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Economic Adversity and Voter Turnout: Evidence from Turkish Parliamentary Elections

Author

Listed:
  • Özge Kama

    (Yildiz Technical University)

  • Tolga Aksoy

    (Yildiz Technical University)

  • Hüseyin Taştan

    (Yildiz Technical University)

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between economic adversity and voter participation in Turkish parliamentary elections. We employ a dynamic model of voter turnout using a cross-regional panel dataset covering all parliamentary elections for the 1987–2018 period. In addition to lagged voter turnout to account for persistency in electoral participation, our models include two measures of economic adversity: inflation, and economic growth. Empirical results indicate that inflation has a positive and significant effect on voter turnout, while economic growth is insignificant in all specifications. Moreover, inflation is associated with higher voter turnout in provinces with a denser population, higher urbanization, and more abundant human capital. Regional voter turnout rates tend to persistently support the habit formation argument. Overall, our empirical results are consistent with the mobilization hypothesis, suggesting that adverse economic conditions lead to higher electoral participation by stimulating voters to punish the government.

Suggested Citation

  • Özge Kama & Tolga Aksoy & Hüseyin Taştan, 2022. "Economic Adversity and Voter Turnout: Evidence from Turkish Parliamentary Elections," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 163(2), pages 799-821, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:soinre:v:163:y:2022:i:2:d:10.1007_s11205-022-02919-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s11205-022-02919-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Lopez Santiago, 2023. "There Is Something in the Water: The Effects of a Bad Government on Voter Turnout," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4664, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Voter turnout; Elections; Economic adversity; Turkey;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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