IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v103y2020i2d10.1007_s11069-020-04094-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Seismic source modeling and probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for Bangladesh

Author

Listed:
  • Md. Zillur Rahman

    (University of British Columbia, Okanagan Campus
    University of Dhaka)

  • Sumi Siddiqua

    (University of British Columbia, Okanagan Campus)

  • A. S. M. Maksud Kamal

    (University of Dhaka)

Abstract

The probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) has been performed for Bangladesh using background seismicity, crustal fault, and subduction zone source models. The latest ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs) that are developed using global data sets have been used to estimate ground motion. The uncertainties in seismic sources and GMPEs to estimate ground motion are accounted using the logic tree approach. The activity rates of the background and regional seismicity sources are estimated using a declustered and complete catalog of the study regions. The activity rates of the crustal fault and subduction zone sources are estimated from the geodetic strain rates using the well-accepted relationships. The peak ground acceleration (PGA) and spectral acceleration (SA) at spectral periods of 0.2, 0.5, 1.0, 2.0, 5.0, and 10.0 s have been estimated at a grid size of 0.250 at the bedrock ground condition. The PGA and SA maps of various spectral periods have been prepared for Bangladesh for both 10% and 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years. These seismic hazard maps can be used for seismic risk management of Bangladesh.

Suggested Citation

  • Md. Zillur Rahman & Sumi Siddiqua & A. S. M. Maksud Kamal, 2020. "Seismic source modeling and probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for Bangladesh," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(2), pages 2489-2532, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:103:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04094-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04094-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-020-04094-6
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-020-04094-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sara Trianni & Carlo Lai & Erio Pasqualini, 2014. "Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis at a strategic site in the Bay of Bengal," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(3), pages 1683-1705, December.
    2. Phil R. Cummins, 2007. "The potential for giant tsunamigenic earthquakes in the northern Bay of Bengal," Nature, Nature, vol. 449(7158), pages 75-78, September.
    3. Arjun Sil & T. Sitharam & Sreevalsa Kolathayar, 2013. "Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of Tripura and Mizoram states," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 68(2), pages 1089-1108, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lucky Caroles, 2023. "Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis on Pavement Failure Restoration; Case Study of Sorong–Makbon Road," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-15, March.
    2. Masoud Mojarab & Nazi Norouzi & Mahdokht Bayati & Zeinab Asadi & Mohamad Eslami & Mohsen Ghafory-Ashtiany & Abdul-Latif Helaly & Sara Khoshnevis, 2023. "Assessment of seismic hazard including equivalent-linear soil response analysis for Dhaka Metropolitan Region, Bangladesh," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(3), pages 3145-3180, July.
    3. Abul Kashem Faruki Fahim & Md. Zillur Rahman & Md. Shakhawat Hossain & A. S. M. Maksud Kamal, 2022. "Liquefaction resistance evaluation of soils using artificial neural network for Dhaka City, Bangladesh," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 113(2), pages 933-963, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. A. Narayana, 2011. "Tectonic geomorphology, tsunamis and environmental hazards: reference to Andaman-Nicobar Islands," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 57(1), pages 65-82, April.
    2. Panon Latcharote & Khaled Al-Salem & Anawat Suppasri & Tanuspong Pokavanich & Shinji Toda & Yogeesha Jayaramu & Abdullah Al-Enezi & Alanoud Al-Ragum & Fumihiko Imamura, 2018. "Tsunami hazard evaluation for Kuwait and Arabian Gulf due to Makran Subduction Zone and Subaerial landslides," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(1), pages 127-152, September.
    3. Till J. J. Hanebuth & Hermann R. Kudrass & Anja M. Zander & Humayun Syed Akhter & Gertrud Neumann-Denzau & Anwar Zahid, 2022. "Stepwise, earthquake-driven coastal subsidence in the Ganges–Brahmaputra Delta (Sundarbans) since the eighth century deduced from submerged in situ kiln and mangrove remnants," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(1), pages 163-190, March.
    4. Madan Mohan Rout & Josodhir Das & Kamal, 2018. "Probabilistic seismic hazard for Himalayan region using kernel estimation method (zone-free method)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(2), pages 967-985, September.
    5. Avik Paul & Suvam Gupta & Sima Ghosh & Deepankar Choudhury, 2020. "Probabilistic assessment and study of earthquake recurrence models for entire Northeast region of India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 102(1), pages 15-45, May.
    6. A. A. Malinowska, 2016. "Reliability of methods used for pipeline hazard evaluation in view of potential risk factors," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 83(1), pages 715-728, August.
    7. Elizabeth L. Chamberlain & Steven L. Goodbred & Michael S. Steckler & Jakob Wallinga & Tony Reimann & Syed Humayun Akhter & Rachel Bain & Golam Muktadir & Abdullah Al Nahian & F. M. Arifur Rahman & Ma, 2024. "Cascading hazards of a major Bengal basin earthquake and abrupt avulsion of the Ganges River," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
    8. Joaquin Rodriguez-Vidal & Jose Rodriguez-Llanes & Debarati Guha-Sapir, 2012. "Civil nuclear power at risk of tsunamis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 63(2), pages 1273-1278, September.
    9. Aftab Khan, 2012. "Seismogenic sources in the Bay of Bengal vis-à-vis potential for tsunami generation and its impact in the northern Bay of Bengal coast," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 61(3), pages 1127-1141, April.
    10. Edris Alam & Dale Dominey-Howes, 2014. "An analysis of the AD1762 earthquake and tsunami in SE Bangladesh," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 70(1), pages 903-933, January.
    11. S. Sangode & D. Meshram, 2013. "A comparative study on the style of paleotsunami deposits at two sites on the west coast of India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 66(2), pages 463-483, March.
    12. Sreevalsa Kolathayar, 2021. "Recent seismicity in Delhi and population exposure to seismic hazard," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(3), pages 2621-2648, December.
    13. Sara Trianni & Carlo Lai & Erio Pasqualini, 2014. "Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis at a strategic site in the Bay of Bengal," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(3), pages 1683-1705, December.
    14. Ali Kavand & Hamid Alielahi, 2017. "Site-specific probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for northern part of the Qeshm Island, Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 88(2), pages 919-946, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:103:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04094-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.