IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v76y2015i3p1687-1710.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effects of large-scale climate patterns and human activities on hydrological drought: a case study in the Luanhe River basin, China

Author

Listed:
  • Yixuan Wang
  • Jianzhu Li
  • Ping Feng
  • Fulong Chen

Abstract

Evaluation of the impact of climate variability and human activities on hydrological drought is of great significance for drought mitigation strategies. In this study, standardized runoff index (SRI) at various time scales is used to characterize hydrological droughts in the Luanhe River basin, northeast of China, for the period of 1959–2011. Correlation analysis is conducted to examine the associations between the hydrological droughts and large-scale oceanic–atmospheric patterns (AMO and ENSO). Climate-induced and human-induced influence indices are also developed based on standardized precipitation index and SRI to investigate the possible influences of the climate patterns and human activities on the hydrological droughts. Results indicate that the significant influence of AMO on hydrological drought at different time scales is evident among different months across the Luanhe River basin, with warm (cold) AMO phases favoring drought (wet) conditions. The direct linkage of ENSO to hydrological drought is relatively weak in the basin, while the extent of the linkage can be improved with increasing time lags. Moreover, El Niño phases show a closer relation with the drought events of the region as compared with La Niña phases. It is also implied that human activities exhibit aggravating effects on hydrological drought at shorter time scales over the basin, whereas they might show mitigating effects at longer time scales in some areas of the basin. These findings can be beneficial for better understanding how the hydrological drought responses to climate changes and human activities, thereby providing valuable references for drought forecasts and water resources managements in the Luanhe River basin. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Yixuan Wang & Jianzhu Li & Ping Feng & Fulong Chen, 2015. "Effects of large-scale climate patterns and human activities on hydrological drought: a case study in the Luanhe River basin, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 76(3), pages 1687-1710, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:76:y:2015:i:3:p:1687-1710
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-014-1564-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11069-014-1564-y
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-014-1564-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Christophe Croux & Catherine Dehon, 2010. "Influence functions of the Spearman and Kendall correlation measures," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 19(4), pages 497-515, November.
    2. I. Nalbantis & G. Tsakiris, 2009. "Assessment of Hydrological Drought Revisited," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(5), pages 881-897, March.
    3. Christophe Croux & Catherine Dehon, 2010. "Influence functions of the Spearman and Kendall correlation measures," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 19(4), pages 497-515, November.
    4. Isabella Bordi & Alfonso Sutera, 2001. "Fifty Years of Precipitation: Some Spatially Remote Teleconnnections," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 15(4), pages 247-280, August.
    5. Aijing Zhang & Chi Zhang & Guobin Fu & Bende Wang & Zhenxin Bao & Hongxing Zheng, 2012. "Assessments of Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activities on Runoff with SWAT for the Huifa River Basin, Northeast China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(8), pages 2199-2217, June.
    6. Jianzhu Li & Senming Tan & Fulong Chen & Ping Feng, 2014. "Quantitatively analyze the impact of land use/land cover change on annual runoff decrease," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(2), pages 1191-1207, November.
    7. Zhenghong Chen & Guifang Yang, 2013. "Analysis of drought hazards in North China: distribution and interpretation," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 65(1), pages 279-294, January.
    8. Lampros Vasiliades & Athanasios Loukas & Nikos Liberis, 2011. "A Water Balance Derived Drought Index for Pinios River Basin, Greece," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(4), pages 1087-1101, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yixuan Wang & Jianzhu Li & Ping Feng & Rong Hu, 2015. "A Time-Dependent Drought Index for Non-Stationary Precipitation Series," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(15), pages 5631-5647, December.
    2. Lei Zou & Jun Xia & Dunxian She, 2018. "Analysis of Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activities on Hydrological Drought: a Case Study in the Wei River Basin, China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(4), pages 1421-1438, March.
    3. Arya Sajeev & Subrahmanya Kundapura, 2024. "Comparative evaluation of meteorological and hydrological drought using stationary and non-stationary indices in a semi-arid river basin in India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(14), pages 13433-13468, November.
