IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nea/journl/y2015i25p103-131.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Analysis of Money Supply Endogeneity in Russia

Author

Listed:
  • Trunin, P.

    (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Moscow, Russia
    Center for Study of Central Banks' Issues, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Moscow, Russia)

  • Vashchelyuk, N.

    (Center for Study of Central Banks' Issues, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Moscow, Russia)

Abstract

The authors provide a comparative analysis of money supply in Russia before and after Global financial crisis with investigation of its correspondence to the Post-Keynesian endogenous money view. Our results show that during the pre-crisis period bank credit was determined by volume of liquidity generated as a result of central bank's interventions. However there is no causality between money supply and bank credit after 2008 financial crisis. This finding may be explained by the change in the monetary policy stance. The transformation of central bank role should be considered in designing the system of financial regulation and the monetary policy framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Trunin, P. & Vashchelyuk, N., 2015. "The Analysis of Money Supply Endogeneity in Russia," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 25(1), pages 103-131.
    • Handle: RePEc:nea:journl:y:2015:i:25:p:103-131
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.econorus.org/repec/journl/2015-25-103-131r.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Thomas I. Palley, 2008. "Endogenous Money: Implications for the Money Supply Process, Interest Rates, and Macroeconomics," Working Papers wp178, Political Economy Research Institute, University of Massachusetts at Amherst.
    2. Mr. Mark R. Stone & Mr. Etienne B Yehoue & Kotaro Ishi, 2009. "Unconventional Central Bank Measures for Emerging Economies," IMF Working Papers 2009/226, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Zatul E. Badarudin & Ahmed M. Khalid & Mohamed Ariff, 2012. "Exogenous Or Endogenous Money Supply: Evidence From Australia," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 57(04), pages 1-12.
    4. Peter Howells & Khaled Hussein, 1998. "The Endogeneity of Money: Evidence from the G7," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 45(3), pages 329-340, August.
    5. Basil J. Moore, 1989. "A Simple Model of Bank Intermediation," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 10-28, September.
    6. Heller, Daniel & Lengwiler, Yvan, 2003. "Payment obligations, reserve requirements, and the demand for central bank balances," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 419-432, March.
    7. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Lai, Kon S, 1993. "Finite-Sample Sizes of Johansen's Likelihood Ration Tests for Conintegration," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 55(3), pages 313-328, August.
    8. Kevin S. Nell, 2000. "The Endogenous/Exogenous Nature of South Africa’s Money Supply Under Direct and Indirect Monetary Control Measures," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 313-329, December.
    9. Bental, Benjamin & Eden, Benjamin, 2002. "Reserve requirements and output fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(8), pages 1597-1620, November.
    10. Badarudin, Z.E. & Ariff, M. & Khalid, A.M., 2013. "Post-Keynesian money endogeneity evidence in G-7 economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 146-162.
    11. Z. E. Badarudin & M. Ariff & A. M. Khalid, 2011. "Money supply endogeneity and bank stock returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(14), pages 1035-1048.
    12. Giuseppe Fontana, 2004. "Rethinking Endogenous Money: A Constructive Interpretation Of The Debate Between Horizontalists And Structuralists," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(4), pages 367-385, November.
    13. Robert Pollin, 1991. "Two Theories of Money Supply Endogeneity: Some Empirical Evidence," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 366-396, March.
    14. Zatul Badarudin & Ahmed Khalid & Mohamed Ariff, 2009. "Money supply behaviour in emerging economies: a comparative analysis," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 331-350.
    15. Whitesell, William, 2006. "Interest rate corridors and reserves," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 1177-1195, September.
    16. repec:bla:scotjp:v:45:y:1998:i:3:p:329-40 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. E. Goryunov & P. Trunin., 2013. "Bank of Russia at the Cross-roads: Should Monetary Policy Be Eased?," VOPROSY ECONOMIKI, N.P. Redaktsiya zhurnala "Voprosy Economiki", vol. 6.
    18. A. Kiyutsevskaya., 2014. "Floating Exchange Rate of the Russian Ruble: Myth or Reality?," VOPROSY ECONOMIKI, N.P. Redaktsiya zhurnala "Voprosy Economiki", vol. 2.
    19. Peter G.A. Howells, 1995. "The Demand for Endogenous Money," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 89-106, September.
    20. Vymyatnina, Yulia, 2006. "How much control does Bank of Russia have over money supply?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 131-144, June.
