IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/sankha/v85y2023i2d10.1007_s13171-022-00291-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An Overview of Discrete Distributions in Modelling COVID-19 Data Sets

Author

Listed:
  • Ehab M. Almetwally

    (Delta University of Science and Technology
    The Scientific Association for Studies and Applied Research (SASAR))

  • Sanku Dey

    (St. Anthony’s College)

  • Saralees Nadarajah

    (University of Manchester)

Abstract

The mathematical modeling of the coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) pandemic has been attempted by a large number of researchers from the very beginning of cases worldwide. The purpose of this research work is to find and classify the modelling of COVID-19 data by determining the optimal statistical modelling to evaluate the regular count of new COVID-19 fatalities, thus requiring discrete distributions. Some discrete models are checked and reviewed, such as Binomial, Poisson, Hypergeometric, discrete negative binomial, beta-binomial, Skellam, beta negative binomial, Burr, discrete Lindley, discrete alpha power inverse Lomax, discrete generalized exponential, discrete Marshall-Olkin Generalized exponential, discrete Gompertz-G-exponential, discrete Weibull, discrete inverse Weibull, exponentiated discrete Weibull, discrete Rayleigh, and new discrete Lindley. The probability mass function and the hazard rate function are addressed. Discrete models are discussed based on the maximum likelihood estimates for the parameters. A numerical analysis uses the regular count of new casualties in the countries of Angola,Ethiopia, French Guiana, El Salvador, Estonia, and Greece. The empirical findings are interpreted in-depth.

Suggested Citation

  • Ehab M. Almetwally & Sanku Dey & Saralees Nadarajah, 2023. "An Overview of Discrete Distributions in Modelling COVID-19 Data Sets," Sankhya A: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 85(2), pages 1403-1430, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sankha:v:85:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s13171-022-00291-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s13171-022-00291-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s13171-022-00291-6
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s13171-022-00291-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Galit Shmueli & Thomas P. Minka & Joseph B. Kadane & Sharad Borle & Peter Boatwright, 2005. "A useful distribution for fitting discrete data: revival of the Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 54(1), pages 127-142, January.
    2. M. S. Eliwa & Ziyad Ali Alhussain & M. El-Morshedy, 2020. "Discrete Gompertz-G Family of Distributions for Over- and Under-Dispersed Data with Properties, Estimation, and Applications," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-26, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gauss Cordeiro & Josemar Rodrigues & Mário Castro, 2012. "The exponential COM-Poisson distribution," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 53(3), pages 653-664, August.
    2. Mevin B. Hooten & Michael R. Schwob & Devin S. Johnson & Jacob S. Ivan, 2023. "Multistage hierarchical capture–recapture models," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(6), September.
    3. Can Zhou & Yan Jiao & Joan Browder, 2019. "How much do we know about seabird bycatch in pelagic longline fisheries? A simulation study on the potential bias caused by the usually unobserved portion of seabird bycatch," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(8), pages 1-19, August.
    4. Darcy Steeg Morris & Kimberly F. Sellers, 2022. "A Flexible Mixed Model for Clustered Count Data," Stats, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-18, January.
    5. Joseph B. Kadane & Ramayya Krishnan & Galit Shmueli, 2006. "A Data Disclosure Policy for Count Data Based on the COM-Poisson Distribution," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(10), pages 1610-1617, October.
    6. Imelda Trejo & Nicolas W Hengartner, 2022. "A modified Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model for observed under-reported incidence data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(2), pages 1-23, February.
    7. Fernando Bonassi & Rafael Stern & Cláudia Peixoto & Sergio Wechsler, 2015. "Exchangeability and the law of maturity," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 78(4), pages 603-615, April.
    8. Lord, Dominique & Mannering, Fred, 2010. "The statistical analysis of crash-frequency data: A review and assessment of methodological alternatives," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 44(5), pages 291-305, June.
    9. Dexter Cahoy & Elvira Di Nardo & Federico Polito, 2021. "Flexible models for overdispersed and underdispersed count data," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2969-2990, December.
    10. Krivitsky, Pavel N., 2017. "Using contrastive divergence to seed Monte Carlo MLE for exponential-family random graph models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 149-161.
    11. Robert E. Gaunt & Satish Iyengar & Adri B. Olde Daalhuis & Burcin Simsek, 2019. "An asymptotic expansion for the normalizing constant of the Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 71(1), pages 163-180, February.
    12. Subrata Chakraborty & S. H. Ong, 2017. "Mittag - Leffler function distribution - a new generalization of hyper-Poisson distribution," Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 1-17, December.
    13. Sellers, Kimberly F. & Raim, Andrew, 2016. "A flexible zero-inflated model to address data dispersion," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 68-80.
    14. Kimberly F. Sellers & Andrew W. Swift & Kimberly S. Weems, 2017. "A flexible distribution class for count data," Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 1-21, December.
    15. Mark E. Piatek & Dankmar Böhning, 2024. "Deriving a zero-truncated modelling methodology to analyse capture–recapture data from self-reported social networks," METRON, Springer;Sapienza Università di Roma, vol. 82(2), pages 135-160, August.
    16. Aamir Saghir & Zhengyan Lin, 2014. "Control chart for monitoring multivariate COM-Poisson attributes," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(1), pages 200-214, January.
    17. Irshad, M.R. & Jodrá, P. & Krishna, A. & Maya, R., 2023. "On the discrete analogue of the Teissier distribution and its associated INAR(1) process," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 227-245.
    18. Zhou, Can & Jiao, Yan & Browder, Joan, 2019. "K-aggregated transformation of discrete distributions improves modeling count data with excess ones," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 407(C), pages 1-1.
    19. Saralees Nadarajah, 2009. "Useful moment and CDF formulations for the COM–Poisson distribution," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 617-622, June.
    20. Bilal Barakat, 2017. "Generalised count distributions for modelling parity," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 36(26), pages 745-758.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:sankha:v:85:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s13171-022-00291-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.