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The temporal clustering of storm surge, wave height, and high sea level exceedances around the UK coastline

Author

Listed:
  • Luke J. Jenkins

    (National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton)

  • Ivan D. Haigh

    (National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton)

  • Paula Camus

    (National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton)

  • Douglas Pender

    (JBA Consulting)

  • Jenny Sansom

    (Lateral House)

  • Rob Lamb

    (JBA Trust
    Lancaster University)

  • Hachem Kassem

    (National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton)

Abstract

The temporal clustering of storms presents consecutive storm surge and wave hazards that can lead to amplified flood and erosional damages; thus, clustering is important for coastal stakeholders to consider. We analyse the prevalence of storm clustering around the UK coastline by examining the temporal and spatial characteristics of storm surge, wave height, and high still sea level exceedances at the 1 in 1- and 5-year return levels. First, at the interannual timescale, we show that there are periods of high/low exceedance counts on national and regional scales. Elevated annual counts of exceedances with smaller magnitudes can occur without a respective signal of higher-magnitude exceedances. Secondly, at the intra-annual timescale, we show that high proportions of exceedances are clustering over short timescales. Storm surge, wave height and still sea level exceedances occurring

Suggested Citation

  • Luke J. Jenkins & Ivan D. Haigh & Paula Camus & Douglas Pender & Jenny Sansom & Rob Lamb & Hachem Kassem, 2023. "The temporal clustering of storm surge, wave height, and high sea level exceedances around the UK coastline," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(2), pages 1761-1797, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:115:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05617-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-022-05617-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stephane Hallegatte & Colin Green & Robert J. Nicholls & Jan Corfee-Morlot, 2013. "Future flood losses in major coastal cities," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(9), pages 802-806, September.
    2. Scott A. Kulp & Benjamin H. Strauss, 2019. "New elevation data triple estimates of global vulnerability to sea-level rise and coastal flooding," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    3. Scott A. Kulp & Benjamin H. Strauss, 2019. "Author Correction: New elevation data triple estimates of global vulnerability to sea-level rise and coastal flooding," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-2, December.
    4. Tom Matthews & Conor Murphy & Robert L. Wilby & Shaun Harrigan, 2014. "Stormiest winter on record for Ireland and UK," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(9), pages 738-740, September.
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