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Learning to trade on sentiment

Author

Listed:
  • Cuiyuan Wang

    (CUNY Graduate Center)

  • Tao Wang

    (Queens College and CUNY Graduate Center)

  • Changhe Yuan

    (Queens College and CUNY Graduate Center)

  • Jane Yihua Rong

    (CUNY Queens College)

Abstract

The increasing availability of big data has made it possible to research the sentiment influence to the individual company. We use investment social media data to extract the sentiment expressed in the financial news articles by applying deep learning model, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network. The textual sentiment (bullish or bearish idea) can be classified by all the machine learning classifiers and deep learning models and even some traditional dictionary approaches. Based on our experiments, we have found that the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network performs best with the accuracy at 94%. Based on the sentiment related with individual company, we build a market-neutral trading strategy called majority votes strategy to perform a comprehensive study on how the sentiment of the individual company influence the financial returns. In this paper, we demonstrate how financial sentiment analysis can be utilized to build trading strategy by incorporating the sentiment factor.

Suggested Citation

  • Cuiyuan Wang & Tao Wang & Changhe Yuan & Jane Yihua Rong, 2022. "Learning to trade on sentiment," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(2), pages 308-323, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:46:y:2022:i:2:d:10.1007_s12197-021-09565-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s12197-021-09565-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    2. Paul C. Tetlock, 2007. "Giving Content to Investor Sentiment: The Role of Media in the Stock Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(3), pages 1139-1168, June.
    3. repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:3:p:1259-1294 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Tim Loughran & Bill Mcdonald, 2011. "When Is a Liability Not a Liability? Textual Analysis, Dictionaries, and 10‐Ks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(1), pages 35-65, February.
    5. Hailiang Chen & Prabuddha De & Yu (Jeffrey) Hu & Byoung-Hyoun Hwang, 2014. "Wisdom of Crowds: The Value of Stock Opinions Transmitted Through Social Media," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(5), pages 1367-1403.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gianluca Anese & Marco Corazza & Michele Costola & Loriana Pelizzon, 2023. "Impact of public news sentiment on stock market index return and volatility," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 1-36, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Deep learning; Long short term memory neural network; Trading strategy; Sentiment analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

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