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Tsunami inundation in Napier, New Zealand, due to local earthquake sources

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  • Stuart Fraser
  • William Power
  • Xiaoming Wang
  • Laura Wallace
  • Christof Mueller
  • David Johnston

Abstract

Deterministic analysis of local tsunami generated by subduction zone earthquakes demonstrates the potential for extensive inundation and building damage in Napier, New Zealand. We present the first high-resolution assessments of tsunami inundation in Napier based on full simulation from tsunami generation to inundation and demonstrate the potential variability of onshore impacts due to local earthquakes. In the most extreme scenario, rupture of the whole Hikurangi subduction margin, maximum onshore flow depth exceeds 8.0 m within 200 m of the shore and exceeds 5.0 m in the city centre, with high potential for major damage to buildings. Inundation due to single-segment or splay fault rupture is relatively limited despite the magnitudes of M W 7.8 and greater. There is approximately 30 min available for evacuation of the inundation zone following a local rupture, and inundation could reach a maximum extent of 4 km. The central city is inundated by up to three waves, and Napier Port could be inundated repeatedly for 12 h. These new data on potential flow depth, arrival time and flow kinematics provide valuable information for tsunami education, exposure analysis and evacuation planning. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Stuart Fraser & William Power & Xiaoming Wang & Laura Wallace & Christof Mueller & David Johnston, 2014. "Tsunami inundation in Napier, New Zealand, due to local earthquake sources," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 70(1), pages 415-445, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:70:y:2014:i:1:p:415-445
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-013-0820-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Kevin D. Henry & Nathan J. Wood & Tim G. Frazier, 2017. "Influence of road network and population demand assumptions in evacuation modeling for distant tsunamis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 85(3), pages 1665-1687, February.
    3. Caterina Negulescu & Abed Benaïchouche & Anne Lemoine & Sylvestre Roy & Rodrigo Pedreros, 2020. "Adjustability of exposed elements by updating their capacity for resistance after a damaging event: application to an earthquake–tsunami cascade scenario," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(1), pages 753-793, October.
    4. G. Smart & K. Crowley & E. Lane, 2016. "Estimating tsunami run-up," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(3), pages 1933-1947, February.
    5. G. M. Smart & K. H. M. Crowley & E. M. Lane, 2016. "Estimating tsunami run-up," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(3), pages 1933-1947, February.

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