    21. Toda, Hiro Y., 1995. "Finite Sample Performance of Likelihood Ratio Tests for Cointegrating Ranks in Vector Autoregressions," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(5), pages 1015-1032, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ostapenko, V. & Buglevsky, E., 2022. "Money supply in the history of macroeconomic thought: 50 shades of endogeneity," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 55(3), pages 156-176.
    2. Marina Yu. Malkina & Igor A. Moiseev, 2020. "Endogeneity of Money Supply in the Russian Economy in the Context of the Monetary Regime Change," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 3, pages 8-27, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Badarudin, Z.E. & Ariff, M. & Khalid, A.M., 2013. "Post-Keynesian money endogeneity evidence in G-7 economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 146-162.
    2. Vymyatnina, Yulia, 2006. "How much control does Bank of Russia have over money supply?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 131-144, June.
    3. Oguzhan Cepni & Ibrahim Ethem Guney, 2017. "Endogeneity of Money Supply: Evidence from Turkey," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 6(1), pages 01-10, January.
    4. Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Sinelnikova-Muryleva Elena & Petrova Diana & Chentsov Alexander, 2018. "Building of monetary and currency markets models," Research Paper Series, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 175P, pages 1-96.
    5. Wasanthi Thenuwara & Bryan Morgan, 2017. "Monetary targeting in Sri Lanka: how much control does the central bank have over the money supply?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(2), pages 276-296, April.
    6. Yulia Vymyatnina, 2013. "Money Supply and Monetary Policy in Russia: A Post-Keynesian Approach Revisited," EUSP Department of Economics Working Paper Series 2013/04, European University at St. Petersburg, Department of Economics.
    7. Yulia Vymyatnina, 2013. "Money Supply and Monetary Policy in Russia: A Post-Keynesian Approach Revisited," EUSP Department of Economics Working Paper Series Ec-04/13, European University at St. Petersburg, Department of Economics.
    8. M. Lopreite, 2012. "The endogenous money hypothesis and securitization: the Euro area case (1999-2010)," Economics Department Working Papers 2012-EP02, Department of Economics, Parma University (Italy).
    9. Kevin S. Nell, 2000. "The Endogenous/Exogenous Nature of South Africa’s Money Supply Under Direct and Indirect Monetary Control Measures," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 313-329, December.
    10. Marina Yu. Malkina & Igor A. Moiseev, 2020. "Endogeneity of Money Supply in the Russian Economy in the Context of the Monetary Regime Change," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 3, pages 8-27, June.
    11. Levrero, Enrico Sergio & Deleidi, Matteo, 2017. "The money creation process: A theoretical and empirical analysis for the US," MPRA Paper 81970, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Z. E. Badarudin & M. Ariff & A. M. Khalid, 2011. "Money supply endogeneity and bank stock returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(14), pages 1035-1048.
    13. Engelbert Stockhammer & Paul Ramskogler, 2009. "Wie weiter? Zur Zukunft des Postkeynesianismus," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 35(3), pages 329-353.
    14. Eckhard Hein, 2017. "Post-Keynesian macroeconomics since the mid 1990s: main developments," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 14(2), pages 131-172, September.
    15. Yannis Panagopoulos & Aristotelis Spiliotis, 2006. "Testing Money Supply Endogeneity: The Case of Greece (1975-1998)," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1-2), pages 85-102.
    16. Chung, Tin-fah & Ariff, M., 2016. "A test of the linkage among money supply, liquidity and share prices in Asia," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 48-61.
    17. Karlo Kauko, 2017. "A Short Note on the Net Stable Funding Ratio Requirement with Endogenous Money," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 46(1), pages 105-115, February.
    18. Jiranyakul, Komain, 2019. "Does the Bank of Thailand have the control over the money supply?," MPRA Paper 94932, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Yulia Vymyatnina & Anna Ignatenko, 2011. "Inflation and Bank of Russia's Policy: Is There a Link?," EUSP Department of Economics Working Paper Series Ec-03/11, European University at St. Petersburg, Department of Economics, revised 04 Mar 2011.
    20. Rahimi , Azadeh, 2019. "The Endogenous or Exogenous Nature of Money Supply: Case of Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 14(1), pages 27-40, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    money supply factors; endogenous money supply theory; monetary policy transmission; inflation targeting; money multiplier;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nea:journl:y:2015:i:25:p:103-131. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Alexey Tcharykov (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/nearuea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.