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Parliamentary debate as electoral signaling

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  • Hiroyuki Kawakatsu

    (Dublin City University)

Abstract

To measure incumbent quality as a source of incumbency advantage in elections, this paper proposes the frequency of incumbent appearance in parliamentary debates. The measure is intended to capture the incumbents’ signal of their ability through their activities in parliamentary debates. Using data from Irish elections and text records of Irish parliamentary debates, the proposed measure explains about 10–20% of the incumbent advantage in the data.

Suggested Citation

  • Hiroyuki Kawakatsu, 2022. "Parliamentary debate as electoral signaling," Journal of Computational Social Science, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 1235-1255, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:jcsosc:v:5:y:2022:i:2:d:10.1007_s42001-022-00168-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s42001-022-00168-6
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Incumbent advantage; Text data; Causal mediation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • C80 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - General
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities

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