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Investor Emotions and Earnings Announcements

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  • Domonkos F. Vamossy

Abstract

Armed with a decade of social media data, I explore the impact of investor emotions on earnings announcements. In particular, I test whether the emotional content of firm-specific messages posted on social media just prior to a firm's earnings announcement predicts its earnings and announcement returns. I find that investors are typically excited about firms that end up exceeding expectations, yet their enthusiasm results in lower announcement returns. Specifically, a standard deviation increase in excitement is associated with an 7.8 basis points lower announcement return, which translates into an approximately -5.8% annualized loss. My findings confirm that emotions and market dynamics are closely related and highlight the importance of considering investor emotions when assessing a firm's short-term value.

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  • Domonkos F. Vamossy, 2020. "Investor Emotions and Earnings Announcements," Papers 2006.13934, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2006.13934
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