    4. Ying Li & Suiliang Huang, 2015. "Landscape Ecological Risk Responses to Land Use Change in the Luanhe River Basin, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(12), pages 1-22, December.
    5. Fulong Chen & Jianzhu Li, 2016. "Quantifying drought and water scarcity: a case study in the Luanhe river basin," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(3), pages 1913-1927, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jianzhu Li & Shuhan Zhou & Rong Hu, 2016. "Hydrological Drought Class Transition Using SPI and SRI Time Series by Loglinear Regression," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 669-684, January.
    2. Barati, Hojjat & Yazici, Anil & Almotahari, Amirmasoud, 2024. "A methodology for ranking of critical links in transportation networks based on criticality score distributions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    3. Dimitrios Myronidis & Konstantinos Ioannou & Dimitrios Fotakis & Gerald Dörflinger, 2018. "Streamflow and Hydrological Drought Trend Analysis and Forecasting in Cyprus," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(5), pages 1759-1776, March.
    4. Michael Pfarrhofer, 2024. "Forecasts with Bayesian vector autoregressions under real time conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 771-801, April.
    5. Alvarez, Agustín & Boente, Graciela & Kudraszow, Nadia, 2019. "Robust sieve estimators for functional canonical correlation analysis," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 46-62.
    6. Arthur Lehner & Christoph Erlacher & Matthias Schlögl & Jacob Wegerer & Thomas Blaschke & Klaus Steinnocher, 2018. "Can ISO-Defined Urban Sustainability Indicators Be Derived from Remote Sensing: An Expert Weighting Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-31, April.
    7. Vanderford Courtney & Sang Yongli & Dang Xin, 2020. "Two symmetric and computationally efficient Gini correlations," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 373-395, January.
    8. Daniel J. Hernandez & Fernando Jaramillo & Hubert Kempf & Fabien Moizeau & Thomas Vendryes, 2023. "Limited Commitment, Social Control and Risk-Sharing Coalitions in Village Economies," Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes & University of Caen) 2023-03, Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes, University of Caen and CNRS.
    9. Gerald Oeser & Pietro Romano, 2021. "Exploring risk pooling in hospitals to reduce demand and lead time uncertainty," Operations Management Research, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 78-94, June.
    10. U. Surendran & B. Anagha & P. Raja & V. Kumar & K. Rajan & M. Jayakumar, 2019. "Analysis of Drought from Humid, Semi-Arid and Arid Regions of India Using DrinC Model with Different Drought Indices," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(4), pages 1521-1540, March.
    11. Panagiotis Angelidis & Fotios Maris & Nikos Kotsovinos & Vlassios Hrissanthou, 2012. "Computation of Drought Index SPI with Alternative Distribution Functions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(9), pages 2453-2473, July.
    12. Nayak, Purusottam & Mishra, Sudhanshu K, 2014. "A State Level Analysis of the Status of Social Sector in India," MPRA Paper 58136, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Stephanou, Michael & Varughese, Melvin, 2021. "Sequential estimation of Spearman rank correlation using Hermite series estimators," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    14. Linda Menk & Christian Neuwirth & Stefan Kienberger, 2020. "Mapping the Structure of Social Vulnerability Systems for Malaria in East Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-19, June.
    15. Rokhsareh Khashtabeh & Morteza Akbari & Mahdi Kolahi & Ali Talebanfard, 2021. "Assessing the effects of desertification control projects using socio-economic indicators in the arid regions of eastern Iran," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(7), pages 10455-10469, July.
    16. Vincent Nzabarinda & Anming Bao & Wenqiang Xu & Solange Uwamahoro & Liangliang Jiang & Yongchao Duan & Lamek Nahayo & Tao Yu & Ting Wang & Gang Long, 2021. "Assessment and Evaluation of the Response of Vegetation Dynamics to Climate Variability in Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-22, January.
    17. Gijbels, Irène & Kika, Vojtěch & Omelka, Marek, 2021. "On the specification of multivariate association measures and their behaviour with increasing dimension," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    18. Jianzhu Li & Shuhan Zhou & Rong Hu, 2016. "Hydrological Drought Class Transition Using SPI and SRI Time Series by Loglinear Regression," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 669-684, January.
    19. Aparisi-Cerdá, I. & Ribó-Pérez, D. & Gomar-Pascual, J. & Pineda-Soler, J. & Poveda-Bautista, R. & García-Melón, M., 2024. "Assessing gender and climate objectives interactions in urban decarbonisation policies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 189(PA).
    20. Marius Galabe Sampid & Haslifah M Hasim & Hongsheng Dai, 2018. "Refining value-at-risk estimates using a Bayesian Markov-switching GJR-GARCH copula-EVT model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(6), pages 1-33, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:76:y:2015:i:3:p:1687-1710. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.