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Monetary targeting in Sri Lanka: how much control does the central bank have over the money supply?

Author

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  • Wasanthi Thenuwara

    (University of New England)

  • Bryan Morgan

    (University of Queensland)

Abstract

This paper empirically addresses the questions “is money supply in Sri Lanka endogenous or exogenous and how much control does the Central Bank have over the money supply?” Thus the paper also examines the viability of the current monetary targeting policy regime. Two complementary approaches are used. The first is the monetarist approach and tests whether money supply is exogenously determined by testing the stability of the broad money multiplier and by testing for a long-run relationship between monetary base and broad money supply. The second approach tests the Post-Keynesian contention that the money supply is endogenous with the financial system as a whole causing changes to the money supply through bank lending creating monetary liabilities. The findings indicate the broad money multiplier is not stable and the tests of the endogenous money theory shed light on why it is unstable. The overall results cast doubt the effectiveness of the current monetary targeting policy regime in Sri Lanka.

Suggested Citation

  • Wasanthi Thenuwara & Bryan Morgan, 2017. "Monetary targeting in Sri Lanka: how much control does the central bank have over the money supply?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(2), pages 276-296, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:41:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s12197-015-9350-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s12197-015-9350-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Akbar, Syed Waqar & Rehman, Ajid Ur & Bouri, Elie & Ijaz, Muhammad Shahzad & Arshad, Imran, 2024. "Socio-economic issues and bank stability: The moderating role of competition," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    4. Serdar Ongan & Ismet Gocer, 2019. "Revisiting the Stability of Money Multiplier on Determination of Money Supply: Evidence from Canada," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(2), pages 1621-1628.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary supply; Monetary targeting; Money multiplier; Endogenous money theory;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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