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A two-phase stochastic programming approach to biomass supply planning for combined heat and power plants

Author

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  • Daniela Guericke

    (Technical University of Denmark)

  • Ignacio Blanco

    (Technical University of Denmark)

  • Juan M. Morales

    (Málaga University)

  • Henrik Madsen

    (Technical University of Denmark)

Abstract

Due to the new carbon neutral policies, many district heating operators start operating their combined heat and power plants using different types of biomass instead of fossil fuel. The contracts with the biomass suppliers are negotiated months in advance and involve many uncertainties from the energy producer’s side. The demand for biomass is uncertain at that time, and heat demand and electricity prices vary drastically during the planning period. Furthermore, the optimal operation of combined heat and power plants has to consider the existing synergies between the power and heating systems. We propose a solution method using stochastic optimization to support the biomass supply planning for combined heat and power plants. Our two-phase approach determines mid-term decisions about biomass supply contracts as well as short-term decisions regarding the optimal production of the producer to ensure profitability and feasibility. We present results based on ten realistic test cases placed in two municipalities.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniela Guericke & Ignacio Blanco & Juan M. Morales & Henrik Madsen, 2020. "A two-phase stochastic programming approach to biomass supply planning for combined heat and power plants," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 42(4), pages 863-900, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:orspec:v:42:y:2020:i:4:d:10.1007_s00291-020-00593-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s00291-020-00593-x
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    Cited by:

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    3. Bergsteinsson, Hjörleifur G. & Møller, Jan Kloppenborg & Nystrup, Peter & Pálsson, Ólafur Pétur & Guericke, Daniela & Madsen, Henrik, 2021. "Heat load forecasting using adaptive temporal hierarchies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    4. Pablo Benalcazar & Jacek Kamiński & Karol Stós, 2022. "An Integrated Approach to Long-Term Fuel Supply Planning in Combined Heat and Power Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-22, November.
    5. Siddique, Muhammad Bilal & Keles, Dogan & Scheller, Fabian & Nielsen, Per Sieverts, 2024. "Dispatch strategies for large-scale heat pump based district heating under high renewable share and risk-aversion: A multistage stochastic optimization approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    6. Zailan, Roziah & Lim, Jeng Shiun & Manan, Zainuddin Abdul & Alwi, Sharifah Rafidah Wan & Mohammadi-ivatloo, Behnam & Jamaluddin, Khairulnadzmi, 2021. "Malaysia scenario of biomass supply chain-cogeneration system and optimization modeling development: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).

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