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The use of Net Promoter Score (NPS) to predict sales growth: insights from an empirical investigation

Author

Listed:
  • Sven Baehre

    (University of Limerick, National Technological Park)

  • Michele O’Dwyer

    (University of Limerick, National Technological Park)

  • Lisa O’Malley

    (University of Limerick, National Technological Park)

  • Nick Lee

    (University of Warwick)

Abstract

Net Promoter Score (NPS) has been widely adopted by managers as a measure of customer mindset and predictor of sales growth. Over time, practitioners have evolved the use of NPS from its original purpose as a transaction-based customer loyalty metric, towards a metric for tracking overall brand health which includes responses from non-customers. Despite enduring managerial popularity, academics remain skeptical of NPS, citing methodological issues and ongoing concerns with NPS measurement. This study re-visits the use of NPS as a predictor of sales growth by analyzing data from seven brands operating in the U.S. sportswear industry, measured over five years. Our results confirm—within the context of our study—that while the original premise of NPS is reasonable, the methodological concerns raised by academics are valid, and only the more recently developed brand health measure of NPS (using an all potential customer sample) is effective at predicting future sales growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Sven Baehre & Michele O’Dwyer & Lisa O’Malley & Nick Lee, 2022. "The use of Net Promoter Score (NPS) to predict sales growth: insights from an empirical investigation," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 50(1), pages 67-84, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:joamsc:v:50:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s11747-021-00790-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11747-021-00790-2
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    7. Baehre, Sven & O'Dwyer, Michele & O'Malley, Lisa & Story, Vicky M, 2022. "Customer mindset metrics: A systematic evaluation of the net promoter score (NPS) vs. alternative calculation methods," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 353-362.
    8. Lily (Xuehui) Gao & Evert Haan & Iguácel Melero-Polo & F. Javier Sese, 2023. "Winning your customers’ minds and hearts: Disentangling the effects of lock-in and affective customer experience on retention," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 334-371, March.

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