui Chen, 2008. "A New Mixture Model for Misclassification With Applications for Survey Data," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 37(1), pages 75-104, August.
    20. Cynthia Tojeiro & Francisco Louzada, 2012. "A general threshold stress hybrid hazard model for lifetime data," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 833-848, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:stabio:v:14:y:2022:i:2:d:10.1007_s12561-021-09330-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.